John Smith

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@realPrestonHill Losing Texas would be tragic to GOP morale but dems losing it would hurt theirs in Texas as well. I think the GOP understands the gravity of the situation and polling seems to suggest that money can save Paxton

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@GrantMa25066011 Let’s hope he will start moving like prime desantis if he wins

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@JustR_02 The ads seem to be working, but they aren’t hitting talarico hard enough.

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@ninjaiceberg @joeyhannum That’s cool, but I don’t think he wanted it executed this way when the SPRs and such weren’t even ready

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@UNATCOHillaryPC lol only +2 among 65+ is incredibly sketchy

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@TonerousHyus It’s misleading to saw the strait of Hormuz has been bypassed. Oil flows are certainly up but we need the strait to be open to bring down fertilizer prices and further allow oil exports to increase. The blockade is absolutely crippling them though

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@DScottDorgan @RedEaglePatriot Shit has to love heaven and earth bro hopefully Rs do a GOTV operation

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@davidslosttt Wasn’t Biden still president in late 2024?

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@HappyMomofBen Is there any proof for any of these claims? The only poll I’ve seen so far shows the race tightening in favor of Paxton (still a bad situation though).

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@realPrestonHill Abbott is only +5 with non college voters here. That seems a bit low, but are those margins for Rs among blue collar workers just smaller in general because of the Hispanic makeup?

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@DScottDorgan @RedEaglePatriot What is the October surprise bro? The alleged GOTV operation?

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@realPrestonHill He’s basically maxed out among democrats and whatever share he got with republicans is probably maxed out or will decline soon with the attack ads coming in. Paxton will probably win +1.5 to +2 unless brown screws him ovrr

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@Not_Dem_Not_Rep @realPrestonHill Bro you know $100 million in ads didn’t run yet right? Also adjusting for candidate rate that shit is more like $50 million lol

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@TroyMOlson This is a center right country. As a republican, be proud to represent your voters and put them first, and you’ll probably win your election. I wouldn’t necessarily be discouraged by a bad environment because we will and can always come back stronger

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@TroyMOlson No, more democratic internals could absolutely coincide with weak R performance. The only counter to this I can think of is that more D polls are being released because of fundraising needs, but I wouldn’t believe that.

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@RealTXPolitics Lmfao probably. It’ll probably show Paxton gop +70 and talarico +97 or sm shi like that

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@realPrestonHill I think I would lean towards option 2 more broadly, but option 1 for this poll specifically. A lot of voters are frustrated that their senators aren’t doing more to act in the interest of their states but instead being to loyal to the White House (for Rs)

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@realPrestonHill Isn’t around 40% college electorate about right in Iowa? Is text heavy sampling bad in Iowa because of the older electorate being less responsive to it?

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@earlyvotedata @realPrestonHill What are the sampling issues?

[John Smith @JohnSmithexd7]

@liberalboomer2 @realPrestonHill Most intelligent lib et discourse