Joe Knee

Making trading simple

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

I'm not like most of you.

I succeed through nailing 3 high conviction plays per year.

3x returns on these plays are perfect, I don't need 100x.

Here's my next bet including an invalidation criteria. 🧵

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

@cryptobullying Mate I’ve lost more than $10,000 on more days than I can count.

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

@cryptofergani Worth holding long term spot buys but still not deploying capital, waiting for momentum to flip before putting on new positions

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

@FortuneMMXM Awareness of market conditions and not trading my strategies sometimes even when setups materialise.

You can have the perfect breakout setup, but if the broader market is not favourable to breakouts you shouldn’t take the trade.

The hardest lesson is learning to do nothing.

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

If Bitcoin is going to rally now is the time

Often markets sell off into geopolitical news and then quickly recover if there’s seller exhaustion

Looking for a move by Tuesday latest

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

You can literally improve at trading instantly by asking:

"Who is on the other side of this trade and what information makes them want to trade with me?"

This is like a chess player considering their opponents move before acting.

Don't be so focused on yourself that you forget the game we are playing.

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

Next iteration will 100% be agents utilising defi and crypto rails to execute autonomously

People will go crazy

The feeling of real value and excitement will be palpable

Then 100000 meme coins purporting to fit this narrative will drop, value gets fragmented, retail gets rinsed, and it turns out we didn't learn a damn thing

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

This setup prints 74% of the time and I still don't see people trading it

Entry criteria:
1. BTC breaks to new lows ✅
2. SOL follows taking out swing low ✅
3. Retest into "value zone"❓

My algo only enters if we get the retest, otherwise the risk/reward is mid

Bookmark to see if it plays out AGAIN

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

Agree with your thesis but it is a dangerous idea for your audience.

Markets are efficient and the bulk of long-term returns come from a tiny % of days.

A study by JPMorgan Chase & Co. showed that missing just the 10 best days over 20 years can cut returns by ~50%+.

Most of those days happen around bottoms, when fear is highest.

For ~95% of people, staying invested through cycles beats trying to time tops.

This shit is proven.

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

Called the ZEC short in advance.

+245%.

I don’t post low-probability setups.
I wait.

Most traders lose because they can’t sit still.
Patience is the edge.
Nimbleness is the moat.

Hedge funds can’t copy that.

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

Most traders lose money because they can’t wait.

I’ve been stalking a 5-star short on ZEC for months.

It’s finally here.

Everyone thinks it’s “too late” to short because alts are already wrecked.

ZEC is the exception.

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

One of the biggest mistakes people make is trading to frequently

most people get rich from just buying and holding the right assets

the crypto boom-bust cycles have been a durable edge for the patient

all you need to execute is conviction and liquidity when the market is in despair

seperate your portfolio into a short term x long term basket so you don’t loose sight of opportunities on both timeframes

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

The long term risk/reward for ETH is insane but everyone is asleep at the wheel

$1,400 in April 25' broke conviction

Now the market is overweight BTC and expecting next cycle to play out the same way

This is EXACTLY the positioning which primes ETH to lead

Blackrock CEO Larry Fink recently said:

“We have more dependencies on maybe one blockchain... but that being said, the activities are probably processed and more secure than ever before.”

He isn't talk about BTC

Sad part is you once understood this but now the scars run to deep

All you need to know about ETH:

1) Adaptable to quantum threat

2) Long term network security without relying on POW

3) Native risk free yield

4) Use cases with network effects

5) ETF's for capital flows

6) Deep liquidity for institutions to pump price

7) Diversification benefit reducing sharpe ration in portfolio

8) Survivability across cycle

It's okay to DCA bitcoin and it will probably work out, but don't sleep on next cycles leader.

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

@CryptoGirlNova I don’t think there are any people that just joined crypto yesterday

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

@Tekeee To allow the universe to observe its self into existence

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

@aakashgupta Isn’t $5,000 just another 1% move?

Definitely sounds possible by Friday

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

People would be so much happier if they sold all of their crypto

I’m not talking forever you can always buy it back

But there’s a special clarity you can only have when your entire future isn’t riding on the markets giving you what you want

[Joe Knee @joeknee4]

Most traders lose money because they can’t wait.

I’ve been stalking a 5-star short on ZEC for months.

It’s finally here.

Everyone thinks it’s “too late” to short because alts are already wrecked.

ZEC is the exception.