In 2018, Bitcoin started late June/early July with 2 green weeks.
3rd week was red going into CPI.
Then Bitcoin bounced higher into late July/early August, before giving all the gains back by September.
Similar setup today.
if you take big losses that have catastrophic consequences such as large account depletion, losing a funded account or getting liquidated
then you're going to have negative associations with losses in the future in a game of losses
if this sounds like you then you need to get better at reducing your risk per trade and look to build over the longer term
take much smaller losses to get used to taking a stop out. simple stuff but gets lost in the NOW NOW NOW mentality of most modern trading
Mental and technical characteristics
Whats helped me over the years is constantly mapping my mental and technical performance per trade over the years...
Its one part of the journaling process - for those that assume journaling is post trade - for me its pre trade, during trade lifecyle and post trade...
pulling yourself away from the chart when you want to make something happen is one of the toughest parts of trading
sitting there trying to make something of dogshit price action is because of the 9-5 "productivity" mentality
it isnt compatible with this job
One of the most important videos you can watch in 2026.
A 24-minute masterclass on using Claude.
Upgrade your knowledge by watching.
Save & share this now.
You're welcome.
Smart trader "0x6adb" made $559K profit in less than 4 months by trading $HYPE options on @hypersurfaceX.
This trader mainly used 2 simple strategies:
• Sell puts when price dips → get paid if $HYPE doesn't fall further
• Sell covered calls when price pumps → get paid while selling higher
https://t.co/yEZ8ZnbwaS
Looking back, I think the single biggest mistake I made was my inability to sit out of the market. Not necessarily entering multiple times a day or repeated entries on a single trade idea, more that I couldn’t go days without a trade. I felt the need to at least have a crack at the market more days than not.
I didn't miss good trades because of this, but it meant I would constantly be taking sub optimal trades alongside the optimal ones, which meant I was costing myself EV for the sake of wanting to be in a position. As stupid as it sounds it would also cost me in the form of cutting winners too soon, out of fear for not being able to get into another position the following day.
I had to wrap my head around the fact that a day not executing wasn't necessarily a bad thing. I removed time from the equation. It was more a mental shift than anything else, to train myself to be able to sit out of the market for multiple days at a time and not being bothered by it at all.
tldr: Ignore time. This is one of the very few businesses where doing more doesn't equate to more money, you have to rewire your brain.
Cortisol is aging you faster than junk food.
Wrinkles, sleep loss, poor recovery, low libido.
Here are 8 natural ways to reduce high cortisol and stay young🧵
1. Saunas
I turn 24 today, a few things I wish I got told earlier about trading:
> find the boring stuff exciting
> curiosity = improvement
> start where your trade thesis is invalidated
> always know who is paying you & why
> create a deep connection with one market
> execution should be boring
> position sizing is the highest-leverage skill
> get comfortable being uncomfortable
> drawdowns exist in all profitable systems
> focus on trade input instead of outcome
> your edge can decay, keep monitoring
> trading is probabilities, never absolutes
> obsession is necessary
> more tools ≠ more info
I think the biggest takeaway from all of this is to remain curious, without it you will never generate any new ideas, and get stuck in horrible cycles.
Be open to new ideas, don't take them at face value and be willing to dig deep enough to a point where you have data to back up your thesis.
if you're going through it, you've got to journal. every day. talk to yourself
when times are tough you need that inner voice to be positive to keep you showing up and working hard
nobody else in the world will give you that except you and a pen
ai agents will move more money than humans by 2030. they won't use banks. they'll use stablecoins, smart contracts, and onchain rails. the financial system wasn't built for machines. crypto was.
Auction Context – Market Profile as Your Map
Before you think about placing a trade, you want to know where in the auction cycle the market is.
Market Profile gives you the structure that most traders don’t see when they’re staring at candlesticks.
5 Core Concepts to Track:
1. Value Area High (VAH) / Value Area Low (VAL)
Defines the 70% of the session’s volume where most business was done.
Outside of value = “expensive” or “cheap” to the market participants.
2. Point of Control (POC)
Price with the most activity = a magnet in balance conditions.
3. Main Day Type Recognition (there are others)
3.1 Balanced -> Mean reversion more likely.
3.2Trend Day -> Initiative activity dominates which means profile elongates in one direction.
3.3 Double Distribution → Two distinct value zones; mid-point acts as a pivot.
4. Structural References
Single prints, low-volume nodes (LVNs) and (HVNs), poor highs/lows, unfinished auctions, each can act as magnets or barriers.
5. Why this matters:
Knowing the auction context lets you pre-define where business is likely to occur and where rejections are probable = which stops you from chasing every micro move.
NOW ONTO GAME PLAN:
Auction context feeds into your game plan.
You’re answering the following:
“Am I a buyer, seller, or observer today?”
“Where is my line in the sand?”
Premarket Prep Routine:
- Mark prior session VAH, VAL, POC.
- Mark overnight high/low and see how they relate to prior value.
- Note anomalies (e.g., single prints) that could be filled.
Decide if you’re looking for:
Initiative trades (price driving away from value) ?
Responsive trades (price returning to value) ?
Bias Examples:
Open above VAH + holding → Look for longs if order flow supports continuation.
Open inside prior value → Fade moves to VAH or VAL unless initiative order flow breaks out.
Mindset:
You should be able to write your bias in one sentence before the open. If you can’t, you’re not ready to trade.
Anyway just my 1 cent whilst Im watching a trade develop - cheers