Johnny ₿ Goode

Researching bitcoin and producing findings on tools for bitcoin related financial planning on

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

How much bitcoin do you need to retire with $100K per year?

https://t.co/mbFtgHa3G9

[David @david_eng_mba]

Below P-10: Stress Signal. Not Model Failure.

Spot: $60,906
P-10 floor: $62,570
Gap: −2.66%
Current breach streak: 1 day
Historical breach rate: 10.37%
Longest breach streak: 234 days
Deepest breach: −41.51% on Jan. 14, 2015

This is not model failure.

The model says Bitcoin should trade below this floor roughly 10% of the time.

So the breach itself is not the signal.

Duration is the signal.

1 day below P-10 = stress.
234 days below P-10 = historic regime stress.
Permanent failure to recover = model break.

Current state:

Bitcoin is 1 day into a stress event.

The floor path still rises:

2026: $62.6K
2027: $86.5K
2028: $123.4K
2030: $223.5K
2036: $782.0K

The floor is not collapsing.

Price is below it.

That is the entire point.

$BTC is not breaking the model, it's trading in the panic tail of the model.

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@Tasha1644 Why are they all eating terrible food?

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

Seeing more and more screenshots like these!

[Wealth Squad Chris @Chrissssjohnson]

Bought another Bitcoin this morning at $61,700

Ignore the news, ignore the doubters, ignore the uninformed, ignore the illiterate, ignore the innumerate

Keep stacking

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@FotopoulosHaris @KillaXBT https://t.co/7AfXlEPi2O

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@dotkrueger Such an interesting point that the market changes from multiple monopolies to a couple extremely competitive companies.

Especially when the switching costs are small when they use md files and code bases for context.

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

There’s a sentiment shift happening. Right here and now.

Bullish on Bitcoin.

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

I’m seeing the bitcoin power law floor manifest in the discourse here:

Lots of low price calls combined with “but I’m buying anyway.”

People are starting to agree that Bitcoin is cheap.

At some point there are not enough sellers to keep the price down.

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

I’m seeing the bitcoin power law floor manifest in the discourse here:

Lots of low price calls combined with “but I’m buying anyway.”

People are starting to agree that Bitcoin is cheap.

At some point there are not enough sellers to keep the price down.

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@btcanalytica We’ll see! What is your bottom call?

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

In a few days the bitcoin power law floor (p5) value will be above 60k USD.

Higher than the previous low in February.

Meanwhile the price tests the lower boundaries.

Will the floor hold like it always has?

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@WouterHODL Ik denk dat het ook wel een kwestie is van dit durven te vragen. Wil mijn kinderen in elk geval wel aanmoedigen die vragen te stellen!

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

Imagine how pissed off everyone will be when it goes back to the power law floor in 2037.

Floor will be $1 million…

[Matteo Pellegrini @matteopelleg]

the first time i bought bitcoin it was $600 and back then nobody talked about being $68k one day

yet here we are

bitcoin is going to $1M

it's not complicated

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@humblestacker 🙏🙏🙏

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

I just received my first donation ever on my site https://t.co/dROodv1mPi

Very grateful! Thank you!

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

Bitcoin is very cheap compared to the power law trend, which is at 138k or so today.

Close to the 60k floor.

Trend moves to about 160k in January 2027 to 215k in Jan 28, close to 300k in Jan 2029.

A good euphoria phase easily allows 2-3x trend.

The opportunity of today is striking.

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@BitPaine But every time they sell the price drops 10k! 🤣

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

No. Power law floor is already above 59k and growing every day. I think it is highly unlikely.

[HodlHabit @HodlHabit]

Do you think Bitcoin will dip down into $50k territory?

1. Yes
2. No

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

Me and everybody else who believes in freedom!

[Dividend Hero @HeroDividend]

What is stopping Bitcoin from heading to $0?

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

This.

[David @david_eng_mba]

$BTC's North Star

Bitcoin's P-10 floor is chasing price.

Spot: $68,278
P-10 floor: $62,447 or 8.5% below.

And it isn't flat. It's rising.

P-10 floor ladder:
Jun '26 $62K
Sep '26 $69K
Dec '26 $76K
Jun '27 $89K
Dec '27 $108K

If price falls, it tests the floor.
If price chops, the floor rises into price.
Either way, the gap closes.

By September, the floor is already in today's spot zone.

Bitcoin doesn't need to crash for risk/reward to improve.
It just needs time.

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@r_pavan But do your own research

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

This is a good a time as any to remind ourselves:

Everybody needs to save money for a later day.

The best way to save money is in the hardest, best form of money.

Bitcoin is the hardest and best money ever made.

Therefore, everybody will save in bitcoin.

[Johnny ₿ Goode @Johnnybitgood]

@r_pavan You can avoid most of it if you setup a BV and use an agio deposit to send bitcoin to it.

It keeps it tax free since only realized gains are taxed.

You can borrow against it even tax free.