Joseph Invests

Founder | Equity research, valuation & market analysis | Turning data into conviction | Not financial advice

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

My top stocks for the next few years

$ZETA: $19>100+
$SOFI: $18>$90+
$CELH: $29>$150+
$IREN: $45>$200+
$META: $550>$2000+
$HIMS:$33>$120+

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@TheLongApe I love $ZETA, $CELH, $SOFI, $IREN right now. What other plays are you looking at right now?

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

This drawdown is a great lesson for investors especially anyone in $IREN.
KNOW WHAT YOU OWN
Understand the fundamentals of your companies, where is revenue going, where are earnings going, what is their competitive advantage, where do you see margins going, what is your SWOT analysis. Where do you see them with your projections and what is their bear case.
A lot of investors of $IREN bought around $65 a share on a momentum trade not understanding the fundamentals of the shifts in the company after it jumped from $32. They just knew a story and nothing else and never did their research. They are the same people now selling out and making a scene on X around $35 understanding nothing and saying the same story over and over again. If they took a step back and looked at Horizon one is coming online July 19th from sources with the $MSFT deal and that the company has the 3 level stack with the Mirantis acquisition for the software part of $IREN they would realize this companies competitive advantage is more than a month drawdown. A lot of investors have the problem where they just go off sentiment and all they say is dilution, warriors, and bad management. Nothing ever about the fundamental business model and the deals that have been executed. They say nothing about the huge demand for compute and I do not pay attention to analysts much but their price targets is 135% higher than the price we have today and institutions now hold their highest ownership ever. While retail sells institutions buy and load up shares at low prices.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@MSwordsman2ax $NBIS is down 40% actually. In my opinion down 50% is a better opportunity then. Bigger margin of safety

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

Here is why I still have confidence in $IREN going forward after the recent drop since $70.

1. Mirantas acquisition allowing the company to complete the 3 layer adoption that only they have. They have the data centers and own the land they are built on. They buy GPU’s so they have the cloud and they have now the software to branch out to enterprises.
2. Vertically integrated business model will allow them to command higher margins over time. When you own everything you can make it cheaper.
3. $NVDA and $MSFT deal will be starting to be run rate revenue on July 19. This will take away their execution risk.
4. $META building data centers shows how stricken the compute narrative is and there is a huge need for it. Bullish for all the Neo clouds. If NY and other states bank data centers then that creates more of a supply constraint.
5. Ai build out is not close to over $ASML is expanding capacity 30% in 2027 and 2028 and $TSMC is expanding capacity. Both of the companies have been burned in the past so them doing it shows the need and the vision they have.
6. Completely oversold they are trading at a market cap less than the revenue they will recognize just from those 2 deals.
7. 1 deal which is coming will change sentiment.
8. This is a whole sector wide sell off in companies not effected and actually benefit from recent news.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@TheLongApe Management says 12-14% growth and internal targets of 80 billion by EOY 2030. 72 billion is right on that track. I personally am still waiting to start sub $60 because I like other opportunities better on a risk vs reward but it has my eye right now

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@TheLongApe These are my projections

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@TheLongApe I have them doing $3.83 EPS x 31 TTM PE(25 fpe) and a $118 target price in exactly a year Q2 2027 for them. So roughly $17600

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@Investinc_Intel $IREN

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@MSwordsman2ax What is wrong with $NBIS then that it is down 30%. This is a Neo cloud wide sell off. What about $PLTR when they went from $200-$100?

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@TheLongApe Absolutely, so many great things about the stock and the company.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@StockMKTNewz This is a bottom signal

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@XiaGuan11201 I hope the stock goes to 7 with the same fundamentals.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@TheLongApe Fully agree 60% eps growth this year 40% thru end of 2029. This is with Noto also sand bagging. Legacy bank business model with the ecosystem. Rate cuts. Noto buying between $15-$18 I hope it stays here for a bit so I can keep loading up.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@JoeyRyan777 $MSFT that is why I said and then the deal

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@Ashton_1nvests $SOFI

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@cjtylor @jksti I am looking it from a long term price. I am not trading this stock.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@WatcherGuru This has to be fake right

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@VisothSreng If you want life changing gains in any stocks or the overall market you need to do the opposite of the average investor who does not beat the market. That includes buying when companies are fundamentally undervalued and there is extreme fear.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

You are welcome. Every time you see a stock or stocks in a sector down huge you have to think did anything fundamentally change with the businesses, are they overvalued or undervalued right now, or are they actually being disrupted. If it is the exact same as it is with $IREN right now, and you bought much higher then you should even have more confidence for the long term. Do not let these people on X get to you by panicking. Like Warren Buffet said be greedy when others are fearful. Times where the sentiment is bad for absolutely not reason over overkill are usually the best times to be buying and especially not selling out of positions.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@Lucelex Except one is growing revenue at sub 10% and one has a CAGR of over 100% for years to come.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

@MichaelWaitze I completely agree. A complete mid understanding of everything from Wall Street across the whole sector. The demand and the build out is there. The mad 7 is going to go fcf negative but somehow they are the ones getting a bid. They won’t shut off the capex till after 2027.

[Joseph Invests @JosephFGI]

The $TSMC EARNINGS AND GUIDANCE IS INCREDIBLY BULLISH FOR $IREN AND $AMD.

For $IREN when you have the biggest chip manufacturer beating earnings heavy and saying the demand is still flying up that means the ai trade is all well. Companies are still ordering chips like crazy because they are trying to build out. They are doing this because there are insane needs for compute. This shows that there is a supply crunch for $IREN and that they will have huge pricing power since they are the only company with the capacity in their owned and built data centers. Because $NBIS leases that is why they are pivoting to the asset light model for companies to build their own because their business model does not allow them to expand like that. Back to their main topic more AI demand better pricing for $IREN and that is why they are waiting to show execution and will go for contracts once they have sites energized so those deals command a premium.

For $AMD this shows their supplier is seeing massive revenue. If their supplier is getting massive revenue because they are making their chips then they are selling a lot of chips. Just looking down the supply line you can tell $AMD is in for a big beat. Now what Wall Street does with that is up in the air. This also shows the AI build out is fully underway and those hyper scalers are likely going to raise their capex because someone has to be spending the extra money. It capex is raised all of these AI companies will get a boost and calm wall streets nerves.