Kisco Capital

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[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

I'll be appearing on the @SchwabNetwork this morning around 11:50AM EST with @MarleyKayden to discuss $CSCO earnings. Tune in!

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

My appearance yesterday on @SchwabNetwork to preview $HD earnings.
https://t.co/Fjn5VfGL8w

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

CPI +0.1%, PPI flat in July. Inflation's cooling, just not fast. Oil's stable, S&P 500 keeps making new highs. My read heading into Sept FOMC:
https://t.co/8m5m59HiQV

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Payrolls just went negative. Manufacturing added jobs for the first time in 33 months. S&P 500 broke to new highs. Q2 earnings: best since 2021. Split market, split signals — breaking it down before next week's CPI/PPI. 🧵
https://t.co/P7PcFKZSJv

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Fed holds — but splits 9-3, a rare hawkish dissent. Oil cools off its spike into the mid-$80s. And Big Tech's earnings finally put numbers behind the AI capex debate: Azure, Google Cloud, AWS all reaccelerating, but the bill is rising just as fast. This week's take:

https://t.co/0bX0t4H0F4

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Oil above $100. Mega-cap earnings peaking. A Fed decision Wednesday with zero room for a dovish surprise. This week has it all — new post is up.
https://t.co/m0k7qwo63b

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Oil cooled June's inflation. Oil is now spiking on Middle East risk. Same commodity, opposite direction — and it's not the only thing moving markets this week. $SPY $OIL

https://t.co/g5KBuTLqf8

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Oil cools off, AI heats up. PCE still at 4.1%, S&P at its lowest since May, and Apple just passed the first wave of AI-flation on to consumers. The next inflation story is being written in data centers. New post ⬇️

https://t.co/7GI5a3N2vI

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

CPI 4.2%. PPI 6.5% — hottest since 2022. And Wednesday, Kevin Warsh runs his first Fed meeting with the inflation monster waiting onstage.
Can The Great Warsh pull a rabbit out of the hat?
$SPY
https://t.co/u2vwRnqK1f

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Nine straight weeks of gains. PCE at 3.8%. Oil down 20%. Savings rate at 2.6%. The market and the data can't both be right. New post is up. $SPX $SPY $SOXX https://t.co/8awOBpGMJz

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

I will be making an appearance on the @SchwabNetwork at 11:50AM EST to discuss $ONON earnings. Tune in!

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

This week's Kisco Capital market note covers The Chip Rush: earnings season is ramping up, $SOXX is running white hot, and everyone is talking about AI-driven demand.
https://t.co/QyEOBtixpc

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Not what the bulls want to see on the opener for semis. $SOXX $SMH

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Hormuz isn't just an oil story. It's a fertilizer shock, an LNG shock, and a supply chain shock all at once. CFTC data shows specs leaning long while the clock ticks. New blog: Headline by Appointment. $SPY $SPX

https://t.co/iW2p6awc4L

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Tactical Allocation Creates Opportunity
#TACO $ES

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

This week's Kisco Capital market commentary covers the March FOMC meeting and dot plot, a hotter-than-expected PPI report, soft durable goods orders, oil prices near triple digits, and a stock market that just lost a key technical level. $SPY $TNX

https://t.co/SjlAPzj8rj

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

We broke yesterday’s low on the $SPY but not the $VIX high from yesterday which is a positive divergence for the moment.

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

Inflation, oil, policy, the stock market — four traps, one thread. Energy is driving all of it. New post breaks down why the only way out is through. $USO $SPX #Iran #OIL

https://t.co/HNeTWuCYK0

[Kisco Capital @kiscocap]

It won’t go up forever. Too much incentive by governments to get the oil out of the gulf. $CL $USO #OIL