johnny blizzard

[Bobby @FlowbyBobby]

SPX heatmaps, comment your thoughts here

[TraderJonesy @TraderJonesy]

S&P 500 IMPLIED MOVES FOR TOMORROW

DAILY IMPLIED HIGH: $777.70–$778.85

DAILY IMPLIED LOW: $767.33–$768.48

WEEKLY IMPLIED HIGH: $779.80–$783.94

Three weeks in a row, we've tagged the weekly implied high and lows. Three weeks ago, we tagged the weekly implied low at 760. Two weeks ago, we tagged the weekly implied high at 780. Last week, we tagged the weekly implied low at 764 and this week we have gotten very close to tagging the weekly implied high at 779. Will we do it? We will see.

Three days in a row now. This week, we've tagged either the Daily implied low/highs.

My lean is still on us seeing 779 this week. Which is where I want to grab puts.

Also a thing to note? You have a large king node down at 760. 👀

Let’s see what the market gives us tomorrow.

— TJ

#SPX #SPY #SP500 #ES_F #QQQ #NDX #CL_F #US10Y #TLT

[Michael Bento @MichaelPBento]

https://t.co/y4MwL1d0zr

[TraderJonesy @TraderJonesy]

#SPY DAILY IMPLIED MOVES ARE OUT!! 👇

Daily implied move: $764.69 – $773.95
Daily iVol: $763.54 – $775.10

That's about a $4.63 move priced in off today's $769.32 close.

The zone between the implied move and iVol is the stretched zone. $773.95 – $775.10 above, $763.54 – $764.69 below.

Today we tagged the daily implied high at $771.06 and couldn't hold above it.

If we push into $774–$775 tomorrow, that's a stretched day and I'm not chasing it. If we flush into $763–$764, that's the edge of what the options market priced in and I'm watching for buyers to step in.

The weekly implied high is up at $779.80. The weekly implied low is all the way down at $746.70.

The game plan for my swings?

Calls at 755.
Puts at 779.

If I had to put my weight on which weekly implied move we hit? Based on signals, I am rolling with the 778-779 level getting tagged. That's where I will pick up puts. We will see.

#SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Options

[Michael Bento @MichaelPBento]

https://t.co/9OwYRItBM3

[Josh Howerton @howertonjosh]

CHRISTIANS: Don’t get confused about casting your vote…

Here are 3 things a vote is NOT ❌

[Michael Bento @MichaelPBento]

https://t.co/7WIwp5KYgX

[TraderJonesy @TraderJonesy]

S&P 500 IMPLIED MOVES FOR TOMORROW!

Here are the DAILY implied moves I'm watching for tomorrow.

DAILY IMPLIED HIGH: $776.65–$777.87

DAILY IMPLIED LOW: $765.71–$766.92

Now, remember what I told you guys yesterday?

We were bouncing right off that WEEKLY IMPLIED LOW at $766.48–$768.90, exactly where I was expecting buyers to step in.

And that's what we got.

Now, here's what I'm watching heading into tomorrow.

$772 is our largest node on the map right now. If buyers can push through that level and hold above it, I think there's a decent chance we make our way toward $775, potentially pushing into that daily implied high around $777–$778.

We also have that overhead gap that still needs to be watched.

HERE'S MY PLAN:

If we push toward $778 and that gap fill area, I'll be looking to add June puts.

On the flip side, if we get a gap down into the low $760s, I'll be looking for an opportunity to trade calls on a potential bounce. LIKELY SCALPS VIA 0DTE'S.

But I'm not forcing anything in between.

As of right now, I'm ALL CASH when it comes to my SPY trades.

That doesn't mean I'm out of the market entirely. I added to positions in $SNDK, $CRWV, $SKHY, $STX and $DELL today.

I'm simply waiting for SPY to reach a level where I actually want to put risk back on.

My larger bearish outlook hasn't changed. I'm still looking for $755 by the end of October but I'm more than willing to trade a short term bounce if the opportunity presents itself.

$772 is the level to watch first. Above that, $775, then potentially $778.

Otherwise, I'll be watching the daily implied low and waiting for a better entry.

Patience team. Let the market come to us.

$SPY $SPX

[TraderJonesy @TraderJonesy]

The S&P 500 just dropped 1.08% today.

There is officially an 85% probability of $SPY hitting 779 by Friday of next week...

I go over that probability in the video. The same probability that is calling for 755 by the end of October flagged today for a move to 779.

This is exactly where things start getting interesting.

I've been bearish on the larger market structure but that doesn't mean I'm going to ignore a potential short term buying opportunity when my model starts flashing one.

I'm now watching for a relief rally.

Does that mean the bottom is in? No.

We could see a strong bounce and still have another leg lower afterward.

That's the difference between trading the short term probabilities and changing your entire market outlook.

Full video 👇

#SPY #SPX #VIX #StockMarket

[Michael Bento @MichaelPBento]

https://t.co/bNmQyyHBW5

[Michael Bento @MichaelPBento]

https://t.co/XgNRENCH9G

[Surge Battery Metals @SurgeBattery]

The PFS establishes a Mineral Reserve at the Nevada North Lithium Project:

→ Reserve: 4.56 Mt LCE (218.3 Mt @ 3,928 ppm Li)
→ Full 42-year mine life, no Inferred in the plan
→ M&I: 10.5 Mt LCE @ 3,007 ppm Li
→ Incl. high grade core: 6.7 Mt LCE @ 3,820 ppm Li

$NILI.V $NILIF

[TraderJonesy @TraderJonesy]

The S&P 500 is rallying and everyone is getting comfortable again.

That’s exactly what has my attention.

So I decided to make a video on it for you guys.

Complacency is everywhere but the underlying problems haven’t just disappeared.

Video below ⬇️

#SPX #SPY #SP500

[Surge Battery Metals @SurgeBattery]

Production profile from the Nevada North Lithium Project PFS:

Phase 1 plant designed for ~55,900 tpa of battery-grade lithium carbonate. Phase 2 doubles processing capacity, peaking at ~111,400 tpa in Year 7.

Life-of-mine average: ~92,250 tpa LCE over 42 years.

$NILI.V $NILIF

[TraderJonesy @TraderJonesy]

THE 10 YEAR YIELD CLOSED AT 5.31% YESTERDAY.

Its highest close since 2002. And today?

The S&P 500 is printing NEW ALL TIME HIGHS.

So I went back to 1980 and pulled every major 10 year yield top that occurred while stocks were within 3% of their highs.

I found 5.

2000.
2004.
2010.
2011.
2013.

3 of those 5 were followed by a 10%+ stock market drawdown within the next year.

Now, before someone takes that and runs with it...

I'm NOT saying yields alone are going to crash the market.

This is ONE piece of a much larger puzzle I'm watching.

Yields.
Crude oil.
Breadth.
Margin debt.
Midterm seasonality.
My own systematic signals.

And now price is pushing into the upper implied moves while the S&P makes new highs.

I'm putting my money where my mouth is.

My December puts are currently down roughly 30%.

And I ADDED today.

I'm not hiding the drawdown. I'm not deleting the posts. I'm not changing the thesis because price moved against me.

My first target is $SPY 755 by the end of October.

I'm putting an 85% probability on it.

If I'm wrong?

TJ puts on a REAL clown suit for Halloween. 😂

But make no mistake...

Whether 755 hits by October 30th or not does NOT change my larger Q4 thesis.

My larger target remains $SPY 715 by the end of December.

I'm putting an 80% probability on that move.

Aggressive? Absolutely.

But I've put aggressive calls on the board before.

October 2025 move AND countertrend move? Hit.

November 2025 move AND the countertrend move? Hit.

The tight range and consolidation from Dec-Feb? Hit.

March drop? Hit. It didn't last long but the move still came.

$SPY 780 by the end of August? Hit.

Now we're back up here testing these highs again and I'm putting the next move on the board BEFORE it happens.

$SPY 755 by October 30th.

$SPY 712 by the end of December.

Laugh. Troll. Screenshot it. Bookmark it.

I don't need you to believe me today.

Let's come back to this post on December 31st and see where we are.

Win or lose, the post stays up.

I have the balls to put my analysis, targets and timeline out there prior and take the heat that comes with it.

— TJ

$SPX $SPY #SP500 $ES_F $QQQ $NDX $CL_F #US10Y $TLT

[TraderJonesy @TraderJonesy]

I just added to my December $SPY position.

We're now hitting the upper DAILY implied move AND pushing into the upper WEEKLY implied move.

This is exactly the area I've been waiting for.

The options market essentially priced this as the upper end of the expected range for the week. These levels aren't guaranteed reversal points but they're areas where I start looking for price to stall and potentially mean revert.

Look at last week.

$SPY pushed into the LOWER weekly implied move around 760, bottomed and rallied hard from there.

Now we're testing the opposite side.

We're hitting the UPPER implied move going directly into Fed minutes tomorrow and I'm positioning for the opposite reaction.

My objective remains around $755.5, where I plan to offload most of what I've added over the last couple of days.

And if you haven't seen my latest imbalance study, go look at it.

I went through EVERY imbalance I've tracked over the last two years.

52 total.
50 eventually taken out.
96% of the completed imbalances were taken out within 35 trading days.

We still have one sitting below us.

Upper weekly implied move.
Fed minutes tomorrow.
Imbalance below.

Now we see if this area does its job.

[Michael Bento @MichaelPBento]

https://t.co/9zF9XGf9HH

[johnny blizzard @johnny_blizzard]

@hamza_xau trade

[Josh Howerton @howertonjosh]

By popular demand, here’s the full #LadderGate2026 sermon illustration.

Week 7 of series through 2 Timothy, right after a few hundred people surrendered to Christ and are deciding whether to be obedient in baptism next week.

Would do this again a thousand times for those ppl (if I weren’t getting too old for stuff like this!)

[johnny blizzard @johnny_blizzard]

@TraderJonesy Bravo sir, way to go.

do you publish your indicators? I cannot find them.