Jay Fitch

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@XAUUSD_GoldEA 85ドル下落って結構な動きだけど、午後の戻りだけで安心するのは早い気がするな。ファンダメンタルズ的にもまだ不透明だし、もう一段の下振れもあり得そう。

[FX|XAUUSD（GoldEA）trend-analyze- Traders @XAUUSD_GoldEA]

XAUUSD Gold Market Update 📊

Gold has already fallen approximately $85 from today's high 📉

Although some rebound momentum appeared during the afternoon session, it is still too early to conclude that the broader downside trend has ended.

From a fundamental perspective, overall market sentiment remains risk-off ⚠️

U.S. equities are also under significant pressure:

• $SPY (S&P 500 ETF) 📉
• $SPX (S&P 500 Index) 📉
• $QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) 📉
All continue to face selling pressure.
Technology stocks, in particular, are seeing aggressive profit-taking, leading investors to become increasingly cautious.

When major equity indices decline simultaneously, volatility often spreads across multiple asset classes, including Gold.

From a technical perspective, the 4375 area remains a critical battleground between buyers and sellers 📊

Whether price can hold above this level may determine the next major move.

For now, patience is key. Watch how the U.S. market reacts before making aggressive trading decisions 👀

More detailed analysis and trading plans will be shared in our evening update 📩

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@mommykerrie I've seen this kind of hype before with other stocks. Still not sold on whether it's actually going to change anything near-term.

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@omgitsbunnie Compute being sold out through 2027 sounds like a bottleneck that could slow down everyone except the biggest players. Smaller labs must be sweating.

[FX_Everly-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @omgitsbunnie]

OpenAI's big fall training run is moving to $NVDA Vera Rubin, so I've heard.

That pretty much confirms what I've been thinking:

The AI game is all about compute power.

Sarah Friar said compute is basically sold out through 2027, and that power, land, chips, and talent are all hard to come by.

That's why I don't see $NVDA as just another chip company.

$NVDA is turning into the backbone of the whole AI world.

Everyone's focused on new models.

But the real fight is happening below:

GPUs
Electricity
Data centers
Networking
People
Land

The stocks on my radar:
$NVDA $MSFT $AMD $AVGO $TSM $ORCL $AMZN

Here's my take:
AI demand isn't slowing down any time soon.
The problem is supply.

Just keep an eye on the firms controlling compute.

Not financial advice.

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@aspfrt That's actually the part of the AI hype I can get behind—making it run on normal hardware instead of needing a server farm.

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@BlockheadsMedia That kind of spend makes you wonder what margins look like on the other side of this deal. SpaceX wins either way.

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@BlockheadsMedia They've got their hands in so many baskets, it's almost hard to track. But with that many projects, I wonder how many actually pan out long-term.

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@MissBehave2121 HBM demand is definitely climbing, but I'm still not sold on the pricing power long term.

[FX_Beckett-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @MissBehave2121]

$MU is quickly turning into a huge name in AI infrastructure.

The idea is pretty straightforward:

AI models keep getting bigger.
Data centers are expanding fast.
Memory bandwidth is becoming a real bottleneck.
That’s good for Micron.
Micron covers HBM, DRAM, NAND, and data-center storage—stuff that’s key for AI servers and cloud setups.

That’s why I don’t see $MU as just another memory cycle stock anymore.

To me, it’s an AI infrastructure supplier.

Here’s what I’m watching:

$MU — AI memory
$NVDA — AI compute
$AVGO — networking / custom chips
$TSM — advanced manufacturing
$ASML — lithography bottleneck

My approach:

Don’t blindly jump on strength.
Look for dips.
Watch if buyers hold key support.
Only buy when the risk-reward makes sense.
Not financial advice.

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@BlockheadsMedia Not sure it's just hype. A lot of big techs are tightening belts on AI spending. Custom chip demand could slow too if they start pulling back.

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@aspfrt People keep saying it's not just a car company, but the stock still moves like one whenever deliveries miss. Energy and FSD are real, but they're not supporting this valuation yet.

[Jay Fitch @jay12rf]

@Cobtribefan Stock price swings like this always make me wonder if people are just overreacting to the monthly delivery numbers.