Julian

99 % verlieren im markt. Ich baue gerade, was die 1 % verstehen. 🧠 Research | 📉 Fehler | 🚀 Gewinne – alles live.

[Julian @JulianFXG]

GBPCHF is starting to look very interesting.

Strong fundamentals.

Strong CHF.

Exactly the kind of setup I like.

I’m not in yet, but there’s a good chance this becomes one of my trades next week if price gives me the confirmation I’m waiting for.

I’ll post my full market outlook later today.

Follow if you want the entries before the recaps.

[Julian @julian_krypto]

@JulianFXG Unbelievable

[Julian @JulianFXG]

If you're long USD here, you might want to watch this.

Why I'm shorting USD/CHF — and what most people are completely missing 👇

[Julian @JulianFXG]

EURGBP Update.

Trade is moving nicely.

Stop loss is now at breakeven.

The only thing I don’t like is how price reacted around the 0 number.

We got rejected pretty hard, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see a deeper pullback before the next leg higher.

Hopefully it’s just a shakeout…

Let’s see what the market does.

[Julian @JulianFXG]

All 4 of my fundamental Bitcoin indicators are bearish.

Not RSI.

Not MACD.

Actual fundamental data.

Yet Crypto Twitter is acting like the correction is over.

I think a lot of people are getting trapped here.

I’m not buying Bitcoin yet.

When I do, you’ll see it here first.

Follow if you want the buy signal before the headlines.

[Julian @julian_krypto]

@JulianFXG Just me supporting myself😉

[Julian @JulianFXG]

AUDUSD just got smoked.

I said it weeks ago.

I said it again a few hours ago.

Then I added to the position.

Now it's dumping.

Took 70% off.

Still holding the rest.

Because nothing has changed.

AUD is still one of the most overpriced currencies out there.

The funny thing?

Most traders will now start looking for reasons why AUDUSD fell.

After it already happened.

That's how retail always plays the game.

Reaction instead of anticipation.

Meanwhile I'm already thinking about the next leg lower.

If you're still reading my trade updates every week without following...

I genuinely don't know what you're waiting for.

[Julian @JulianFXG]

USDCAD recap.

Stopped out for -0.5%.

The trade was valid and I’d still take a setup like this again.

Looking back, the biggest takeaway is that I probably gave too little room to a setup that wasn’t A+ technically.

The fundamentals were strong, which is why I took the trade in the first place.

But when the technical setup isn’t exceptionally clean, you either need more confirmation, more patience, or more room for the trade to work.

I already knew the setup wasn’t perfect, which is why I only risked 0.5%.

Still, it’s a good reminder that strong fundamentals don’t remove the need for high-quality technical execution.

Small loss.

Good feedback.

On to the next one.

[Julian @JulianFXG]

Weekly Outlook #7

Last week's outlook hit perfectly.

Every single setup played out.

+3.5% across accounts.

The funny part?

I only took 3 trades.

Now for this week:

I still think USD is the weak link.

CAD, CHF and JPY are the currencies I'm most interested in buying.

JPY is probably my highest-conviction swing setup right now. I'm watching USDJPY closely for a larger move lower.

AUD is tricky.

Short-term, I could see one more push higher, which might stop me out of AUDUSD at breakeven.

Long-term, nothing has changed.

I still think AUD is massively overvalued and one of the best shorts on the board.

NZD is where fundamentals and technicals are starting to disagree.

Fundamentals still lean bullish, but technically I wouldn't be chasing longs up here.

Main pairs on my radar:

• USDJPY short
• AUDCHF short
• NZDCHF short
• USDCAD short
• EURAUD long

I've got a few more setups cooking.

If they trigger, I'll post them before I enter.

Most traders are looking for more trades.

I'm looking for better ones.

What are you watching this week?

[Julian @JulianFXG]

Today I realized something crazy.

2 days ago was my 1000th day of actively trading.

1000 days since I started trying to make this work for real.

And honestly?

When I started,
I genuinely thought I’d be rich in like 4 months 💀
I thought I was smarter than everyone else.
Thought trading was just “learn a strategy + print money.”

Reality humbled me FAST.
Trading ended up being way harder than I ever expected.

Not just technically.

Mentally.
Emotionally.
As a person.

This journey changes you completely if you actually stick with it.

I made every stupid mistake possible.

Lost money sending crypto on the wrong chain.
Forgot passwords.
Blew accounts.
Tried every garbage concept imaginable.
Back then I was literally faking KYC just to get access to exchanges because I was too young 😭
Now I look back at that version of myself and it feels unreal.

The biggest thing I learned:

Expertise really just comes from surviving long enough.

Most people quit before things start clicking.

And trading is brutal because effort ≠ immediate reward.
You can work insanely hard and still lose for months.
That destroys most people mentally.
But slowly…

things finally start making sense.

Not just in trading,
but in life too.

And honestly,
I’m glad I started.

1000 days down.

Still going.📈

And here some old pictures from when I startet 😭😅

[Julian @JulianFXG]

👀 Weekly Outlook #7

This week could get VERY interesting.

I think we’re close to seeing a solid USD correction,
which could make a lot of counter-USD pairs move hard.
(Full currency bias attached below.)

Strongest current biases:

• JPY → bullish
• EUR → bullish
• CHF → bullish
• USD → bearish

GBP looks neutral.
AUD is still 50/50 for me.

Main swing ideas:
• USDJPY short
• EURAUD long
Shorter-term setups I’m watching:
• USDCHF short
• EURGBP long

A lot depends on how price action develops early this week.
Also watching Bitcoin closely 👀

I still don’t think BTC makes new highs here.

Maybe one more bounce,
then probably continuation lower if equities start correcting harder.

I’ll post updates if I enter new positions or if my bias changes.
What’s your strongest setup this week?

Follow if you don’t want to miss the updates.

#Forex #Trading #WeeklyOutlook

[Julian @JulianFXG]

📈 Entered NZDUSD long.

This is much more of a fundamental trade than a pure technical one.

The key level is decent,
but the real reason I like this setup is the macro picture behind it.

Seasonality + fundamentals still look very strong here.

⸻

Risking only 0.5% on this one.

Not expecting this to be some quick 2-3 day trade either.
This is more of a position I’m willing to let develop over time if the thesis keeps holding.

Let’s see if the market agrees 👀

I’ll post updates if anything changes.

#Forex #NZDUSD #Trading

[Julian @JulianFXG]

📊 Weekly Recap #5

Every single idea from this week's outlook played out.

Not most — all of them.

The only trades I didn't take were pairs where the move came exactly as called — but my entry model didn't trigger. No entry model, no trade. That's the process.

—

Trades this week:

NZD/CAD — entered the zone, solid reaction. Up ~500 Euro. Clean bounce, thesis intact.

AUD/USD — still in profit. Bouncing at the Anchored VWAP. Data shifted slightly — possible reversal next week. Long term still bearish. If wrong: break-even stop. No profits taken.

NZD/USD Long — opened 2 hours ago. Not an A+ setup but solid reaction at key level. Fundamentals look good. Seasonality data looks very strong. 0.5% risk.

—

On the side:

Building out my fundamental tools.

Intermarket relationship models + options market data.

Not ready to post about it yet — but it's coming. 🛠

—

Keep up the grind. Good weekend everyone.

Weekly Outlook drops tomorrow.
#SwingTrading #Forex

[Julian @JulianFXG]

👀 NZDCAD is starting to look REALLY interesting here.

Like I said in my Weekly Outlook,
this is one of the pairs I’m watching very closely for longs.

The reaction out of my zone has been very clean so far.

If we get one more push lower + a proper regime flip confirmation,
I’ll very likely enter.

Limit order is already set exactly like shown below.

---

Why I like this setup:

• Strong seasonality
• Sentiment heavily supports the trade
• Technical structure looks very clean
• Risk/reward is solid

This honestly looks like one of the better setups I’ve seen in the last 2 weeks.

---

If I get filled:

• 1% risk on the larger accounts
• 1.5% on the smaller account

I’ll post updates if the setup triggers 👀

What do you think about NZDCAD here?

#Forex #NZDCAD #Trading

[Julian @JulianFXG]

📊 Weekly Recap #4

Almost 2 weeks without opening a new trade.

And honestly?
That was probably the right decision.
I had a LOT of pairs on my watchlist this week and many of them moved exactly how I expected…

But none of them gave me the precise entry model I needed.

So I stayed patient instead of forcing garbage trades.

AUDUSD is still open.

After sitting in drawdown for quite a while, it finally started moving.

Currently around +1.1% and downside continuation next week looks very possible.

Account update:

• Both bigger accounts roughly around break-even
• Smaller account still around -1.8%

Not much movement overall.

Most of this week was spent improving systems, testing new models and collecting more data.

And honestly, that part is underrated as hell.
A profitable strategy alone means nothing if you don’t deeply understand it.

The stats.
The conditions.
The behavior.
The tendencies.

That’s where real confidence comes from.

Now let’s see what next week brings 👀

Hopefully cleaner setups and better conditions.

Have a good weekend everyone 🤝

#Forex #Trading #WeeklyRecap
Follow for more real market analysis & trade updates.

[Julian @JulianFXG]

🧠 One thing I realized about myself this year:

My biggest problem was never lack of knowledge.

Not technical analysis.
Not fundamentals.
Not psychology.

It was inconsistency.

---

I’ll have 2–3 extremely productive weeks…

Completely locked in.
Working hard.
Building.
Studying.
Dialed in.

Then suddenly I fall off for a week straight.

Too much scrolling.
Too much distraction.
Too much wasted time.

And over time that destroys momentum completely.

---

The scary part is:

I genuinely think I could already be where I want to be if I had simply stayed locked in consistently over the last months.

Not smarter.
Not more talented.

Just more focused.

---

Modern life makes this insanely difficult.

Short-form content.
Constant stimulation.
Infinite distractions.

Your brain gets trained to chase easy dopamine instead of hard work.

And I honestly believe this is one of the biggest reasons most people never reach their potential.

Not because they’re incapable.

Because they get distracted.

---

I’m attaching my screen time for a reason.

14 hours on Instagram should NEVER happen if I’m serious about my goals.

And honestly, this isn’t who I want to be.

So I’m changing it now.

Less distraction.
More volume.
More consistency.
More focus.

---

I’ll probably start posting weekly screen time + productivity updates publicly.

Partly to keep myself accountable.
Partly because I know a lot of people struggle with the exact same thing.

We’re already almost halfway through 2026.

And I know I’m capable of way more than what I’ve shown so far.

Time to fix that.

Anyone else dealing with this too?

#trading #goals #Icanbebetter

[Julian @JulianFXG]

This is how bubbles start to look “normal”.

S&P 500:
~13% in 30 days.
~100% in ~3 years.

To put that into perspective:

A good long-term return is ~7–10% per year.
Doubling your money usually takes close to a decade.

We just did that in ~3.

And people still think this is sustainable.

Meanwhile, the US economy isn’t growing anywhere near that pace.
Earnings aren’t exploding.
Productivity didn’t suddenly 10x.

Price is just running way ahead of reality.

But new traders don’t see that.

All they’ve experienced is:
dip → buy → instant recovery → new highs

So they size up.
Add leverage.
And treat every pullback like a gift.

That works… until it doesn’t.

At some point in the next 12–18 months, this breaks.

And when it does,
it won’t be another quick -10% bounce.

It’ll be the kind of move that punishes everyone
who thought this market only goes one way.

And right now?

The risk/reward is completely skewed.

You’re risking getting caught in the unwind of a stretched market
for a few extra % of upside.

That’s not investing.
That’s bad positioning.

If you think this is normal,
you’re exactly the liquidity the market needs.

[Julian @JulianFXG]

Weekly Update #3

This week was less about results and more about process.

I spent most of my time continuing to build out my fundamental indicators.
They’re starting to look very solid and I’m getting closer to having a really structured, objective framework.

Also did a lot of backtesting to keep refining the system.

In terms of trades, I only took one position: CADCHF short.

The trade itself is a bit frustrating to review.
It played out in my direction… and I still took a loss.

Got taken out due to spread expansion on an illiquid pair.

Looking back, I could have given the trade a bit more room.
But within my system, the execution was exactly as it should have been.

So I’m not treating this as a mistake, just part of the game.

⸻

Monthly Update (April)

April is basically done, so here’s the bigger picture.

All accounts are currently sitting around:

Main accounts: ~ -1%
Smaller account: ~ -1.9%

A bit annoying, especially considering CADCHF could have easily put me at +2% buffer right away.

But zooming out:

The month is still up roughly +5%.

And realistically, without the spread issue on CADCHF, it could have been closer to +7%, which would’ve been an exceptional month.

What’s interesting is this:

Last month, I followed my rules just as consistently… and ended deeply negative.

This month, same process → strong positive result.

That’s trading.

Your job is not to chase outcomes.
Your job is to execute consistently.

If you start changing your system when things go bad,
or get overconfident when things go well,
you destroy the only thing that actually creates long-term edge.

Stay consistent.
Stack data.
Let the results catch up over time.

[Julian @JulianFXG]

This trade was a perfect winner on chart… and still ended in a loss.

CADCHF played out exactly as expected.
Perfect reaction from a high confluence zone.
Macro + fundamentals were clearly bearish
(COT, seasonality, sentiment all aligned)

The move happened.

And still… -1%.

Price never hit my SL.
Not even close.

Got taken out because of spread expansion on an illiquid pair.

On chart: +2% winner
Reality: -1% loss

That’s the difference between having a good idea
and actually getting paid.

If you trade crosses like this and ignore liquidity/spreads,
you’re not unlucky. You’re incomplete.

Curious if anyone here has dealt with this before
or found ways to avoid it.
#Swingtrading

[Julian @JulianFXG]

GBPAUD Trade Update:

Trade went from ~+1.7% to break-even… then reversed into full SL.

I moved my stop to BE based on my system
even though I felt like the trade needed more room.

Important: I didn’t “lose” the trade.
I just gave back unrealized profit.

That feeling didn’t matter.
The data did.

From my backtests:
once price comes back to BE, there’s a ~70% chance it continues to SL.

This is why rules > feelings.

Following the plan saved me a full -1% loss.

Neutral exit > emotional decision.
#Swingtrading