COCO

Just a poly baddie trying to make smart bets and mind my business.

baddie @polyBaddies | Crypto enthusiastic | memeber @zscdao

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Gbaddies 🩷

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@printerdebt @zscdao @Polymarket Yeh tq

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US strikes Iran by...?

Here i'll explain why the odds are climbing fast on January

There's Huge protests raging in Iran since late Dec — economic meltdown, rial crash, turning into full anti-regime chants ("Death to Khamenei").

Regime's brutal crackdown: 500+ protesters killed , thousands arrested, nationwide internet/phone shutdown since Jan 8 to hide the scale.

Here Trump's been loud with his opinion like "hit them hard" if they keep killing protesters.

He got briefed on military choices , but also cyber/sanctions/Starlink help too.... White House says diplomacy first, but tariffs just hit (25% on any country trading with Iran).

Then Iran threatens US bases/Israel if attacked. That's why the cahnces on a january seems pretty high .... bettors are pricing in escalation if deaths keep rising and Trump follows through on his threats.

Massive volume ($5M+ on end-of-Jan) shows everyone's watching this closely. Oil could spike hard if it goes kinetic.

[COCO @kocamla]

@qwerty_ytrevvq @Polymarket Me with extra 1$ tbh

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@rasmr_eth Yeh yeh

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@shubhh_hum Why gold is not in the list

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@joostienXD @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket He has done deep research

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@PolymarketSport Noise

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@SiriusTrader_ @zscdao @Polymarket May be

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@Tw1qsi @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @zscdao Nice one twi

[COCO @kocamla]

Here I come with another prediction on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Market Analysis with Current odds shows: 22% Yes (up +15% recently, with massive $11M+ volume)

The market's spiking hard — odds jumped from low teens to 22% in just days amid the huge nationwide protests rocking Iran right now.

Khamenei's 86, health rumors have swirled forever, but this time it's different: streets full of "Death to Khamenei" chants, internet blackouts, live fire reports, bazaar shutdowns and even whispers of escape plans to Russia if things spiral.

Crowd thinks short-term odds are still low .......but the momentum feels real with economic pain, Trump threats and security forces reportedly hesitating or defecting in spots.

I'm personally leaning No for end of Jan at these levels-regime's cracked down hard before and survived -but if protests keep spreading and don't fizzle, this could moon fast.

What's your take?

[COCO @kocamla]

Super Bowl Champion 2026

It has a massive volume (~$660M+ total)

Seattle Seahawks: 19%
Los Angeles Rams: 17%
Philadelphia Eagles: 11% (down slightly)
Denver Broncos: 10%
Buffalo Bills: 9%
New England Patriots: 8%

As of my opinion Seattle is the rightful favorite right now As NFC #1 seed (14-3) with first-round

Elite defense (top-2 in many metrics) Balanced offense with Sam Darnold stepping up Huge momentum from late-season wins.

NFC West rivalry dominates the market Rams at 17% reflect Matthew Stafford's experience + strong late metrics, but recent stumbles and tougher road (no bye) cap them.

Eagles at 11% feel a bit low — Jalen Hurts + home-field vs. 49ers gives upside, but inconsistent offense hurts trust.

AFC is wide open & undervalued in spots Denver (AFC #1, 14-3) at 10% has bye + defense, but Bo Nix questions linger.

Bills (9%) and Patriots (8%) offer value - Josh Allen's playoff history or Drake Maye's emergence could flip the AFC.

My take Seattle at 19¢ feels fairly priced (maybe slight value).

Btw DYOR !

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@willyLee @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @zscdao I was not aware of this

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@GlobalUpdates24 Like everywhere?

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@Forward_inv @Polymarket @opensea @PolymarketTrade Are u really positive that can make 1B??

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@PolymarketSport 😂

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@zscdao I need to look for it

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@leshuuuk @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Yehh

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@DmitriyUngarov @Polymarket They are still working on the case so it's not gonna be jan ....it may be the other two

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Here's another prediction ....that Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?

Current odds:

By Jan 31: 21%
By June 30: 76%
By Dec 31: 83%

Over $1.2M volume already, with money piling into the longer dates (77¢ Yes for June, 83¢ for year-end).

This ties into the recent spotlight from the viral video and federal funding freeze-state inspections found the highlighted centers operating normally, but the broader investigation (building on past Feeding Our Future cases with 98+ charged) has real momentum now with HHS/DOJ surging resources.

I think charges come eventually, probably mid-year or later as evidence builds. Market's pricing that in solidly-no rush for January, but strong conviction on 2026 overall.

NO on Jan looks decent value right now...from my POV

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@DmitriyUngarov The dance indeed 😂

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@k1rallik @Polymarket We need a tool to find insiders