ThinkTank

Providing complex solutions to simple problems.

It has never been more important to be aware of reality than yesterday!

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

The level of brainwashing in the US is biblical when you see just how many Americans still haven't worked out that they are the ones paying for the tariffs on goods and services.

The Trump administration is screwing US businesses and consumers over and you are cheerleading this.

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

Westerners really need to learn to stop thinking that if they spout bullshit about nations like China, Russia and Iran that it magically means it will come to pass.

Do you not realise how idiotic it makes you appear?

Perhaps living in the world of adults is to much to bear for you?

[ThinkTank @jonny_shep]

@CelticAshes https://t.co/8JPYZmU3mW

[Alpha News @AlphaNews]

BREAKING: Alpha News has obtained cellphone footage showing perspective of federal agent at center of ICE-involved shooting in Minneapolis

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

NEW: Western Currencies Will Be Destroyed

https://t.co/UVLT4n9ucd

[Kathleen Tyson @Kathleen_Tyson_]

China will not relax its rare earths export ban because it is the key to achieving global peace and security for both West and East Asia.

Bretton Woods II ended 9 December 2022 in Riyadh when two pivotal events happened the same day. Chairman Xi made a speech to camera favouring a Palestinian state, 1967 borders, capital at Jerusalem. Later he stood with the heads of state of the Gulf Cooperation Council and invited them to sell oil and gas in Shanghai for CNY. Neither event was reported in any Western media.

Fast forward to April 2025 when China responds to Trump tariffs with a rare earths export ban. The Ukraine war and Gaza genocide have depleted US and Western weapons inventories. The world has a rare chance at peace for an interval of 5-10 years if Western arms makers can’t get rare earths to restock for further wars and wider genocides in occupied Palestine, Lebanon, and Syria.

Add in Pakistan downing 6 Indian fighter jets with Chinese-made J-15E jets and J-10E missiles. Air dominance is no longer made in the West or exclusive to US allies. Egypt has just taken delivery of its own similar jets and missiles.

Now we have ASEAN+China issuing 2 Joint Statements for cooperation in May. The first with Japan and South Korea means there will be no WW3 in Asia. The second with GCC sets Palestinian statehood and security as a joint goal. Neither Joint Statement was covered in any Western media.

We are about to have a peace imposed by denial of the means of war. The rare earths export ban will cause production lines to shut down within months. Sadly, cars and EV production will cease as well as jets, missiles, shells, and high tech war gear.

No Western media covers the story of Japanese, Koreans, and Arabs embracing ASEAN+China because it is unimaginable for them that any US military occupied states can have agency to change or challenge the US imposed order for a better, less murderous future.

Even if the Western media won’t publish it, the world changed already. Japan, South Korea, and GCC chose peace and cooperation with ASEAN+China.

The rare earths export ban will protect them from US vengeance.

Interesting times.

https://t.co/rhobNBFe6t

https://t.co/KXgwXUW3qI

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

No one with a functioning brain takes this seriously. If Trump imagines this is going to remotely concern Russia or change their perspective on the war then he is living in cloud cuckoo land.

[ThinkTank @jonny_shep]

@thesiriusreport Thank you.

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

Many still don't grasp that enormous inflation exists inside the western financial system due to the existence of dozens of asset bubbles that are ridiculously overpriced. They are also highly illiquid. So when they burst and they will, asset prices will implode rapidly and take down the Western financial system and institutions with it.

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

The most staggering aspect of the digital garbage is that people genuinely imagine that the current financial architecture is going to allow private individuals to scupper that architecture and replace it with the digital garbage.

Seriously how naive must you be to believe that?

They will take huge pleasure in seeing retail getting destroyed by investing in it and will delight in pulling the plug when they have exhausted the amount of retail invested in it, which will then result in the largest capital destruction event in human history.

Meanwhile central banks are loading up on gold.

Have you asked yourself why?

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

MBS understands the new reality.

So if Saudi ever had to make a choice between China and the US. China wins:

If China falls, everyone on the planet falls, even America.

[ThinkTank @jonny_shep]

@thesiriusreport I can see it.

[Kot Bot @kot_b0t]

Why Your Reasoning is Wrong

1. You mistakenly assume that China "must" fight to retain supply chains.

No, China is no longer a country dependent on being the world's cheap factory.
For over a decade, China's strategic plan (e.g., Made in China 2025) has been a deliberate move away from low-end manufacturing toward high-end automation, robotics, AI, and domestic market development.
Thus, the outflow of low-margin, low-tech production is even welcomed in the long-term view.

2. You wrongly assume that companies can easily relocate production.

Relocating a supply chain is not flipping a switch:

India: lacks infrastructure, suffers from bureaucratic chaos, and has energy and logistics bottlenecks.

Vietnam: simply too small to absorb even a fraction of China’s production.

Mexico: corruption, crime, and insufficient industrial base.

Building a full-scale industrial ecosystem takes decades, not months.
Nobody is building a "second China" anytime soon. Even companies looking to "diversify" are still deeply committed to China — especially for serving the Asian market.

3. You wrongly think that time is China's enemy.

In reality, time favors China, not the U.S.:

The U.S. faces inflation, rising production costs, and social unrest.

China is systematically developing its internal market and reducing dependency on exports (exports currently account for ~14% of GDP).

Shifting towards internal consumption is a planned strategic pivot, not a reaction to tariffs.

4. You wrongly assess reputational risk for China.

Despite all the noise, most companies are not exiting China:

The Chinese domestic market is too large, too wealthy, and growing too fast to ignore.

In 2024, many companies like Tesla, BMW, and Apple expanded their operations in China.

Fully exiting China would be financial suicide for many corporations.

5. You misinterpret the impact of tariffs on firms.

Tariffs hit U.S. consumers and businesses much harder than China:

Chinese goods are often rerouted through third countries.

Americans pay higher prices, while China's export machine adapts and retools.

Tariffs have inflated costs in the U.S., not crippled China.

6. You naively assume the U.S. can "negotiate a win".

Today, China needs the U.S. much less than the U.S. needs China:

China is diversifying trade ties (ASEAN, Latin America, Middle East).

Building independent payment systems (CIPS instead of SWIFT).

Accelerating technological self-sufficiency in critical sectors.

Thinking China will be cornered into concessions misunderstands both Chinese strategy and geopolitical reality.

7. You fundamentally misread China's negotiation behavior.

In Chinese culture, losing face through capitulation is worse than economic pain.

If a deal looks like humiliation, China will endure the pain rather than bow to external pressure.

China would rather suffer short-term losses than be seen as weak.

8. Final conclusion: Your argument reflects classic Western wishful thinking.

You approach the problem with a typical Western mindset:

Linear, short-term cause-and-effect logic,

Expecting immediate results,

Without appreciating China's civilizational patience and strategic time horizon.

China thinks in decades, not in fiscal quarters.
China will not dance to America's clock.

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

Absolutely correct.

Fuelled by clowns with zero experience working in the financial sector with huge reputations built on absolutely nothing.

The one upside to what's coming and going on is that these people will disappear from X because their credibility will be destroyed.

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

The low level low IQ US intelligence assets on X are freaking out about China, by posting total nonsense about that nation.

[Kathleen Tyson @Kathleen_Tyson_]

Russia is entering the war in West Asia at Syria’s request after Israel struck the Russian Khmeimim Airbase in Syria.

US reinforced and rearmed its illegal occupation bases in Syria in September, and suspended plans to remove bases from occupied Iraq.

We are very close to direct Russia-US military engagement.

As in Ukraine, Russia will win, allied with Syria and Iraq, squeezing out the US occupiers with pressure from all sides and compromised US resupply logistics.

The era of empire ends in West Asia.

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

A very simple piece of advice and it will save you an awful lot of wasted time and meaningless analysis.

When Western politicians open their mouths and words fall out they mean absolutely nothing. They have no relevance to the reality of what they claim to be speaking about.

The West is now essentially an irrelevance in global terms, militarily, politically, economically and financially.

People don't appear to understand how late stage the West is in terms of it's own Soviet style collapse.

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

There is indeed no master plan.

Yes most of the alt media conspiracy stuff is nonsense. It was planted years ago so by now people believe it to be true. It's how propaganda works. People just swapped one version for another.

It's total chaos and incompetent morons are not so much competing with each other, although as the West collapses that is beginning to happen, but trying to get what they want even if that means causing serious damage to others in the process.

They have been destroying the Western empire for decades because they are fundamentally clueless and useless. It is why this idea they are deliberately destroying their own empire is also ridiculous.

Good to see people are seeing the reality of what is going on. It is the next step in the process of what people like to term waking up. You realise that too much of the alt media is littered with conspiracy nonsense. Then you begin to understand what is really going on.

[Kathleen Tyson @Kathleen_Tyson_]

Colour revolutionists might as well go home.
The military backs Maduro.

[Caitlin Johnstone @caitoz]

It's so wild how every few years the US just casually tries to install a coup regime in the oil-rich nation of Venezuela and the western political-media class treats this as perfectly normal. And then they'll have the gall to shriek about "election interference" if some Russians make some Facebook memes about a presidential race. Really says a lot about how evil, entitled, supremacist and stupid western civilization is.

[The Sirius Report @thesiriusreport]

The reason the US has thrown their toys out of the proverbial pram wrt to the Venezuelan presidential election is because they can't understand how after all their efforts to influence the outcome of this election, Maduro still won.