@ItsBione izin join grup broo @ItsBione , lg ambil job sebagai business development di salah satu top agency intellectual property. join market since covid, sempet kena crash, tp semoga recover. trust the process! ๐
Kenapa Trump sering tiba2 keluarkan GOOD NEWS ketika UST 10Y yield naik/ada di area 4.3%โ4.5%? COINCIDENCE? Saya rasa tidak.
Saya coba backtest 17 event tariff pivot Trump sejak Jan 2025.
Dari 17 kali Trump bikin "good news" (tariff pause, trade deal, soften stance):
โข 12 dari 17 event (71%) terjadi saat yield โฅ 4.3%.
โข Saat yield di atas 4.5%: 3/3 kali Trump langsung lunak, yield turun semua.
โข Saat yield di bawah 4.3%: Trump santai, jarang ada konsesi.
Bukti paling jelas: 9 April 2025.
โข Seminggu sebelumnya yield spike dari 4.0% ke 4.4%.
โข Bond market mulai jual US Treasury besar-besaran.
โข Hari itu juga Trump umumkan 90-day tariff pause untuk 75+ negara.
Utang US = $36 triliun.
Setiap yield naik 1% = tambahan $360 miliar/tahun bunga.
US harus refinance $9โ10T utang tiap tahun.
Setiap 10bps lebih tinggi = +$9B biaya permanen selamanya.
BOND MARKET IS THE REAL BOSS.
Trump boleh bikin kebijakan apapun.
Tapi kalau bond vigilantes mulai jual, dia balik badan.
Yield 4.3%โ4.5% bukan sekadar angka teknikal.
Itu batas toleransi fiskal US.
Manage your portfolio accordingly.
Why is Gold falling even during war?
Simple breakdown:
Crude oil going up โ inflation rises
Inflation rises โ interest rates go up
When rates go up, FDs give better returns โ money shifts from gold to FDs (negative for gold)
Also in the same situation $ goes up and because gold is traded in $, dollar going up reduces the demand for Gold (Negative for Gold)
Last is when everything from Equity to Crypto is falling, people sell gold for liquidity & to protect profits & again that's why gold is sold.
#GOLD
- Kamu analisa emas mau naik.
- Lalu pasang posisi buy.
- Taunya emas turun.
- Kamu pindahin stop-lossmu.
- Alasannya ini cuma koreksi, lalu narik fibonacci. Kamu tandain level 0.5
- Level 0.5 jebol.
- Gak kamu cut loss, kamu meyakinkan diri bahwa level 0.618 bakal disentuh
- Level 0.618 jebol juga.
- Kamu zoom out ke timeframe 1 minggu, bilang bahwa struktur pasar masih bullish (padahal entry di timeframe m30)
- Tapi harga masih tetep turun
- Kamu nandain garis EMA 50 timeframe 1 hari
- Di situ akhirnya membentuk candle hijau.
- Kamu seneng, dalam hati "bener kan! Habis ini naik nih!"
- Tapi habis itu, dimakan sama candle merah, gede lagi
- Gak kerasa notifikasi margin call udah muncul aja
Ya gitu tuh kalo NGEYEL maunya bener terus.
Padahal, dalam trading, namanya analisa, YA PASTI ADA SALAHNYA
Coba kalau tadi nurut kena stop loss. Paling nunggu 2-3 jam ada kesempatan trading lagi, malah bisa jadi cuan tuh kalau ga kena margin call.
Makanya, dalam trading PRIORITASKAN CUAN bukan BENER ya.
Biasanya ini dialami sama yang udah agak jago analisanya
Market gak butuh analisamu bener. Market itu butuh liquidity
Nah, jangan mau jadi exit liquidity orang hanya karena egomu kebesaran
$ASTER
Now in its longest ever consolidation period on the chart. Three weeks of sideways chop in this range, refusing to give up local support on multiple sweeps down.
Volume has been drying up throughout, which is exactly what you want to see from a local accumulation range.
Key overhead is $0.75. A convincing break through that level opens the door to the major macro pivot at $0.81.
The flip side is if this breaks down instead of up, the flush will be violent. Three weeks of leveraged and spot buyers all underwater at once creates a lot of forced selling in a short window.
The longer a range builds = the stronger the move that follows. In both directions.
Big cook @WCNetizens
0.03 ETH > 0.08 ETH ($155)
Call this early project and many ppl get wl from :
- Contributor
- Upvote WCN on fluffle
- Holder shishi art and Build and share pfp
Im very happy with the results of my deep research on the @megaeth ecosystem and I was full of conviction at the start of this project
Imagine a volume of $500K just two hours after launch
ignore the haters & drama
lets make money โค๏ธ
My community :
https://t.co/suC0YSnqwZ
@emperorjournal_
btw whatsssss next?????
Polly Strategy is now live, a new strategy token launched by @PudgyInvest ๐ซถ๐ผ
If you believe @AbstractChain has just hit the bottom, it might be worth grabbing a small bag, maybe $20, to grow it with the flywheel effect ๐
Marketcap is less than 10k now, sounds free for $20
We just updated our Access Plan on https://t.co/CFBQGaO1P3
It's simpler than ever!
- 2 options: Basic or Pro
- No expiration date
- Daily Free Credits (reset 00:00 UTC)
and you can always purchase Credits Boost with $MVP token and use it anytime you need it!
Our latest feature, DeepAnalysis, combining top premium data sources like Glassnode Tier-3, Nansen, Coingecko, and on-chain analytics.
DeepAnalysis will be available for all plan until next month, then it will be exclusive to Pro plan.
Give it a try now!
Watching #BNB go from $0.10 ICO price 8 years ago to today's $1000 is something words cannot explain.
I, not representing any entity or title, as just a community member and a #BNB holder, thank everyone in the #BNB and crypto ecosystem, for your support.
We had our challenges along the way, but we worked hard, we built, and we held.
It's truly a community effort!
This is just the beginning. To the next 10000x together! ๐ค๐ค๐ค๐ค๐๐๐๐
Pola yg grup begini2 itu selalu sama,
Pamer cuan di awal2 aja
Terus pada ikut kelas nya
Terus endingnya kecewa
Gw kasitau,
Tes langsung di Market adalah guru terbaikmu yang sebenarnya.
Kamu gak perlu ngalahin orang lain,
Kamu cuma perlu ngelawan egomu sendiri.