Slowing down frontier won’t change AI spend. China steals our stuff anyway. If anything this creates a longer runway and as an investor I would rather have long term consistency than short term intensity. I know market won’t see it that way, but why I will start btfd tomorrow.
@TheRayMyers On #6) the backward-looking FY26 headline number is not going to be good.
But here is a summary of what I am going to be looking for to calibrate my models and position sizing for the next quarter.
@wacbinvesting@IREN_Ltd@danroberts0101 Interesting that these targets point toward a similar ARR production per targeted MW:
IREN >$4.0B 480 MW =>$8.3M/MW
CRWV ~$19B >1,850 MW =~$10.3M/MW
NBIS $7–9B 800–1,000 MW=~$8.9M/MW midpoint
while their multiples are wildly different
@optionscjp Riot signed something bond-like. Twenty years of contracted rent, one tenant’s credit, no exposure to what compute prices do. If GPU rental rates triple, Riot sees none of it. If they collapse, Riot doesn’t care, the rent is the rent.
@DeItaone Where is the DOGE dividend
Where is the tariff stimmy
Why did Ukraine war not end in 24 hours
Why appoint Kevin Warsh (who said rates were too accommodating in 2008)
Why do tariffs
Why start wars
We have $9T of debt to roll and rates are too high. All these things don’t help