if

損切りを 制する者は トレードを制す‼︎
ドル円/ポンドル/XAUトレーダー。
2022年トレード開始。
トレード歴5年目に突入。

[窓際のアナゴさん @anago__fire]

冷静に考えるとすごい話。昔100円で買えていた物が今200円するなら、同じ生活をするには月30万円の給料も60万円になってないとおかしい。しかも税金や社会保険の負担まで増えてる。物価は2倍。給料はほぼ横ばい。負担だけ増加。

普通に考えて、生活が苦しくならない方が不思議じゃない？

[🇯🇵たまごやき🇳🇱🇧🇪 @2020tamagoyaki]

お立場上お気持ちは抑えてらっしゃるのだろうけど、これはもう「令和の『世界一丁寧で気高いマジギレ』会見」だと思う

[himuro Reborn @himuroReborn398]

ゲンダイ やっぱ 凄ぇなw！！！！！

大手ダンマリの中、痛烈突っ込み👏👏👏

[まったりver2 @mattariver2]

所得税1%上乗せとか、ふざけんなよ高市。
税収最高なのに、国民をさらに搾り取る。
減税は先送りして、増税だけスンナリ決める。
こんな総理、クビにしろ。

[ひで保守ニュース @hide_News_]

びっくりしたんだけど、これ信じられる？
老朽化した愛知県尾張旭市の市民プール、ある個人の方が改修費「約7億5000万円」を全額ポケットマネーで寄付してリニューアルしたんだって！
熱中症対策の日よけや火傷しない床まで完備。
日本人の郷土愛って本当すばらしいよね！
これどう感じる？

[ゆき千 @newmoney1127]

国会議員のボーナスが、国民の平均年収を超えている。

これを見て「おかしい」と思わないなら、この国は本当に大丈夫なのか？

[生きてやる。 @SYidesca7]

もう使命だから、拡散

[🟠🇯🇵爆裂大和魂🇯🇵🟠 @tanakaseiji15]

何やってんだ！
高市！

マイナンバー、500万人分、中国に流出
#高市早苗が退任

[酒本正夫 @SakemotoMasao]

国民が苦しい時にティアラをしなかった愛子さまとの違い。

[引きこもり投資家/投資収益５０００万到達！ @JO0sthSYpVRt2hn]

為替介入するより、これを期間限定で発行した方が円高になったりして。

[Mr Penny Fx @Xauusd_Gold2]

#XAUUSD will crash again today 🥺📚

[Itsadiee_Fx @Itsadiee1]

XAUUSD .

🚨 GOLD'S BIGGEST TRAP IS STILL AHEAD... 90% OF TRADERS WILL GET CAUGHT! 😱🔥📈

As per our last analysis, after the breakdown below 4100, we were expecting a reversal, and yesterday the market delivered it beautifully. A few hours before the close, during the late New York session, Gold made a strong one-sided bullish move. Many traders who entered short positions at lower levels got trapped, and as their stop losses were triggered, the market accelerated higher in what was essentially a large stop-loss hunt. At the same time, one of the minimum upside targets I had mentioned, 4173, was also broken during the session. Overall, we witnessed a very strong bullish move.

However, the most important question now is whether Gold has actually changed its direction or if the broader bearish trend is still intact. Let's discuss that in detail because understanding the overall market psychology is crucial before taking any trades.

There is no doubt that yesterday's move was a classic liquidity sweep and reversal. To be honest, such a move was expected because Gold has been showing continuous weakness for several weeks. With the important 4100 support level breaking down, it was obvious that many traders would panic and jump into short positions.

Markets often move against the majority, and yesterday's rally appeared to be a perfect example of that. The strong upside move was likely designed to trap those aggressive sellers who entered after the breakdown.

The current market situation is interesting because most traders are now afraid to buy. Considering how aggressively Gold has fallen over the past few weeks, the majority of participants still prefer selling and expect further downside.

However, since a major liquidity sweep has already taken place below an important support level, another immediate continuation lower may not be easy. In my view, the market makers will now focus on trapping the remaining sellers sitting at lower levels, along with fresh intraday sellers who continue entering the market.

We saw something similar around May 28, when Gold experienced a strong bullish move, but heavy bearish pressure prevented it from sustaining and eventually pushed prices sharply lower again. This time, however, I believe many traders will once again lean toward selling and expect further downside, but instead of being rewarded, they may end up trapped.

That would allow Gold to continue higher and potentially target the stop losses of sellers who entered below the 4400 region. Once those liquidity pools are cleared, the market can then decide whether it wants to continue higher or resume the larger downtrend.

For today's intraday plan, I prefer being patient and focusing only on small scalps for now. After such a strong move, the market rarely continues straight higher without first creating confusion.

Traders who missed yesterday's rally are likely buying today under the assumption that any pullback is simply a retracement. The market often uses these situations to encourage both buyers and sellers to build positions.

Since Gold has already formed a lower-low structure during the morning session, sellers are also being given reasons to participate. According to my analysis, I do not want to chase larger bullish targets unless Gold can deliver a strong breakout above 4208.

Until that happens, I expect a zigzag and choppy selling structure where sellers keep entering and traders buying solely because of yesterday's rally repeatedly face stop-loss hits. Eventually, many of them may lose confidence and conclude that the trend remains bearish and that sellers are still in control.

Once the crowd fully accepts that bearish narrative, the market could produce another strong liquidity-hunt move to the upside.

From a broader perspective, I still believe there is room for Gold to move toward 4278. I mentioned this level in yesterday's analysis as well. Before any larger directional decision is made, the market may need to hunt the stop losses of traders who entered short positions below 4420.

After that, we can reassess the situation based on fresh price action and market psychology. As for the important levels and zones, I have already marked them on the chart, so make sure to draw them on your own charts as reference points.

To summarize, my current expectation is for a zigzag corrective move, and I see the 4132-4146 area as a key support zone from where a strong bullish reaction could emerge. Such a move has the potential to push Gold back above 4200.

If Gold manages to break and hold above 4208 convincingly, then I will directly target the 4278 region.

Looking at the weekly volume, participation remains strong, which is why I believe it makes more sense to aim for larger targets rather than settling for small moves. When market volume is high, traders should adapt accordingly—be patient, wait for confirmation, execute with discipline, and hold positions with confidence while managing risk properly.

My plan for today remains simple, and I hope this detailed psychological market analysis along with the key levels provides value and helps you prepare for trading.

Good luck for the last trading day of the week, and I hope you close the week in profit.

Also, I'd love to hear your market view—make sure to share your analysis in the comments. ⬇️

[毛根女子 @moukon_genius]

異動するたびにこうなる

[無職さん＠令和3年に退職した元銀行員 @100dayretire]

水曜日を休みにすると、

月曜：昨日休んだし頑張る
火曜：明日休みだし頑張る
水曜：幸せ
木曜：昨日休んだし頑張る
金曜：明日休みだし頑張る
土曜：幸せ
日曜：幸せ

になる。

これ、精神衛生的に最強なので、
『 水 曜 中 休 み・完 全 週 休 3 日 制』
を日本は本気で検討すべき。

[引きこもり投資家/投資収益５０００万到達！ @JO0sthSYpVRt2hn]

人と会ってる時に、大きな含み損を抱えてることを思い出した瞬間。

[涙 @mi5rae_]

営業は嫌です。ノルマがあるからです。
販売は嫌です。立ち仕事だからです。
飲食は嫌です。客がウザイからです。
物流は嫌です。運転苦手だからです。
美容は嫌です。陰キャだからです。
夜職は嫌です。男が嫌いだからです。
大手は嫌です。受からないからです。
中小は嫌です。給料が安いからです。

[のびた @8mXJvt4ZidmemYc]

年収600万円の毎月の手取りは20万円台と聞いた時のワイ。

[もちぽよⓂ︎波形で読むFX | 著書『鬼速FX』 @mochi_fxtrader]

悔しいトレードあるある言いたい

[かっちょ.@オタク？ @lSBt5zmSni7Ttz4]

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[引きこもり投資家/投資収益５０００万到達！ @JO0sthSYpVRt2hn]

FXの世界。