US Open win probability

Moderately-accurate, semi-live win probabilities for the US Open. Tweets are automated. Direct correspondence to @kenpomeroy.

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Rahm(-6/F) 98%, Oosthuizen(-4/17) 2%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

7:51... playoff chances = 33%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Rahm(-6/F) 75%, Oosthuizen(-5/16) 25%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

7:41... playoff chances = 28%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Rahm(-6/F) 77%, Oosthuizen(-5/15) 23%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

7:33... playoff chances = 22%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Rahm(-6/F) 81%, Oosthuizen(-5/14) 19%, McIlroy(-2/15) 0.01%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

7:24... playoff chances = 26%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Rahm(-5/17) 65%, Oosthuizen(-5/14) 34%, McIlroy(-2/14) 0.4%, DeChambeau(-1/15) 0.02%, English(-3/F) 0.02%, Henley(-1/14) 0.01%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

7:18... playoff chances = 23%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Rahm(-5/17) 67%, Oosthuizen(-5/13) 33%, McIlroy(-2/14) 0.4%, Hughes(-1/13) 0.03%, DeChambeau(-1/15) 0.03%, English(-3/F) 0.02%, Henley(-1/14) 0.01%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

7:09... playoff chances = 25%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Oosthuizen(-5/13) 56%, Rahm(-4/16) 40%, McIlroy(-2/13) 2%, English(-3/F) 1%, DeChambeau(-1/14) 0.3%, Henley(-1/13) 0.2%, Hughes(-1/13) 0.2%, Morikawa(-1/17) 0.03%, Schauffele(-1/17) 0.02%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

6:47... playoff chances = 27%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Oosthuizen(-5/12) 53%, Rahm(-4/14) 29%, DeChambeau(-3/12) 11%, Henley(-2/12) 2%, Schauffele(-2/16) 2%, English(-3/F) 1%, McIlroy(-1/12) 1%, Scheffler(-1/12) 1%, Hughes(-1/12) 0.4%, Morikawa(-1/15) 0.3%, Casey(-1/17) 0.03%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Oosthuizen(-5/11) 43%, Rahm(-4/13) 28%, DeChambeau(-3/12) 12%, Koepka(-3/17) 8%, Morikawa(-2/14) 2%, Henley(-2/11) 2%, Schauffele(-2/15) 2%, Hughes(-2/11) 2%, McIlroy(-1/12) 1%, Scheffler(-1/12) 1%, English(-3/F) 1%, Casey(-1/16) 0.1%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

Oosthuizen(-6/10) 39%, Rahm(-4/12) 15%, Morikawa(-4/12) 15%, DeChambeau(-4/11) 12%, McIlroy(-4/10) 9%, Hughes(-4/10) 6%, Koepka(-3/16) 3%, Schauffele(-2/13) 1%, Henley(-2/10) 0.4%, Scheffler(-1/11) 0.2%, English(-2/17) 0.1%, Casey(-1/14) 0.1%, Wolff(E/11) 0.03%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

US Open: Playoff Chances = 34%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

DeChambeau(-5/10) 24%, Oosthuizen(-5/9) 18%, Morikawa(-4/12) 15%, Rahm(-4/11) 14%, Koepka(-4/15) 13%, McIlroy(-4/9) 8%, Hughes(-4/9) 5%, Scheffler(-2/10) 1%, Henley(-2/9) 0.5%, Schauffele(-1/12) 0.2%, Casey(-1/13) 0.1%, English(-1/16) 0.01%, Wolff(E/11) 0.01%

[US Open win probability @kenpomgolf]

US Open: Playoff Chances = 30%