Josekoshy

An Avid News & Stock Market follower !

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@Iamsamirarora So rightly said, already the FII investment in Bond is slowing and reversing despite the Tax relief etc due to hardening US Yields. We must avoid the SGB Fiasco of sorts by planning well as you are recommending ! Tomorrows RBI Policy will have some signs of the direction...

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@TheClubJunto G8 Insights Vikas, Bang On - to add, FII's buy on valuation attractiveness Vs Growth and Liquidity. There are many Countries in EMs that are so attractive just now. Japan is Strengthening its Currency & Increasing rates which is Pushing Money there and its at ATH....

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@GlobalMktObserv Its not that alarming, please benchmark it against M2 / Nominal GDP Growth - Its 5.3% annualized in 12 Years.

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@AlgoBoffin Fed n US Treasuries Bluff Called by the Bond Market..25 Bps cut n Future Cuts not acceptable by the Funders .... Interesting day's ahead

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@AlgoBoffin Guess the SIPers have not seen 'Mutual Pain'..The Equity MF is Rs 40 Lac Crs ! A 10% Redemption is 1 Year worth of Sales and FII's will not Buy the SMIDs..So who will Rescue them ? There will be No Valuation Logic in a Fire Sale !

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@sandipsabharwal They only cut to the extent to maintain Margins..Its Rs 1.12 Lac Crs a drop of Rs 1000 Crs on the SMID Selling ! Market is so much more cleaner now with the Delta Based OI Implementation.

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@AshishMeher7 Good to see it as a % of AUM..That will give the reality

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@piyushchaudhry Most of them miss that FII's use Derivatives to hedge and its not just Index Futures....The Data as EOD Yesterday is 150K Index Short & 1.3M Long in Stocks Futures. Then you have the Options that is also used..Can see FII's have been Net Longs consistently.

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@sandipsabharwal No Comments..

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@sandipsabharwal Hi Sandip, I differ with you on the Strong INR, we need to strengthen it further, look at what Argentina did with their economy and currency by running a tight Ship and Controlling Govt. Spends and now on Surplus..108% Mcap Gain !

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@manurishiguptha It's the Valuation Pop of the HDB Listing soon !

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@MichaelMOTTCM The Spread is the Liquidity that has been induced and PE Expansion ! Too Much money chasing assets at any Price. Hope to see some sanity soon !

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@InvesysCapital Interesting Observation..It also says Currency Devaluation !

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@_KiranRajput IMO @ NIFTY EPS of 1050 and Typically we get 2X Nominal Growth ! The Lowest we can get is 18K on NIFTY ie. 16X PE !

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@dugalira Yes, Its 3.3% of AUM of FII in 2020 Vs 1% of AUM in 2024. One of the reasons, we are not seeing a Big Fall ! But Surely they are seeing Growth Stall ! Too many Red Flags

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@SarangSood Sign of Peak Bull Market ! :-)

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@deepakshenoy All the Right reasons to Cut rates, Inflation < 4%, Liquidity @ Rs 2.8Lac Crs, Growth Slowing across Sectors - GST Growth @ 7.5%, Call Rates @ 6.1%, Forex Reserve's > $700B, FII's moving money to China due to them easing. Hope RBI acts ahead.

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@_KiranRajput It's Commodity without Moat. Should get 0.5X PEG.. Present Valuation is High.

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@MahuaMoitra @SEBI_India Well done, Regulators must not be perceived to be compromised ! Capital Markets have Investment from LIC/Provident Fund/ Insurance / Trusts etc too..So they affect 1/3rd of the Population Directly or Indirectly ! Very Few Law makers like you have skin in the game. Thank You !

[Josekoshy @josekoshy]

@_KiranRajput Your Comparison must be with Brokerage/MF Houses. Compare with ICICI Direct / Nuvama / IIFL etc. Low Margin Business need to maintain High Growth to sustain Earnings.