JR Racing Tips

🏇 JR Racing Tips
Built from spreadsheets, stats & obsession
📈 Ratings-driven horse racing analysis
🔥 Finding value where the market misses
🇦🇺 Australian Th

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

@JackJHavoc @mrwplumbing Let me know if either of you want to see it, free of any charges no strings. I use the model as a starting point for my form, vthe numbers that it produces is not a be all and end all.

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

Fair comment mate.

To be honest, I was a bit dubious when the model spat out $1.34 as well, which is exactly why I posted it. It would’ve been easy to leave it out and only show the ones that fit the narrative.

The goal of the model isn’t to match the market — if it did that there’d be no edge. The objective is to identify horses where the model believes the market may have them priced incorrectly and then assess whether there’s value there.

A $1.34 rating doesn’t mean the horse wins every time, and one result doesn’t really tell us much either way. The only thing that matters is whether the model can find value and outperform the market over a large sample.

Still plenty of tweaking and learning to do, but I thought this runner was actually a good example to share because it shows the model’s opinion, not just the winners.

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

I wonder if the kid Jai Willams can return to his hot streak after his time out from a fall. Restonica came up as good value in today’s model.

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

This was done before Ladies Pro scratched. Best of the day.

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

Finished just behind Long Leaf Service last time we backed it. Really like how this horse hit the line in that race. Long Leaf Service has since come out and won again on the weekend.

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

@BrookvaleMick Sent you a DM mate

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

Let me know if you want to test out my model this weekend. Month of May has been pretty good so far.

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

@SnaggedBetz Appreciate the love

[JR Racing Tips @JRRacing_Tips]

@myles0711259700 cant seem to be able to send a DM

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@LindiweNqini I cant seem to send you a DM

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@hellinger_62376 Sent you a DM

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@markfornasiero Hey mate i cant seem to send you a DM

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@Asanda92290214 Can you send me a DM i cant seem to send you one

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@Tangybeefy I can’t send you a DM mate can you message me

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@Gary_Brown07 Sent you a dm mate

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@snip78 @SmithySysAlgo sent you a dm mate

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@lnasi1803 sent you a dm mate