JP

CRYPTO | CHARTS | NFTS |
TA is a meme.. until it isn't.

[JP @jp_nft]

zoom out. study this. pt3

bottom around October 2026
top September 2029

things to watch at lows Oct 26':
- range to form
- SFP of lows/capitulation candles
- pivot (blue) on the RSI
- above pink EMA21 confirms bull
- above 50 on RSI

things to watch at highs Sep 29':
- SFP
- +2 RSI divergence arrows (red)
- lower high
- lose pink EMA21

GLHF

[JP @jp_nft]

zoom out. study this. pt2

[JP @jp_nft]

R:R on alts look good here

[JP @jp_nft]

tron:native/BTC tron is about to break this multi-year accumulation range against btc

[JP @jp_nft]

i swear everytime this otto guy mentions base szn we top out ffs

[JP @jp_nft]

the #ALTSZN chart. if/when we push above the 8% mark and hold, i think alt szn starts.

[JP @jp_nft]

ethereum:0x4a220e6096b25eadb88358cb44068a3248254675 anyone else like the chart here?

[JP @jp_nft]

$ETH weekly bera flag into some sort of capitulation before we get chop that will put in the bottom imo.

[JP @jp_nft]

@justintrimble @opensea $SEA you later...

[JP @jp_nft]

@opensea read the room.. for once.

[JP @jp_nft]

@TylerDurden da hongfei

[JP @jp_nft]

$PUMP trying to reclaim the range lows. if it can S/R flip the lvl, it'll try to push to the mid range or range highs.

[JP @jp_nft]

Why doesn't @opensea undertand this?

if they wait for perfect market conditions FDV might start higher but it'll just bleed non stop.

if they launch in "unfavourable" conditions people will jeet at lower FDV, OS can buy their float lower so if/when the bull market comes the rally will be legendary.

[JP @jp_nft]

Feels like everyone in crypto pivoted to TCGs

[JP @jp_nft]

@GuarEmperor have you heard of Work 2 Earn? 😭

[JP @jp_nft]

@sqalef we just add a new colour to the rainbow

[Cobie @cobie]

@CanteringClark Idk who said it but I remember a long time ago a tweet that said something like “you act too quickly when you are trying to grow capital, and you act too slowly when you are trying to protect capital” and it rly changed my life tbh

[JP @jp_nft]

@cry_bebi @opensea what's your refund looking like?

[JP @jp_nft]

@azaztrader01 every single cycle

[JP @jp_nft]

$BTC Capitulation lows from cycle ATH:
2015: -87%
2018: -83%
2022: -77%
2026: -65-69%

Timing the exact bottom hard BUT historically whenever $BTC drops below the 0.786 FIB, it's sell everything and buy BTC time. For the current cycle that level is around $39000.

[JP @jp_nft]

zoom out. study this. pt3

bottom around October 2026
top September 2029

things to watch at lows Oct 26':
- range to form
- SFP of lows/capitulation candles
- pivot (blue) on the RSI
- above pink EMA21 confirms bull
- above 50 on RSI

things to watch at highs Sep 29':
- SFP
- +2 RSI divergence arrows (red)
- lower high
- lose pink EMA21

GLHF

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[RYAN SΞAN ADAMS - rsa.eth 🦄 @RyanSAdams]

THEY DID IT.

The SEC and CFTC just dropped a landmark document that officially classifies crypto assets.

They're actually telling us which crypto assets are securities and which ones aren't - by name!

THIS IS SOMETHING GENSLER REFUSED TO DO

(he focused on prosecuting crypto out of existence)

This rule doc gives crypto many of the benefits of the clarity bill - it lifts us out of the gray market - it gives every asset a path.

It's almost like the Clarity act just passed by way of regulator.

(of course, the actual clarity act will harden all this into legislation and make it irreversible in the event we get another Gensler, we still want it)

This rule says there's 5 categories for crypto assets:

1) Digital Commodities - assets tied to a functional, decentralized crypto system (e.g., BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, DOGE). Not securities. (yes, they name them on page 14)

2) Digital Collectibles - NFTs, meme coins, artwork tokens, in-game items. Not securities (fractionalized collectibles may be an exception).

3) Digital Tools - membership tokens, credentials, domain names (e.g., ENS). Not securities.

4) Stablecoins - payment stablecoins under the GENIUS Act are not securities. Other stablecoins, it depends.

5) Digital Securities - tokenized versions of traditional securities. Like tokenized stocks. Always securities.

Amazing! This makes so much sense I can't believe it's coming from a regulator.

No more enforcement threats to Ethereum developers and crypto exchanges.

How about the Howey test?

More common sense! If an issuer makes specific promises of managerial efforts from which buyers expect profits, the offering is a security until those promises are fulfilled. Then it's a commodity. The asset itself was never the security, the deal around it was. (E.g. XRP was a security pre launch, became a commodity after).

How about stuff like staking and mining?

Mining? Not a securities transaction.

Staking? Also not a securities transaction, that includes custodial and liquid staking even with LSTs!

How about wrapping BTC? Not a securities transaction.

Airdrops? NOT SECURITIES. NO MORE GEO BANS PROTECTING AMERICANS from free airdrops.

Remember this is a joint doc from the SEC and CFTC, They're actually cooperating on this, no internal strife, this is binding to both.

SEC regulates $80-100 trillion assets
CFTC regulates $5-10 trillion assets

Both of the world's largest capital markets are showing us that crypto assets are here to stay and they're welcome alongside traditional assets.

Every country will follow.

This is the biggest move toward legitimacy I've seen in all my time in crypto. Maybe bigger than the genius act since is covers all crypto assets.

Well done @MichaelSelig and @SECPaulSAtkins.

And especially well done to the indefatigable @HesterPeirce. Her fingerprints are all over this, couldn't have happened without her eight years of principles-based curiosity.