After yesterday's Callais decision, discourse on whether many Southern states will be able to redistrict before the 2026 election has been rampant, and often half-baked. The "too close to an election" issue, from a legal standpoint, comes from the 2006 Purcell decision. (1/)
We conclude by making concrete recommendations to analysts working in the new VRA world. Paper is linked here: https://t.co/56ucv2uhOF. Any thoughts and feedback welcome! (5/5)
New paper with @maya_sen and @JustinGrimmer just posted to SSRN (link at end of thread). We examine Callais's updates to the Gingles 2 and 3 from a statistical perspective to determine what "controlling for party" could actually mean in the voting rights context. (1/)
that even if the two scope conditions are met, controlling for partisan affiliation, as the majority commands, can hide the existence of intentional discrimination, as well as real differences in the opportunity to elect candidates of choice (the VRA's actual mandate). (4/)
is also the correct reading of Purcell itself. A draft is now posted on SSRN: https://t.co/ZLFap0jezF. Parts II and IV are most applicable to this issue (Part III analyzes a different aspect of the Purcell problem for voting rights litigators). Any thoughts welcome. (5/5)
After yesterday's Callais decision, discourse on whether many Southern states will be able to redistrict before the 2026 election has been rampant, and often half-baked. The "too close to an election" issue, from a legal standpoint, comes from the 2006 Purcell decision. (1/)
I have a paper that (in part) analyzes this question, in which I argue that in expanding use of Purcell against redistricting changes, courts have viewed it as protecting voters and candidates, rather than state administrators which (4/)
The crazy thing about the paper straws issue to me is that the problem is solved! And literally by Dunkin! They have compostable straws that work just as well as the plastic ones, and don't get wet and mushy if you don't drink fast enough. It's great!
Today I'm affirming what I have long believed and what three-fourths of the states have ratified:
The 28th Amendment is the law of the land, guaranteeing all Americans equal rights and protections under the law regardless of their sex.
Seeing lots of “ground game didn’t matter” tweets and, well, I don’t know. Looks like non battlegrounds swung further right than battlegrounds with large field operations - feels like maybe we should have the opposite takeaway?Ground game might get Rosen and Slotkin over the line