Kevin Kiley Stan

Blue state urban conservative, partially moderate, black fatigue. Pro-choice under some circumstances 👀

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@Socdem_Michael @Luvryyryy @VoteHub But he didn’t in Santa Clara

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@Rebeccanqel @VoteHub @Zprtr1 This is an insane misinterpretation of data in so many ways lol

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@VoteHub Steyer falls short of his target here as well

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@Socdem_Michael @ElliscbIV The LA late mail was also short of his target, at some point he needs to start exceeding it!

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@Socdem_Michael @ElliscbIV It’s not the fact that Hilton gained that matters, it’s the fact Steyer only did 7% better than earlier vote

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@jonesmomentum @ZacharyDonnini His own website says 58% is in lol

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@ZacharyDonnini Except you’re rounding down 56% to 50%, it’s actually more than 16 if NYT turnout estimates are correct

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@ZacharyDonnini If he gains 13% statewide in this half of the vote, he’d win half of the vote by 5% with Hilton winning the other half by 8%, not enough imo

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@JoeNC05 Vivek has higher name rec than Husted and Brown has higher name rec than Acton. This is how early polls are in non presidential races

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@ElliscbIV Obviously dumb to extrapolate, but doesn’t Steyer theoretically need to do better than 13% compared to current margins because that would only be a 5 point lead

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@rpyers @PokiJaciii Do you think NYT is right and we get 8.6M, or DDHQ is right and it’s closer to 8M?

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@RedEaglePatriot Bro I lost 2k on this fucking race

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@alexangle_ @TheAlabamaPoll lol nice insider trading attempt

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@PokiJaciii Do you know the order of reporting for tomorrow based on past elections?
My understanding is
1. Mail
2. In person ED
3. Vote center
4. Late mail

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@geoffreyvs Is IPEV included in the first drops in CA, or just mail in ballots?

[Steve Hilton @SteveHiltonx]

A message to every Chad Bianco supporter:

I respect your support for Chad, but there is now no possibility of two Republicans in the top 2.

In fact, there’s a real risk of two Democrats. At this point that’s what a vote for Chad could bring about.

This is not personal, it’s about saving California. Let’s do that together.

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@dalegribbl30247 @Faj1791 Reality often appears racist

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@Faj1791 2024 President

[Kevin Kiley Stan @KileyStanOR]

@Crockettstan_ @Faj1791 So true lmao