Kunal Bothra

ET NOW-Panelist | Technical Analyst| Trader| SEBI Registered RA-INH000005263 | Writer | Mentor | Trainer | Tweets r Personal|

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

"Great fortunes are created by buying in calm waters and harvested in crowded harbors."

Everyone seems to be waiting for that one big policy trigger—something that encourages "global capital" to stay invested and commit more aggressively to India.

As an optimist, I believe it's not a question of IF, but WHEN.

Once a problem is recognized, a solution is often just a matter of time.

What we may be witnessing today could become one of the biggest patience-testing phases of this market cycle. And history suggests that when meaningful policy support arrives, markets rarely give investors the luxury of a slow reaction.

By the time the headlines confirm the opportunity, prices may have already adjusted.

The best opportunities are usually bought in uncertainty and celebrated in hindsight.

"Don't invest when the market is making headlines. Invest when it's making nobody look."

#Markets #Investing #IndiaGrowthStory #PatiencePays #WealthCreation

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

I find this so true in the current environment.

Reading this book:
“The Art of Spending Money” - Morgan Housel
#BooksWorthReading

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

The BIGGEST 'Short Term' factor happening in our markets right now is INDIA VIX back to ~3 month lows.

Interestingly, in this calendar year there is a -96% (Negative correlation) of India Vix vs Nifty....

To simply put, the MORE THE VIX FALLS, MORE THE NIFTY WILL RALLY.

Ab Vix ke hawale hai yeh rally...
btw, 96% is a stunning correlation.!!

#vix #volatility #nifty #nse

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

@UnagK 😊

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

BRENT CRUDE : Reaches a Critical Stage:
A "break and close " below this level of 91.5-92.50 could signal, could be a Strong confirmation of a BIG reversal.

Interestingly indicators are slowing down /gradual reversing.

This could create a HUGE DOMINO effect on INDIAN Markets. Hence a Trend confirmation to watch out for.

#crude #oil #brent #nse #nifty #nifty50

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

@PreetChattopad1 Thnc PC

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

400 points (~ +2%) in Index..
the "CURVE FITTED" so well..

Making this the 6th Observation in just the past 8 years !!!

Hope you guys adequate 'weight' to the statistical observation !!!!

Stay Tuned for more guys !!

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

As an extension to my previous post, here is a VERY INTERESTING OBSERVATION.

A RARE, yet quite interesting.

In the past 8 years, the Nifty has consolidated 5-6 times, in a span of 6 consecutive days of a 'RANGED CLOSING.'
Currently, Last 6 days closing
23689, 23643, 23650, 23618, 23659, 23654... (i.e. common factor is 236XX)

Historically, when such a consolidation has happened, the index in the next 10 trading days has delivered +ve returns, with an average of 2-4%.

which possibly means by 1st week June, Nifty could be back to retest 24250-24500 range.

Purely short term data !
#nifty #nifty50 #nse

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

@AtulMis22225663 Thanks

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

As an extension to my previous post, here is a VERY INTERESTING OBSERVATION.

A RARE, yet quite interesting.

In the past 8 years, the Nifty has consolidated 5-6 times, in a span of 6 consecutive days of a 'RANGED CLOSING.'
Currently, Last 6 days closing
23689, 23643, 23650, 23618, 23659, 23654... (i.e. common factor is 236XX)

Historically, when such a consolidation has happened, the index in the next 10 trading days has delivered +ve returns, with an average of 2-4%.

which possibly means by 1st week June, Nifty could be back to retest 24250-24500 range.

Purely short term data !
#nifty #nifty50 #nse

[Atul Mishra @AtulMis22225663]

@kbbothra Sir u r amazing...I am following you in last one year..started when you were very active on youtube..how can I take your advisory services...

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

Thanks for such detailed reply.
The rationale for picking up 'SELECTIVE' data is that post July-Aug 2017 is where Nifty crossed 10,000.

At a base of 1000-1099: the range is 9%. (which would obviously not be considered as 'CONSOLIDATION'
At a base of 10000 or 20000, it is miniscule.

However, glad that you used your brains and tested it, rather than trusting it blindly.
Keep it up.!! :-)

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

@devesh2000 LOL... Devesh bhai , aise kaise bata du yeh saare indicators.

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

A FANTASTIC + Interesting chart.
Stock Name: HDFCBANK

Purely on Technical basis, this is the 5th time in the past 30 years that such an opportunity is getting created for LONG TERM INVESTORS.

Adjusted Prices near Multi year lows. However, Indicators at HISTORIC 'oversold' zones. What happens to the stock over a period of 2-3years after every such 'zone' is spectacular...

Is it a Classic case of
Short Term PAIN - - - -> LONG TERM GAIN ??

LIKE and SHARE , if you want more such interesting charts.

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

A BIG TREND is coming sooon...
Which side?
Check the indicator below, which gives us an edge in understanding the TREND, especially after 5-6 whipsaw (failed) signals.

After such number of whipsaws a TREND is DEFINITELY about to HAPPEN.

For those whose PATIENCE is LOST because of the recent volatility, TIME to be a little bit more patient.
#nifty #nifty50 #technical #charts #nse

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

Finished reading Good to Great by Jim Collins in ~7 hours.

Biggest learning:

Greatness is never accidental.
It is built through discipline, patience, focus & consistency.

A few gems from the book:
• Humility + Will = Great Leadership
• Stockdale
• HedgeHog concept
• Consistency compounds like a flywheel
• Process beats hype
• Long-term thinking wins

Felt deeply relatable to investing & markets and even Life at large.

The market rewards:
> Patience over panic.
> Process over prediction.
> Consistency over excitement.

Most people chase quick success.
Very few build lasting greatness.

**Highly recommended read.**

What’s one book that changed your thinking?

#GoodToGreat #JimCollins #Investing #Leadership #StockMarket #Discipline #WealthCreation #PersonalGrowth

[pawan @pnadatia]

@kbbothra lovely call

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

What a SKEW !!

Put writers are exuding so much confidence on WEEKLY NIFTY expiry.

To put it simply, Put writers are by leap and bounds much higher than Call writers.

is CONFIDENCE coming back? , albeit short term !
A very interesting Weekly Expiry coming up. !!

#nifty #openinterest #oi #expiry #call #put #trend #recovery #bull

[jaqpearsn @jaqpearsn]

@kbbothra This is 6th time u are being dead right since I started tracking u(sep 2024)
With sr of 100

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

@Rakesh_KA23 I can understand !!
Let's hope for the best !

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

SILVER From 2,40,000 to now 2,80,000 !!!

I am just waiting for the day I tweet the same on Nifty !!
Even i don't know when that day would come !
😁

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

SILVER !! SILVER !! SILVER !.... Keep an eye !!

[Kunal Bothra @kbbothra]

@UnagK hahaha