Michal Kosmowski

Data geek, options trader, entrepreneur. Building with data, risk and edge. Founder & CEO @MrShuttleC

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

SPX update after a risk-off Friday:
The actual path undercut the lower likely band around +3D, then back toward the historical median by +5D. So far, this still looks consistent with the post-stress pattern: shakeout , mean reversion. Just conditional history #spx #quant #trading

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

Is this the start of a bigger SPX correction, or are sharks just hunting liquidity before the next move?

I checked similar risk-off Fridays since 2000, matched with prior 30-session context.

Stats suggest the base case is less “crash” and more sideways drift/chop.

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

US General Caine: The US has local air superiority in Iran.

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

Look at this.

JUST BEFORE the announcement that Electronic Arts, $EA, was to go private, there was $EA 180 calls expiring literally next week on 10/03.

They were Early volume at around $0.37 per contract.

They sold for nearly $15.

They made nearly a million in less than a few hours.

Someone always knows.

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

🚨HOLY COW:

The S&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio has surpassed 40x for the first time since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble BURST.

The US stock market has ALMOST NEVER been so expensive.

When the music finally stops, many will be left without a chair.

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

@financialjuice Hydration pack with gopro holder

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

“More fiction has been written in Excel than in Word.”
— Morgan Housel

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

BREAKING: Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway now holds more short-term Treasuries than the Fed.

It increased its holdings by 81% YTD through June from ~$130 billion at the end of 2023 to $234.6B.

1-month T-Bill yields 5.33%, 3-month 5.22%, and 6-month 4.95%

The Fed owns $195B

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

🔴 FED BIDS FOR 4-WEEK BILLS TOTAL $95.9 MLN.

[vfat.eth @vfat0]

Sensible

[GameSwift AI 🎮 @GameSwift_io]

Another powerful partnership! GameSwift is teaming up with @KCLabsOfficial 🤝

They are the research and incubation powerhouse behind @kucoincom, now known as KuCoin Labs.

GameSwift has become part of their portfolio companies.

We are thrilled to sync up and BUIDL🦾 together!

[Evan @StockMKTNewz]

Realty Income $O just declared a monthly dividend of $0.256 per share

This is the 640th consecutive monthly dividend declared since Realty Income's listing on the NYSE in 1994

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

@hey_madni AI

[Dr. Simon @goddek]

It's a tragedy that many scientists and doctors have been cancelled for telling the truth, while infamous liars such as @PeterHotez don't have to fear any professional consequences.

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

@traderdrysdale Can you open DM Sir?

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

@BartekSzyma FTX i Binance były / są zcentralizowane

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

Jeżeli nadal myślisz ze nie potrzbujemy zdecentralizowanych finansow pomyśl ponownie #Happynewyer2023

[Bartek Szyma @BartekSzyma]

1/4 Śmieszno strasznie. W 2022 czterokrotne wzrosła liczba cyberataków na obywateli tego kraju. W tym samym czasie, rosyjski bank centralny wydaje kuriozalną instrukcję, jak banki komercyjne mają pomagać w mobilizacji...

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

Your calendar is a better measure of success than your bank account.

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

Powell: Santa or Grinch?

[Michal Kosmowski @kosmowski]

@hp_thetrader Solid… can you elaborate on your SPX spread strategy?