James

25. Spurs. Tory. Neurodiverse.

[James @jamesrender_]

@DPJHodges Reece James.

[Yorkshire CCC @YorkshireCCC]

We're up and running after lunch. Warwickshire 393-5, leading by 388.

https://t.co/brvJQ95gLz

[James @jamesrender_]

@CraigLiddell7 @Conservatives @KemiBadenoch Also a great reminder of that FT projection.. almost doubled that projection!

[James @jamesrender_]

@Fourbytwo_ Same in Gosport, Kirklees, Swindon, Basildon, Brentwood. 2 off in Redditch and 3 off in Tamworth. Seems to be a pretty common trend.

[James @jamesrender_]

@chrisg0000 add Simon Opher too

[Kemi Badenoch @KemiBadenoch]

The Conservatives are coming back!

From Westminster to Wandsworth, Harlow to Bexley, Fareham to Broxbourne, people can see we are a party renewed.

There is much more to do, but we have the plan and team to get Britain working again.

Watch my rally at Westminster City Hall👇

[Opros Politics 🇺🇦 @OprosUK]

Party Leader Approval Ratings:

Kemi Badenoch (CON): 29% (+3)
Nigel Farage (REF): 28% (+1)
Zack Polanski (GRN): 24% (+3)
Ed Davey (LDM): 22% (+1)
Keir Starmer (LAB): 18% (-2)

via @OpiniumResearch, 22-24 Apr

(Changes with 17 Apr)

[Conservatives @Conservatives]

No-one believes a word Keir Starmer is saying.

RESIGN.

[Obadiah Mbatang @residentadviser]

Rightly. Kemi cooked him. And then you have Tory MPs cheering Diane Abbott. Reminds me of Labour MPs cheering Theresa May and Ken Clarke when it came to Boris. Only this time it’s crashing down on his head.

[Kate Ferguson @kateferguson4]

Kemi Badenoch says "Keir Starmer has recklessly misled the House."

[David P GCSE (multiple) @DavidPGCSE]

Absolutely loving the led by donkeys takedown of this government

[James @jamesrender_]

Farage’s favourite pollster showing a 4% swing between Reform and Conservatives.

The Reform balloon is bursting.

[Luke Tryl @LukeTryl]

Reform drops to 25% in this weeks voting intention their lowest since April 2025. They lead the Tories by 3 & Labour by 4

➡️ REF UK 25% (-5)
🌳 CON 22% (+3)
🌹 LAB 21% (+1)
🌍 GREEN 13% (+1)
🔶 LIB DEM 12% (nc)
❓OTH 3% (nc)
🟡 SNP 2% (nc)

N = 2,011 | 10-13/4 | Change w/ 8/4

[James @jamesrender_]

@harryswidurski @LGBTCons 100%. They’re a fantastic organisation and do a lot of great work in supporting candidates.

[James @jamesrender_]

Labour increase employer national insurance contributions which cause younger people to be let go from jobs, then offer a "subsidy" to get people to employ them at that higher cost.

They did it with business rates, now jobs.

That's the Labour Special.

[The Telegraph @Telegraph]

🔴 The Telegraph understands that Pat McFadden will announce on Monday that employers will receive a £3,000 taxpayer subsidy for hiring under-25s who have been on Universal Credit for more than six months

Find out more ⬇️
https://t.co/AJWCO9vfg4

[James @jamesrender_]

This is a very good way to look at polling, and I think this also proves how strong the anti-Reform voting is.

People will vote against Reform more than they have done against any other party in history. This is why they will never get enough MPs to have an overall majority.

[John Rentoul @JohnRentoul]

Interesting from @YouGov in response to Farage’s desperate attempt to shoot the messenger https://t.co/HLE1MpTK0Y

[Young Conservatives @Young_Tories]

Great to be out in Birmingham with @Katie_Lam_MP supporting Conservative candidates, @hurasenberg and Amaar Shahzada.

[James @jamesrender_]

As much as this was the case under Blair/Labour. Between 2010-24, there were 20 by-elections where the government were defending the seat.

Only 5 of those were successful holds.
2 were defections to UKIP.
8 of those losses were with majorities over 18k.

Time has changed.

[British Electoral Politics @electpoliticsuk]

For some context on this claim that incumbent governments lose by-elections (even in their safe seats):

Labour in the 1997-2010 period won 18 by-elections in constituencies that they were defending, including when they were very unpopular in 2007-2010 when they won 5.

[James @jamesrender_]

Gorton and Denton prediction:
🔴 LAB: 34%
➡️ RFM: 29%
🟢 GRN: 23%
🌳 CON: 6%
🧡 LDEM: 4%
⁉️ OTHER: 4%

Some Greens, and a few Tories, backing Labour to stop Reform winning.

[Craig Liddell @CraigLiddell7]

Gorton and Denton prediction:

🔴Labour-32%
➡️Reform-30%
🟢Green-26%
🌳Conservatives-6%
🔶Lib dems-5%
Others-1%

Through my years of political wisdom this will defo be the result!

[Kate Ferguson @kateferguson4]

Martin Lewis coming across awfully here.

Ed Balls also looks terrible.

Kemi is the leader of the Opposition.

You guys might think you know better than her (they clearly do think this) but if you invite her on your programme at least let her explain her policy.

[Conservatives @Conservatives]

Robert Jenrick really doesn’t want you to watch this video.