𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋

𝙔𝙤𝙪𝙩𝙝 𝘼𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙞𝙨𝙩

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@WarMonitors Wrong, you mean 1$ each

[Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus @DrTedros]

Omar Artan didn’t just make the #FIFAWorldCup, he made history as the first Somali referee to get there, and as #Africa’s best. That milestone stands no matter what. So sorry to see this, Omar. You reached the summit of your profession and inspired a generation back home just by getting there, and being kept off the pitch you earned doesn’t change that. This won’t be the end of your story on the world stage. The world stands with you as one family, wishing you resilience now and many more major finals to come. Solidarity. #Somalia

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@lucaswrtr How about Macedonia?

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@cardofdreams @InsideSomalia2 You wont decide when your dickhead ass gets OD’d. .

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@Jennnyyyyyy It is 18. Quite simple.

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@Simi_2210_ 9

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@Geopotato23 @MarioNawfal Yup but inside your arse.

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@MarioNawfal He is a Scam artist, nothing more!

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@SomaliPM Very annoying that our PM is holding only a $500 cheque for one of the winners of an annual marathon, possibly one of the first 3 ranks.
$500 cant even cover the costs of his sports gear, let alone serve as encouragement.

We are doomed.

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@MarioNawfal Holly chit 😂😂😂😂
This guy is so dumb than anyone can assume 😂

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@MarioNawfal Does the first picture look like Trump?

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@WarMonitors Carpet bombing!

[NASA @NASA]

LIVE: Watch with us as the Artemis II astronauts make their closest approach to the Moon, traveling farther from Earth than ever before. https://t.co/Zpy7GdTqA8

[Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86]

On April 3, two things happened simultaneously that have not been connected. The war produced its first American casualties on Iranian soil. And the diplomatic off-ramp collapsed. The military escalation and the path to de-escalation broke at the same moment. Nobody appears to have noticed.

The Wall Street Journal reported that Iran has informed mediators it is unwilling to meet US officials in Islamabad and considers Washington’s demands “unacceptable.” The current round of Pakistan-led ceasefire talks has reached what the Journal called a “dead end.” Qatar has declined a central mediation role. Turkey and Egypt are exploring alternative venues in Doha or Istanbul and developing what sources described as “fresh proposals.” No breakthroughs have been announced. No new talks are scheduled.

Vice President Vance communicated with Pakistani intermediaries as recently as Tuesday at President Trump’s direction, delivering what Reuters described as a “stern message” that Trump was “impatient” and warning of growing pressure on Iranian infrastructure unless Tehran agreed to a deal. Two days later, the infrastructure was still standing and the F-15E was not. Separately, Iran rejected a US proposal for a 48-hour ceasefire transmitted Wednesday through a third country, Fars News reported. Tehran called the proposal “excessive.” The demands themselves are mutually exclusive: Washington requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran demands Washington recognise Iran’s authority over it.

China and Pakistan released a five-point peace framework on March 31 calling for immediate ceasefire, swift talks, civilian protection, Hormuz security, and UN-backed resolution. Four days later it sits unanswered while an American weapons systems officer is missing in the mountains of Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad Province and armed tribesmen search for him with a bounty on his head.

Here is the convergence that matters. The April 6 power-plant deadline expires Monday at 8 PM Eastern. Markets close today and do not reopen until Monday morning. The diplomacy is dead. The missing pilot changes the calculus of the deadline: you cannot bomb the power grid of a country that may be holding your aircrew. But you also cannot back down from a published deadline without confirming that the shoot-down changed the equation, which confirms that the shoot-down changed the war, which is the admission the President refused to make on NBC when he said “This is war.”

Iran’s Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf posted the summary no American official will say: “This brilliant no-strategy war has been downgraded from regime change to can anyone find our pilots?” Five weeks in, 50 percent of Iran’s launchers remain intact, the strait is closed, the air defences brought down an F-15E, the rescue helicopters took fire, the A-10 crashed in Kuwait, and the diplomacy has reached a dead end on the same day the war produced its most dangerous escalation.

Every off-ramp closed on the same afternoon. The Pakistan channel is dead. The 48-hour ceasefire was rejected. Qatar declined. Turkey and Egypt are exploring but have produced nothing. Vance’s back-channel yielded no breakthrough. The five-point plan sits unanswered. And the molecule that cannot pass through the strait has no diplomatic pathway to freedom any more than the weapons systems officer has a guaranteed pathway to rescue.

The war has no exit. The deadline has no extension. The demands cannot coexist. And the weekend has no market to price any of it.

https://t.co/dAOBBMsgDS

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@WarMonitors Good

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@abdullahtosin72 Thank you

[𝐒𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐀𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐌𝐀𝐋 @JamalMoalim]

@SprinterPress Even kids can spot the bad cop and the good cop strategy.

[Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86]

BREAKING: Iran built a subway system for ballistic missiles inside a granite mountain south of Yazd. Automated rails move warheads and transporter-erector-launchers between assembly halls, storage vaults, and three to ten blast-door exits carved into the mountainside at depths reaching 500 metres. A TEL rides the tracks to an exit, surfaces, fires, and retreats underground before the strike aircraft can respond. The mountain has been under construction for two decades. The IRGC did not build a bunker. It built a weapons factory with its own internal railway, buried deeper than any conventional bomb can reach.

The United States and Israel have struck Yazd Imam Hussein on March 1st, March 6th and March 17th and even earlier today!

Satellite imagery shows collapsed portals, cratered ventilation shafts, and destroyed surface infrastructure. The visible damage is real. The invisible infrastructure is intact. On March 20, a long-range ballistic missile launched from the Yazd complex, failed during boost phase, and crashed near Kohistan Park inside Yazd City itself. The launch failed. The fact that it happened at all is the proof. Three weeks of precision strikes on the portals did not stop the railway behind them from delivering a missile to a surviving exit.

The engineering is simple in concept and devastating in practice. Each blast door is a separate exit point. When one is destroyed, the rail system reroutes to another. When that door is struck, it is backfilled with soil and concrete by the IRGC from inside, then re-excavated when the bombing pauses. CNN satellite analysis confirmed the rail layouts. Alma Research mapped the tunnel networks. The IDF acknowledged that approximately 60 percent of launch infrastructure has been destroyed. The US estimated 50 percent of capacity remains. That remaining 50 percent rides underground rails that no bomb in the American or Israeli arsenal can reach at 500 metres through granite.

The GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator, the largest bunker-buster ever built, penetrates approximately 60 metres of reinforced concrete or roughly 40 metres of moderate rock. Granite is harder than moderate rock. Five hundred metres is more than twelve times the weapon’s maximum penetration depth. The gap between the bomb and the tunnel is not a margin of error. It is a physical impossibility. The mountain does not care how many sorties are flown above it. The railway does not care how many portals are sealed. The geology is the defence, and the geology has been there for 300 million years.

This is why the war continues. Every missile that hits Arad, Dimona, or central Israel was assembled underground, moved on rails to an exit, and fired from a door that may have been destroyed and rebuilt multiple times since February 28. The persistence of Iranian missile fire despite three weeks of intensive strikes is not resilience. It is infrastructure. The IRGC did not prepare for this war by building rockets. It prepared by building railways inside mountains. The rockets are replaceable. The railways are permanent. And the granite that protects them was formed before mammals existed.

The strait is 21 miles wide. The mountain is 500 metres deep. And the railway inside it is still delivering missiles to the surface.

https://t.co/iFmUcarGdV

[Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86]

BREAKING: Iran’s Foreign Minister just told you exactly how the Strait of Hormuz was closed. Not with mines. Not with missiles. Not with warships. With a spreadsheet.

Abbas Araghchi posted on X this morning:

“Strait of Hormuz is not closed. Ships hesitate because insurers fear the war of choice you initiated, not Iran. No insurer, and no Iranian, will be swayed by more threats. Try respect.”

He is not lying. He is describing the mechanism that nobody in Washington, Brussels, or on any trading desk wants to name out loud. Iran did not physically seal the Strait of Hormuz. Marine war risk insurers did. Major providers scrapped cover for vessels operating in the Persian Gulf. Without insurance, no tanker sails. Without tankers, no oil moves. Without oil moving, 15 million barrels of crude sit trapped every day. Iran’s weapon is not the mine. Iran’s weapon is the risk premium. The mine is the trigger. The insurer is the transmission mechanism. The underwriter’s spreadsheet closed the strait, not the warhead.

This is why 22 countries coordinating with NATO will not reopen it. You cannot escort a tanker through a strait if no insurer will write the policy for the cargo. You cannot force Lloyd’s of London to underwrite a voyage at gunpoint. The mine clears. The drone threat neutralises. The coastal batteries degrade. And the insurer still says no, because the war is still happening, because the 48-hour ultimatum is ticking, because Iranian missiles just hit Diego Garcia at 4,000 kilometres, because the IRGC retains 90 percent of its minelayers, and because the actuarial model does not care about press conferences.

The AAII sentiment survey published March 19 shows 52 percent of individual investors are now bearish, the highest reading since spring 2025. Bullish sentiment has fallen to 30.4 percent. The bull-bear spread is negative 21.6 percentage points. These are not numbers from a market worried about earnings. These are numbers from a market that has processed the same mechanism Araghchi just described. The war is not being fought in the strait. The war is being fought in the risk model.

The market is splitting in two. Energy stocks have hit 20 all-time highs in 2026, the most since 2013. The sector is up 29 percent year-to-date and 367 percent since the 2020 pandemic low. New US home sales collapsed 17.6 percent month-on-month to 587,000, the lowest since 2022, with the median price down 6.8 percent year-over-year. Bitcoin fell below $68,000. One half of the market is pricing a world where oil stays trapped. The other half is pricing a world where everything else breaks.

US intelligence assessed before Epic Fury that Iranian regime collapse was low probability. The IDF says weeks more of fighting remain. Araghchi says the strait is not closed. Trump says open it in 48 hours or he destroys the power grid. Iran says if the power grid is hit, the strait closes permanently and all regional energy infrastructure becomes a target. The insurer hears all five statements and reaches the same conclusion: the policy stays cancelled.

The strait is 21 miles wide. The insurance policy is one page. And the one page is doing more damage to the global economy than every mine, missile, and drone Iran has fired in 23 days of war.

https://t.co/iFmUcarGdV

[Seyed Abbas Araghchi @araghchi]

- Strait of Hormuz is not closed. Ships hesitate because insurers fear the war of choice you initiated—not Iran

- No insurer—and no Iranian—will be swayed by more threats. Try respect

- Freedom of Navigation cannot exist without Freedom of Trade. Respect both—or expect neither