@michaelhil79654@5uga5ean He’s averaged 1675 scrimmage yards per year in his career and you’d never heard of him? You just don’t pay very much attention to the league, and that’s okay.
@Matty_KCSN@StickToTheModel He’s a terrible slot corner. I don’t think he’s a very good safety either and would rather see Hicks there for the long-term. At the very least, I don’t think the difference between the two is to the “easily” degree. But we can just agree to disagree on that haha.
@Matty_KCSN@StickToTheModel If there were only two options available, sure. Fortunately, there’s an option to not put Conner on the field unless someone is hurt. Canady should keep Conner off the field entirely. Seems that you’re much higher on Conner than I am though. Versatile, valuable backup imo.
@StickToTheModel@Matty_KCSN Two playable linebackers is a significant problem for me. If Conner plays over Hicks, I will riot. Also think Canady has a shot to play early as the nickel.
@mjmac0026@Vipsaniu_s@IsaacPunts Nah. If anything it increases your chances of burnout exponentially more than your chances of being 6’ 2”+ with long levers. For example, you could punt for 10 hours a day for 18 years and if you’re 5’ 6”, your chances of being an NFL punter are almost zero.
@justBill @Vipsaniu_s@IsaacPunts You can’t meaningfully narrow down the sample size without making an assumption that you don’t know to be true though. That’s the issue. Do I think it’s .000000002%? No. But do I think .00002 by taking out, let’s say kids with specific disabilities, is meaningfully different? No.
@mjmac0026@Vipsaniu_s@IsaacPunts Your dad saying “I’d like my son to be an NFL punter” doesn’t materially increase your chances of being talented enough to be an NFL punter unfortunately.
@ruallsion@Vipsaniu_s@IsaacPunts You’re making the assumption that training from birth means you’re good enough to play in high school. Or that he would even want to. That’s a logical fallacy.
@ruallsion@Vipsaniu_s@IsaacPunts Yes, you could determine the chances of a high school punter becoming an NFL punter. That’s not what the original question was though. The question was what chance does my random kid have of becoming an NFL player. Much larger sample size.
@ruallsion@Vipsaniu_s@IsaacPunts So you like your chances at becoming an NFL punter better if there are 28 available jobs instead of 32? Interesting. Not sure about that one, but have a good evening.
@ruallsion@Vipsaniu_s@IsaacPunts So a non-American taking one or more of the available punting jobs in the NFL is irrelevant to the statistical odds to him getting one of the jobs? That’s just not how odds work. He now has one less opportunity to fill a previously open position.