0xKachm

Market inefficiency hunter | Taking counterparty to the crowd | Polymarket alpha | @zscdao

[0xKachm @kachmass]

Iran situation heating up. Pentagon's pizza delivery is through the roof.

Protests in Tehran have already spread across 92 cities in 27 provinces. Three cities seized, including Karaj — a million‑strong metropolis. Roads blocked, police stations burning, security forces firing back. Dozens dead, hundreds arrested.

Meanwhile, Trump drops: "The US will hit Iran hard if they keep killing protesters."

But here's the thing nobody's talking about: pizzerias near the Pentagon are completely overloaded. Orders through the roof. The unofficial indicator everyone watches — the "pizza index" — is screaming that the US war department is in overdrive mode.

Combined? Looks like someone's preparing something big.

If Khamenei actually gets forced out or the regime buckles under pressure, Polymarket's pricing on this is nowhere near where it should be.

I'm loading on "Yes" for Jan 31 and on "Yes" for Mar 31 — if the situation escalates even a fraction more, these odds are free money.

Not financial advice. Just pattern recognition.

https://t.co/MEPvRit8AU

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@kxazar No doubt!

[0xKachm @kachmass]

Is it math or luck? 🧐🧐

[Matthew Modabber @MatthewModabber]

Holy shit, bravo. Genuinely elated for you. Go give this dude a follow.

[0xKachm @kachmass]

Wow! Bet on Iran seems like last dance 👀

[Lookonchain @lookonchain]

Donald Trump said that a Venezuelan leaker is already in jail.

We noticed that two of the three wallets that previously profited from betting on Venezuelan President Maduro being out of office have been inactive for 11 days.

The remaining wallet, "SBet365" placed another bet 2 days ago, predicting that Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31.

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@Polymarket 1 spartan

[0xKachm @kachmass]

👀🐋 Whale wallet from Hypersphere Ventures (0x1138c6c14b9f3b6edd719d0b7b471bd896afe410) just slammed 10k$ into Rick Rieder — odds jumped 8→18%.

Rieder on CNBC:

Fed stays independent, needs 50bps+ cut to 3% for growth.

Fox says Trump interviews him Thursday for White House spot.

Pretty good bet. 🎲
DYOR

Market - https://t.co/hjCfh1dqlF

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@Polymarket

[0xKachm @kachmass]

Polymarket smells Iran strikes: Yes at 74%, Pentagon Pizza Index +1250%.

Trump’s laying perfect groundwork — market sees it coming.

Three signals:

1.@Polymarket odds jumped 50→74% in a week. $6M+ volume on Jan 31, whales loading Yes at 74¢ — this is positioning, not retail FOMO.

2. @pizzintwatch spiked +1250% in 48hrs (all-time high). Pizzerias near DoD maxed out — textbook late-night briefing signal.

3.Iran body count exploding: 12k+ dead, protests in 92 cities, Khamenei losing grip. Trump just needs the official trigger (protester killings).

My read: This is Venezuela 2.0 setup.

Yes at 74¢ = asymmetric long on escalation the market’s still underpricing.
Load up while edge exists.

https://t.co/NUTEBnhDRR

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@zscdao Times has problems…

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@shayne_coplan @goldenglobes Future is now

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@Tekeee 100%

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@RoundtableSpace Classic

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@TedPillows Let’s go

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@RoarWeb3 Dexscreener

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@said116dao @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Goat

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@0xEthan Cause community matters

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@0xleegenz Top blasting

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@Raydium

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@cozypront Lock in

[0xKachm @kachmass]

@QuintenFrancois Cause nothing new in crypto