Twitter is the worst thing I do to my mental health. Why am I still here? I guess so I can find terrible things out quickly and be mad the longest? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
The overall story, so far: Nothing here looks like a story of various campaign decisions or a VP choice or big set piece speeches. It's an electorate mad at the incumbent WH's record and expressing it pretty uniformly everywhere, blue and red states alike.
If she wins PA, MI, WI + NE-2, she wins- hands down. We very likely won’t know the results of any of these tonight so keep calm, project confidence + remember that if Trump can’t win fairly, he needs collective fear or resignation to drive momentum around disinfo and recounts.
Friends, we've been through this before in both 2016 and 2020. It is early, votes still need to be counted, as we saw in 2020 our vote comes in late, and Harris has multiple paths to 270. Lots of Dem vote out everywhere. It's hard but we need to be patient.
NEW: Harris campaign manager sends email to all staff: “While we continue to see data trickle in from the Sun Belt states, we have known all along that our clearest path to 270 electoral votes lies through the Blue Wall states. And we feel good about what we’re seeing.”
Do NOT panic during this first part of the evening.
Rural counties report first because they have fewer votes to count -- tends to result in Republicans coming out to early leads.
Democratic count tends to come in later in the evening.
Keep Kamala and carry on a la.
May we one day return to a presidential election in which millions of Americans may be disappointed by the outcome, but they’re not terrified that democracy will die and hard-fought freedoms will be torn away.
Reminder: most states have the highest populations in urban centers and those reports usually come in later. Pls stop doomsdaying and act like you were awake in 2020.
Going to rawdog the rest of election season. No news. No social media. Just waiting around and then I’ll walk into a post office on January 21st and see whose picture is hanging on the wall.
Idk what’s gonna happen tomorrow.
But *if* Harris wins many of the post-mortems will be about how Trump blew it (MSG rally, etc).
But her campaign’s execution (in just 106 days!) has been phenomenal. They *put* themselves in a strong position to capitalize on things like MSG.