📊 TRUMP TEASES “MIDTERM SURPRISE” AS DEMOCRATS LEAD POWER INDEX
President Trump says Republicans are “flipping races all over the place,” pointing to surging rally enthusiasm and teasing a “Midterm Surprise.”
But Kalshi’s American Power Index currently shows Democrats leading by +4.5, with its markets displaying a 92% chance of Democratic House control and 64% for the Senate.
The midterms are now just 28 days away.
https://t.co/DrJzXrSH8Q
🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING
Yesterday, the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps for the first time in 3 years.
Today, stocks are rallying like nothing happened.
Something doesn't add up:
16 of 18 Fed policymakers expect at least ONE MORE HIKE this year.
Just 9 months ago, markets were pricing in 3 RATE CUTS for 2026.
Oil is above $100.
Diesel prices just hit RECORD HIGHS.
And the Fed now expects 3.7% inflation in 2026.
But the market still hasn’t broken.
WHY?
Because one thing is keeping it alive:
THE AI BOOM.
And this is where almost everyone is getting it wrong.
AI is not just holding the market up.
IT IS GIVING THE FED ROOM TO KEEP HIKING.
Massive AI spending is keeping growth alive while a handful of mega-cap stocks keep the indexes near the highs.
As long as that continues, the Fed has less reason to back off.
That creates a dangerous setup:
AI boom → stronger growth → sticky inflation → higher rates for longer
Now add:
$100+ oil → record diesel → higher costs across the economy → even less room for cuts
October or December doesn’t matter.
Nine months ago:
3 CUTS.
Today:
HIKE → ANOTHER HIKE.
The market can survive that while AI keeps carrying it.
The problem starts when AI stops.
If those stocks finally crack while rates are still rising and energy inflation is still hot, the market loses the one thing absorbing all that pressure.
Then it gets ugly fast:
AI cracks → indexes fall → liquidity disappears → forced selling begins
And once forced selling starts, funds don’t sell what they WANT.
They sell what they CAN.
Stocks. Metals. Bitcoin.
That’s the part most people are not prepared for.
And that’s exactly where the next real buying opportunity appears.
I’m not afraid of the dump.
I’M WAITING FOR IT.
Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
When the liquidation starts and I see the level worth buying, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.