@alexandr_wang i love the hard work. Tell zuc to rent out half a gw out before earnings on 50b/gw year rates so market can rerate meta to 1k then you can equity raise for more capex .
$META leapfrogging $GOOG Gemini models in <6mths reinforces my view that the model layer will ultimately commoditize and distribution will rule the day. Wall St doesn’t realize this yet- it will soon. I see a whole new non ads biz for META here. Cloud serve, Agents etc
meta’s spark 1.1 pricing: $1.25/M in, $4.25/M out. run that through a GW’s annual token throughput and it comes out to ~$50B revenue per GW per year, ~$20B net.
’27 core: ~$95B net (recsys already in). monetize just 1.5-2GW at list = +$30-40B nobody models.
~$130B at 24x = $1,200 stock. it’s at $600. ok
@fake__brad either that or the steel quality is poor or they've not used enough thickness etc , not adhering to codes for factor of safety, or not placing structural elements in areas they're needing forcing other elements to carry more than they should @grok
@AdityaInvests90 people can't understand how their main customer is going to be profitable . chat gpt selling 20$ subs is not enough revenue for their burn rate and it seems like the competition is stiffer than expected .