Joaquín

Software engineer + master's 🎓
Trading is my obsession 📈
I share my market takes, right or wrong.
Stocks · Tech · Engineering

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@xenomecha It was just to confirm your and my thoughts, i saw your previous analysis. Thanks man 🤝

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

$NBIS in 2 days:

- Mon: -4% → $232 (10Y at a 24-year high)
- Tue: +7.4% → $250 (yields cool, AI rallies)

Weeks capped at $250. Tue it broke through and tagged $254.50.

Today: Fed minutes, 2pm ET.

Reclaim $250 → $262, then $281

Lose $240 → breakout failed 👇

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

$NBIS -4% while the Nasdaq prints records.

It's not the company, it's the 10Y at 5.3%.

Same range for weeks: $249 ceiling.
Now testing $229 (Fib 0.382 + last week's low).
Lose it → $220 put wall.

Chart from my own terminal 👇

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@hokagecapital what is happening with $NBIS bro? 😭

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

$NBIS weekly close: $242.81 ✅

Held my $242 line. Barely, but it held.

The $250 call wall expired Friday.

Next week:

- Break $250 → $265 in play
- Lose $238 → I'm wrong

Still coiled. Monday decides 👇

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

$NBIS into the weekly close:

~$243, right under the $250 call wall that expires today.

My line:

- Weekly close above $242 → $250 breaks next week, $265 in play.
- Close below $238 → the squeeze fails.

As tight as it gets 👇

📸@TrendSpider

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@Gubloinvestor $250 call wall expires today. Once that pin is gone, I think the squeeze resolves up. Close above $242 and I'd be nervous on the short side

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

Nebius raised GPU prices 17-21% today, citing tight capacity.

My take: that's pricing power, not a bubble.

$NBIS: broke the downtrend, holding the 21 EMA (~$228), stuck at $250.

- Above $250 → $265, then $280
- Below $222 → $210

Burry has puts. BNP says $399. You? 👇

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

MU delivered. Scenario 🟢

Q4: $54.2B / $33.42 EPS (est. ~$51B / ~$31.5)

Q1 guide: $61.5B / $38.15 (est. ~$57B / ~$35)

Data center: $18B, +56% QoQ, 90% margin 🤯

Now the call decides:

- Supply tight into 2028 → 🚀
- Big capex hike → 📉

Called it yesterday 👇

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

Tonight, one report decides the whole AI trade.

Wells Fargo cut its $MU target to $1,400… while raising EPS.

Burry is short.

Options price ±10%.

$1,200 or $950? 👇

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

Vote 👇

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

Everyone expects $MU to beat tomorrow. That's the problem.

Street: $51B / $31.5 EPS | Options ±10%

🟢 Beat + strong guide (50%) → +10%
🟡 Beat, guide just in line (35%) → -5%
🔴 Pricing peaks, margins stall (15%) → -10%+

Print doesn't matter. Guide does. Which one? 👇

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@HKIStrategies I believe the low $60s support has held, and the next key level to watch is around $65

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@xenomecha Loved it, could you do one with $NBIS ?

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@HKIStrategies Exactly my thoughts! I think we'll see strong support at $75, with a lot of bids coming in at that level. Do you agree, or are you waiting for a different confirmed bottom? Personally, I think the one we hit at $62 is already solid.

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@HKIStrategies Thanks and last thing, what are your target price expectations for 1-3 months? Thanks again for everything and I hope to not have bothered you 🤣

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@HKIStrategies What’s the % you give it to happen? Because for me it’s a bit unlikely

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@iamBinHuzairu @FabrizioRomano To refresh your memory…

[Joaquín @joaquinborjaa]

@iamBinHuzairu @FabrizioRomano You are an United fan and you didn’t know after he made two crosses and tied the match on 2023 in Europa League? Hahahaha what a fan