krishneel

Horse Enthusiast.
Sports Lover.
Punter
🐎🐎Winx biggest Lover🐎. Realised her potential at start no6 and ever since backed her everystart🐎

[Chino @ChinoUTD]

🚨 Mourinho on Cristiano Ronaldo against Croatia:

🗣️ Reporter:
“Ronaldo only scored from the penalty spot.”

🗣️ Mourinho:

“Only? Did you see the goal that was ruled out? Forget the offside for a second. The run, the first touch, the finish over the goalkeeper…That’s a goal a lot of strikers don’t score even when they’re onside.

He was just unlucky the timing was a few inches off. Then a few minutes later he scores the penalty. People will remember the penalty. I’ll remember the finish that never counted.”

[Racing Previews @Racing_Previews]

Just like that, it’s Royal Ascot week 🇬🇧

🇦🇺 Mark Zahra again rides defending champ Docklands ($7.50) in the Queen Anne

🇦🇺 Overpass ($3.50) and 2024 winner Asfoora ($9.50) draw the outside rail in the King Charles III

🇦🇺 Joliestar ($3) on Saturday in the QEII Jubilee

[krishneel @krishneel2006]

Calandagan

[World Horse Racing @WHR]

Upset in the G1 Coronation Cup! 😮

BAY CITY ROLLER cruises home for @GScottracing and @oismurphy at @EpsomRacecourse with Calandagan only fourth.

[GG @ggcouk]

Jan Brueghel 1 - 1 Calandagan

They face eachother again in the Coronation Cup, where Jan Brueghel just came out on top.

Same again this year?

[SKY Racing @SkyRacingAU]

Bluepinot uncorks a smart win at Doomben! 🍷

@cwallerracing @BrisRacingClub @RaceQLD

[7HorseRacing 🐎 @7horseracing]

JETT STANLEY PULLS OFF A HEIST‼️

Hezdarnhottoo wins the last at Caulfield against the pattern of the day!

@stanley_jett @bbakerracing

[Fabrizio Romano @FabrizioRomano]

🚨🇵🇹 OFFICIAL: Cristiano Ronaldo will play his 6th World Cup.

🇩🇪 2006
🇿🇦 2010
🇧🇷 2014
🇷🇺 2018
🇶🇦 2022
🇺🇸🇨🇦🇲🇽 2026

[Fabrizio Romano @FabrizioRomano]

🚨🇵🇹 OFFICIAL: Portugal final World Cup squad has been released by Roberto Martínez.

[Daniel O'Sullivan @TRBHorseRacing]

🏇 WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊 - Five Highest Rated Winners 16/5/26:

🔥 Rothfire 100.0
Returned to the Group 1 winner’s circle at start number 43, and six years after his 104 rating Group 1 JJ Atkins win as a 2YO, scoring an emotional victory in the Doomben 10,000 for trainer Rob Heathcote and connections. His 100 rating is the same figure he produced when narrowly beaten into second by Sunshine In Paris in this race last year, with those now standing as his two best performances across the past two years.

There will always be a sense of what might have been with Rothfire after producing elite ratings of 103 and 104 as a 2YO, before running a world-class 107.5 to win The Run To The Rose in the spring of 2020. That performance saw him start $1.50 favourite in the Group 1 Golden Rose at his next start, where he looked to have the race at his mercy when still 2L clear with 200m to go, only to go amiss.

This year’s Doomben 10,000 rated around one length below the 102 winner average since the race switched to 1200m in 2017. Giga Kick remains the standout winner in that period, with a rating of 105.2 in 2023.

🛕 Western Empire 98.5
Another older horse (8YO) continuing to show plenty of enthusiasm for racing, he ran a 98.5 rating to win the Group 3 Belmont Sprint first-up off a 154-day spell at start number 36. That performance sits at the upper end of his good form range. Across the past three years, only his 100 rating win in the 2024 G3 Gold Rush (1400m) and his 99.8 rating second placing in the 2025 Group 1 Railway Handicap (1600m) have been better.

💎 Tulleries 98.3
Overcame barrier 15 and topweight of 59.5kg to score a strong win in the Group 3 Dark Jewel Classic at Scone, producing a clear new career peak in the process. Her 98.3 rating improved on her previous best of 95.7 from just two runs earlier when winning the Group 3 Newcastle Stakes, also over 1400m. Prior to this preparation, her peak rating had been 92.8, highlighting that she has undoubtedly returned a much better mare this campaign for Peter Snowden.

🎯 Middle Earth 98.0
Returned to form for Ciaron Maher with a solid win in the Group 3 Chairman's Handicap over 2000m at Doomben, aided by a fast pace set by Just Fine. He came from 6.8L off the lead at the 800m mark in a race where the first six horses across the line were all four lengths or more from the lead at that point. The 98.0 rating is his second-best performance in 12 Australian starts since March 2025. His best remains the 99.1 rating he produced when third, beaten 4.3L, in the 2025 Melbourne Cup. The suitability of the fast pace on Saturday makes me cautious about being too bullish on the run from a form perspective, especially given that he is a consistent backmarker. However, his 102.3 peak overseas winning at Group 3 level over 2414m shows there is another layer of talent there beyond what we have seen from him so far in Australia.

🧨 Midnight Dynamite 97.5
James McDonald had him quickly into the lead from barrier one, where he established a comfortable rhythm travelling just below standard to the 800m before increasing the speed slightly from there. He was never seriously challenged, kicking clear between the 300m and 200m marks before going on to win easily by 2.1L and produce a clear new career peak of 97.5. That continued a strong upward ratings trajectory for the Bjorn Baker rising five-year-old gelding. His previous peak of 93.5 came at his prior start, which itself had improved on his earlier best of 92.5. Between the end of last preparation and his two runs this campaign, he has now produced three successive peak ratings, highlighting that he is a later-maturing horse only now finding the best form of his career.

[Daniel O'Sullivan @TRBHorseRacing]

🏇 Concord Connie well and truly confirmed her promise on Saturday.

Visually, the win may not have looked as dominant as her previous Flemington 1400m performance, but the TopRate data suggests the merit was every bit as strong.

📊 Race Shape Context

Last start:
• 4.5L off the lead at the 800m
• Lead speed 🟢+1.6L above TopRate standard

Saturday:
• 4.7L off the lead at the 800m
• Lead speed 🔴-5.6L below standard

That’s a vastly different scenario.

⏱️ Her Sectional Pattern
From the 800m, Concord Connie improved her sectional ratings relative to standard with every 200m split (see the TopRate screenshot).

Her final 200m was her best split relative to standard.

⚖️ The Rating
Her 96.7 WFA Performance Rating was 1.6 lengths below the 100 figure she ran last start.

But given the much less suitable setup, there’s a strong case she’s gone just as well.

This may not have looked as visually explosive, but the merit was absolutely there.

She heads to the spring looking every bit a realistic Group class horse.

💡 Form Analysis Pointer

I love seeing this type of building pattern in a horse’s sectionals where their final 200m is their best relative to standard, especially when combined with a good WFA Performance Rating.

It’s often a sign of talent, upside and a horse that can improve again when they find a more suitable race setup.

As a winner, Concord Connie’s merit is more obvious, but over the years, I’ve had many good betting results from beaten horses showing this same pattern before finding the right setup next start.

[Kestrel Thoroughbreds @bruceaslade]

CHAYAN - record price explained

For many, the $5.6m paid for Chayan by @CoolmoreAus from the @NewgateFarm consignment at last week’s @inglis_sales Chairman’s Sale is hard to fathom, so I thought I would explain why I had her valued at $4-5m before she walked in the ring:

The key components to Chayan’s record price was:

1. her racing upside = age (2yo), limited starts (one prep & four starts) and her quality (@TRBHorseRacing had her Riesling win rated at 99.5 & she started favourite in the Slipper as a result. 🇦🇺 incredible prize-money levels a factor in here too

2. her pedigree = by Champion sire I Am Invincible from a Group winning daughter of another Champion sire Snitzel

3. her type, temperament & condition = Chayan is a quality commercial type, she has an incredibly relaxed demeanour, and @archibaldracing had her looking incredible - sound, lots of condition to work with racing forward, and a healthy coat to show she was converting her nutrition optimally

Her final price was a combination of her residual value & her future racing value.

Residual Value: $2.5m+
The sale of two Group winning I Am invincible fillies with similar profiles at last year’s Sale gave us a good guide to Chayan’s current residual value - Tiz Invincible & Estriella both brought $2.8m

Racing Value: $2m+
@TRBHorseRacing assessment as an example had Chayan the top rated 2yo filly of the season 99.5, in line with the top 2yos fillies of last season:

Marhoona 100 - won the Group 1 Galaxy this season as a 3yo & $800k prizemoney

Tempted 98.4 - won $4.438m this season, winning the Group 1 Surround & placing in the $20m Everest.

With the stamina in her dam side, and her strong finishes, running a strong 1200m-1600m is possible for Chayan. This sees her 3yo campaign alone (both Marhoona & Tempted will race on next season), open to Group 1 races such as:
$1m Golden Rose
$750k Flight Stakes
$20m Everest
$2m Coolmore Stud Stakes
$3m MM Sunlight or Guineas
$750k Surround
$1m Australian Guineas

Watch the incredible theatre of Chayan’s record sale here (and note her temperament) 🎥 @BreednetNews

[Gollan Racing @tonygollan]

Deeply saddened to hear of the passing of stable legend Spirit Of Boom.

A truly remarkable racehorse, his wins included the Gr 1 William Reid & Doomben 10,000 in a career that spanned success from a 2yo to 6yo.

Words cannot describe the impact he has had on our stable.

RIP ♥️

[Racing.com @Racing]

Watch from above as Wigmore tasted SA Derby success, earning Teo Nugent his first G1 in his own right 🙌🏆

[World Horse Racing @WHR]

It's CROIX DU NORD's G1 Tenno Sho (Spring)❗️ #クロワデュノール

He just holds on to secure G1 win number 4⃣!

📹 @JRA_Special

[7HorseRacing 🐎 @7horseracing]

WIGMORE STICKS THE NECK OUT AND WINS THE DERBY‼️

The 40-1 shot wins it for Teo Nugent and Phillip Stokes 🤯

@teonugent1 @pstokesracing

[Daniel O'Sullivan @TRBHorseRacing]

🏇 WFA Performance Ratings ⏱️⚖️📊 - Five highest rated winners from Saturday 25/4:

🌟 Concord Connie - 100
A highly impressive six-length winning performance that signals genuine Group 1 potential, stamped by fast time (+3.2L vs the TopRate standard) and, more notably, still finishing strongly at +2.3L above standard for her final 200m. She is bred to be better over longer trips, and producing this level of performance at just her third career start, over a distance likely short of her best, only reinforces that view.

🎯 Geegees Mistruth - 98.5
Won a very competitive Group 1 Sangster Stakes, improving on her previous best rating of 95.2 when beaten 2.7L in the G1 Newmarket three starts ago. Her 98.5 rating sits about 1.7 lengths below the historical winner average for this race, reinforced by a tight finish with four horses in the photo, the next three all within 2 lengths.

💪 Too Darn Discreet - 98.5
Improved on her previous best of 95.5 with a 98.5 rating win over 2000m at Flemington, sitting handy to a genuine pace and staying on strongly, still above average over her final 200m, with an overall time of +5.7L vs the TopRate standard. Although this was a BM100, a performance at this level shows that further stakes class success is within reach.

💎 Panova - 98
She looked to be struggling to find her best in this preparation, but a 2000m run in the G1 Vinery, followed by a jumpout eight days before this race, had her in peak condition for Chris Waller and James McDonald. She improved from a 90.3 best in her three runs prior to producing a 98 rating and winning the G1 Australasian Oaks. With the pace only even, there was merit in coming from 6.7L off the lead at the 600m, running the best last 600m of the meeting at +8.5L vs the TopRate standard. That performance sits within a length of her 99.3 peak in the Carbine Club Stakes last spring.

Historically, this race has rated well below Group 1 standard, but she was better than recent winners Benagil (95), Vibrant Sun (96.7) and Affaire A Suivre (96.5). Still lightly raced for a filly suited in the 1600m to 2000m range, she is in the right stable to continue developing as she matures. For me, she profiles similarly to a mare like Atishu, who went on to be a three-time Group 1 winner for the Waller stable.

🙌 Tycoon Star - 96.5
Beaten narrowly at his previous two starts after looking home inside the final 100m, he earned a deserved win here, running 96.5 to take the 3YO Group 2 Tobin Bronze Stakes, matching his last two runs at a similar level. His performance fits the recent history of the race: slightly below Reserve Bank last year (97.5), ahead of Skybird (95), and in line with Royal Merchant (96.5) over the two years prior.

[At The Races @AtTheRaces]

STRADIVARIUS loved @Ascot 💛

Watch Royal Ascot Trials Day this Friday, featuring the Sagaro Stakes, all live on Sky Sports Racing from 2pm...

[Ben Asgari @BenAsgariRacing]

Would be genuinely embarrassed to put these out publicly and have Black Caviar rated the same as Battaash with the benefit of years of hindsight to improve the error.

[Racing TV @RacingTV]

"An absolute freak of a horse. He's a dream come true."

@mcacajamez on the sensational Romantic Warrior, defeating Masquerade Ball to become a four-time winner of the FWD QEII Cup and 14-time top-level scorer 👏 @nickluck

[Racing TV @RacingTV]

1m07.10s.

Ka Ying Rising makes it 20 (!) wins on the bounce and lowers his own track record in the Group 1 Chairman's Sprint earlier at odds of 1/100F.

"If it's right, it's possible," says trainer David Hayes on a potential Royal Ascot bid in future years 👀 @nickluck