Jeffrey Edmonds

International security expert. 28 years U.S. Army. rt not an endorsement. Views are my own.

[Michael Kofman @KofmanMichael]

Happy to share the latest. My views on the current battlefield dynamics and where the war stands in 2026. https://t.co/Wkrnmn3nE1

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

Completely agree with @Stanovaya here. This isn't about land and, if that's true, you aren't going to get a lasting peace through a land deal. Pretty simple logic.

[Tatiana Stanovaya @Stanovaya]

Sergey Lavrov’s recent statement should be taken seriously. A few days ago, the Russian Foreign Minister told journalists: “Proposals for a settlement that are based on the objective of preserving a Nazi regime in the part of Ukraine that will be called as such are, of course, absolutely unacceptable.” In recent weeks, senior Russian officials have become increasingly explicit in stating that the objective is regime change.

As I’ve said before, this is not about installing a puppet government in Kyiv; it is about creating institutional conditions in which “anti-Russia” forces are simply ruled out. That aim is reflected in Russia’s political demands to Ukraine. Again, this is not about territory—it is about all of Ukraine, not through physical control, but through institutions.

As @SEPeaceMissions Steve Witkoff arrives in Moscow today, I want to draw attention to how strikingly far apart the Russian and American positions are on any Ukrainian peace plan. What is remarkable is the extent of Russia’s efforts to ensure that this fundamental disagreement does not damage its relations with Trump.

[Samuel Bendett @sambendett]

Check out this analysis on Russian-Indian relations from my @CNA_org colleagues @russmil @JulianWaller @jeffaedmonds and Jeff Kucik https://t.co/rkFwluFGNC

[Dara Massicot @MassDara]

For the second time, Russia finds itself with few military options to support a critical partner in the Middle East. This thread explains Russia’s military options and limitations for supporting Iran before, during, and after this conflict. /1

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

Looking forward to joining @CFTNI

[Center for the National Interest @CFTNI]

How much military and economic pressure does Russia face? Is it enough to require significant concessions to Ukraine? Join us for an expert discussion feat. @CNA_org's @jeffaedmonds & @DCRES_Harvard's @CraigKennedy77, mod. by @1796farewell.

Register now: https://t.co/9OohkQYV5N

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

Spent the last two years on active duty helping the Ukrainians. 29 years and two wars. What do your hands look like?

[Julian Waller 📖 @JulianWaller]

🚨 Pleased to share a major new report from our team at @CNA_org: a study on wartime Russian civil-military relations. Includes a novel framework for civil-mil tensions, tracking the drama of high-level military dismissals, and qual + quant insights into Prigozhin's Rebellion.

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

Will be signing on to this from @pranayrvaddi and @NarangVipin immediately. Two outstanding individuals in the field and always worth listening to.

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

This is an outstanding episode by @KofmanMichael and @EvansRyan202. If you need to catch up on the war in Ukraine and the larger strategic issues involved, this is the one to listen to. @WarOnTheRocks

[Michael Kofman @KofmanMichael]

Latest WOTR podcast is out. I join @EvansRyan202 for an update on the course of the war, challenges with manpower, the Russian economy, and other factors in 2025. Open to all. @WarOnTheRocks https://t.co/Zh8Wx3oRfc

[Michael Kofman @KofmanMichael]

Latest WOTR podcast is out. I join @EvansRyan202 for an update on the course of the war, challenges with manpower, the Russian economy, and other factors in 2025. Open to all. @WarOnTheRocks https://t.co/Zh8Wx3oRfc

[Michael Kimmage @mkimmage]

Delighted to be joining the superb team at ⁦@kennaninstitute⁩, a storied institution, as its new director and to begin the ⁦@TheWilsonCenter⁩ work of connecting first-rate scholarship and expert analysis to the policy-making process. https://t.co/AKLWHMqzU6

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

Outstanding update from @KofmanMichael. Worth the read.

[Michael Kofman @KofmanMichael]

A long thread on the war and the current situation. Although the worst-case scenarios didn’t materialize in 2024, it was the most difficult period since spring 2022. There were positive developments, and bright spots, but the current trajectory is negative. 1/

[Andrea Kendall-Taylor @AKendallTaylor]

1/ Just out with a new piece in @ForeignAffairs w/ @KofmanMichael: "Putin’s Point of No Return: How an Unchecked Russia Will Challenge the West."

A few points I hope the incoming administration will take onboard:

https://t.co/8jycrkh6Qc

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

It's also important to remember the very limited utility of declaratory policy on the actual decision to use nukes -acknowledging there's a divide in the community on this.

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

Solid analysis by @AlexGabuev. We should be thinking critically about possible escalation by Russia but we are not suddenly on the brink of nuclear war. The change is directly linked to the easing of constraints on Ukraine.

[Alexander Gabuev 陳寒士 @AlexGabuev]

When Putin has unveiled upcoming changes to the Russian nuclear doctrine a month ago, it was clear that the Kremlin faces a problem of how to restore the effectiveness of Russia’s deterrent. The publication of the document now will hardly fully solve it. https://t.co/XvgTucLdhi

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

https://t.co/XGCXfpCxB5

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

This is not to say we shouldn't be supporting Ukraine in this way, it's to say that this statement should not get attention solely in the debates about when/if Russia will use nukes, debates over declaratory statements, etc.

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

While changing nuclear doctrine is important, this shouldn't get buried in nuke debates, "aggression against Russia by any non-nuclear state, but with the participation or support of a nuclear state, is proposed to be considered as their joint attack on the Russian Federation."

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

I believe this statement represents Russian leadership views in general - not just in the nuclear realm - about U.S. support to Ukraine and long-range fires in particular.

[Jeffrey Edmonds @jeffaedmonds]

Can't wait to read this by @edwardfishman - one of the best in the field and the first person I think of when it comes to understanding this complex topic. Congrats Eddie!

[Eddie Fishman @edwardfishman]

I'm thrilled to share that my new book, CHOKEPOINTS, is coming Feb. 25. It's the story of America’s decades-long quest to build a new arsenal of economic weapons—and how the 1990s heyday of globalization gave way to an age of economic warfare. More here: https://t.co/TehMSwTiX9