Benjamin M

Advocate of the High Court | Specialist in Immigration, corporate transactions and conveyancing matters

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

Thing is Cyprian, many things are obvious in retrospect doesn't mean any sensible person would arrive at that conclusion. When a man claiming to be a prophet says in advance the person, the manner of death and the period, you need extraordinary faith to believe it's a coincidence. Like even if you think someone is going to die how can you be so sure it was a chopper not a plane or car or sickness or some other way. It would actually be unscientific to dismiss one probability simply because you think it is not plausible. Even if we say that guy was fake, then he must be a one in a million genius analyst.

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

You can't seriously have such a short memory. Even excluding those that are plausibility speculation, he was shot at directly in two different occasions. After Moi, any Overt attempts on his life would obviously risk stability of the nation yet there have been afew unsuccessful covert operations

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@ggiste That is very unlikely, I've seen some extremely gory and distressing images of the crash. Those were definitely him. I'm more inclined to think he was taken out

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

The contrary is true. When I spend cash, I waste more. Round off more easily, lose all coins in every coin, Don't ask for change from Uber, hotels, make spontaneous purchases, etc. Before you know it it's gone. But with mpesa, I'm more delibarate and less extravagant likely due to awareness of your actual expenditure.

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@ravenunreal Maybe not all of the time but definitely some of the time.

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@kevvOH_ I was at that naivas next to Westlands stage and after paying and coming out, I saw a prompt of the same amount I had already paid. I dismissed it as some mistake but in retrospect, someone was overworking.

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@Entr_dawood If you are not a member of the Sacco , court

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@Entr_dawood Sue Sacco and that person at the tribunal

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@BIKOZULU001 @OdiwuorKorimbas Misc application, like the previous comment Indicated

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@BIKOZULU001 @OdiwuorKorimbas Ideally misc notice of motion under cert but, you'll still get it through a petition. Never seen a chamber summons anticipatory bail but I'm confident even that will get you the orders. People recommend the roads they use but for the most part all roads lead to Rome.

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

😅 kuelimisha watu hizi streets ni ngumu. Us not paying for it doesn't mean it's free. The Chinese contractor foots the whole bill upfront, in return they get a 30 year lease on the road where they will collect toll to cover their expenses. And even then any profit from tolls is split 60 to government and 40 to them.

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@NationAfrica When you discover how badly your client has lied to you, that's the only cause of action

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

All debt has been taken by the Chinese contractors, yes or no? Not a single shilling is expected from Kenyan government, yes or no? It's a very simple question. How hard is that to understand. We have not borrowed anything to build that road we are not repaying any loan. In exchange the Chinese contractors will have a 30 year lease on the road. 25% stake to local investors is not a loan it's an equity stake purchased outright so they will have a share in profits

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@stephenmwangi40 @amembamagufuli8 I'll be taking this as a compliment. How could people be so ignorant on how that road is being financed when this information is online? Sigh..

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@M_Benwetu @amembamagufuli8 Am I the only person who reads in this comment section. I am team onetam but that doesn't mean closing my brain to reality. The Chinese will pay for that road in exchange for a 30 year lease in tolls where they will get their money and for profits still 60% goes to state

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@Kamau266 China can pay any cost except bad pr. They may not care that people could die but they care greatly if their global pr is associated with falling airplanes.

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

@tonykaromo Sharp boys

[Benjamin M @justmanani]

You just refuse to understand. He will import. You can't be wiser than a man who chooses to sink 20 billion into a business he's done before. You think he doesn't know that Kenya can't provide him with sufficient oil?. Yet he chose to build it in lamu anyway. His feasibility are more detailed than this audience speculation. And In any event it's not our money on the line, whatever happens to the refinery we will benefit

[Sholla Ard ����🇪 @sholard_mancity]

Ruto just walked through Dangote’s Lagos refinery.

That plant works for one simple reason: Nigeria has oil. Will the Kenyan one work?

Dangote refines about 700,000 barrels a day. It wants to grow to 1.4 million. In one year, it used about 193 million barrels. Around 60% of that oil came from Nigeria. Up to 350,000 barrels a day can come from local supply deals.

That is a refinery sitting in an oil-producing country.

Lamu is also planned at 700,000 barrels a day. Kenya is not an oil country at that scale.

Turkana starts at about 20,000 barrels a day. Even the bigger later estimates are 50,000-120,000 barrels. That cannot feed Lamu.

Uganda’s oil is going to Tanzania through EACOP. South Sudan already sends oil through Port Sudan. After the war, ships to India and Europe may still prefer Port Sudan because it is shorter.

So Lamu will have to import crude. Where will we get the crude?

That is not “our oil.” It is a huge, expensive refinery; it would have to buy crude from the world market.

Fuel will not become cheap. You still pay world prices, shipping, financing costs, and Kenyan taxes.

If this is not a gamble, tell me what it is.