Decoding Financials

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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

📊 3 Things That Will Decide the Market Today
🟢 GIFT NIFTY (Gift City Cues)
GIFT Nifty is up ~0.5%, signalling a positive open. Domestic tailwinds are building — but global cues remain the wildcard.
🌍 Macro / Global Cues
Wall Street capped a strong week on Friday — Amazon surged 15.3% on accelerating cloud growth, Alphabet gained 7.1%, and Microsoft added 3%, pushing the S&P 500 +0.7% and Nasdaq 100 +0.6% — though Apple slid 7.3% on chip shortage-driven production cuts. (Verify Monday's close before posting — markets may have extended or reversed these gains.) TRADING ECONOMICS
Brent crude remains elevated near $87–88/bbl — July saw Brent gain nearly 24%, its strongest monthly rise since March, as Houthi attacks on tankers and ongoing US-Iran hostilities kept supply risks alive. Any fresh peace signals could move crude sharply — watch headlines closely. TRADING ECONOMICS
Asian markets are mixed this morning following last week's volatile swings.
🇮🇳 Key Domestic Triggers Today:
🏦 RBI MPC Meeting begins — rate decision likely on August 6. With repo rate at 5.25% and elevated crude threatening imported inflation, Malhotra's commentary on growth vs. inflation trade-off will be closely watched
📊 Q1 earnings season continues — stock-specific moves expected
💰 FII buying has turned positive — sustained inflows are a support factor 5paisa
📈 Options Data & Key Levels
👉 Nifty: 24,400 – 24,800 range
👉 Sensex: 77,500 – 79,000 range
👉 Bank Nifty: 57,000 – 58,500 range
RBI week + Big Tech earnings wrap + elevated crude = a complex setup. BFSI stocks will be most sensitive to RBI tone. Patience before the policy outcome is the play.
What's your view on RBI's stance this week? Drop it below 👇
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

📊 3 Things That Will Decide the Market Today
🟢 GIFT NIFTY (Gift City Cues)
GIFT Nifty is up ~100 points (+0.4%), signalling a positive open. Global cues are the strongest they've been all month — but context matters.
🌍 Macro / Global Cues
Wall Street staged a powerful rebound on Thursday — Nasdaq +2.8% | S&P 500 +1.7% | Dow +1.2% — as a single earnings report changed everything. CNBC
Microsoft surged 16%, adding ~$450 billion in market cap in a single session — its Azure cloud business grew 43%, the fastest since 2022, and crucially, capex guidance did NOT outpace expectations. That killed the AI spending concern that had been crushing tech stocks all week. Bloomberg
Amazon also jumped after hours, beating on cloud revenue for the fifth straight quarter. (Note: Meta fell 10% intraday on a guidance miss — the full picture is mixed, but Microsoft's size won the day.) Bloomberg
Asian markets are erupting this morning: KOSPI +16.5% | Samsung +24.8% | SK Hynix +27.8% — a violent snapback after losing 17%+ this week. Nikkei +5.5% with SoftBank +15% and Tokyo Electron +11%. Local 10FOX4KC
Brent crude eased to near $86/bbl on mild demand optimism, while the Japanese yen surged on suspected coordinated intervention — a signal worth watching for global currency flows. Spectrum News NY1Audacy
📈 Options Data & Key Levels
👉 Nifty: 24,100 – 24,500 range
👉 Sensex: 77,000 – 79,000 range
👉 Bank Nifty: 56,500 – 58,000 range
One final reminder: Today is Monthly F&O Expiry. A strong gap-up on expiry day often means intense short-covering in the first hour followed by sharp profit-booking. Don't chase the opening move — let the market settle and confirm direction.
What's your game plan for expiry day? Drop it below 👇
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

🌅 Good Morning, Traders!
The market is heading into today on the front foot — but stay sharp. It's a big day. 👇
Why the mood is positive:
📈 Nifty has now recovered for four straight sessions, closing at 24,317 on Thursday
🏦 FIIs turned net buyers, purchasing ₹755 crore in equities — first institutional buying after 4 sessions of selling
📊 Infosys +4.5% | JioFin +5.2% | HUL +4.7% — earnings season delivering the goods
😌 India VIX cooled to 12.00 (-4.42%) — market fear is fading
🌍 US futures up 0.4–0.7% overnight after Microsoft's strong earnings
What to keep in mind:
🛢️ Brent crude still elevated near $85–87/bbl — has eased from $100+ peak, but geopolitical risk isn't gone
⚡ TODAY IS MONTHLY F&O EXPIRY (July 31) — expect sharp intraday swings, short covering, and position unwinding. Do NOT mistake expiry-driven moves for genuine directional momentum.
Key levels for today:
🟢 Support: 24,100 – 24,120
🔴 Resistance: 24,500 (highest call OI for the expiry)
Finish the month right — let the expiry noise settle before making aggressive calls. Protect what you've built this week.
Trade smart. Capital first, profits follow 📊
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

https://t.co/48ldGBStGs
🚨 NIFTY SMC ANALYSIS IS LIVE! 📈

Want to know how institutions may move the market in the next session?

✅ Smart Money Concept (SMC) Analysis
✅ Key Liquidity Zones
✅ High Probability Entry Setups
✅ BOS • MSS • Order Blocks • Liquidity Sweeps
✅ Trading Plan for Tomorrow
🎥 Watch the full breakdown on YouTube now and stay one step ahead of the market.
💬 Let me know your view on NIFTY after watching!
#NIFTY #SMC #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceAction #Trading #StockMarket #BankNifty #FuturesAndOptions #IntradayTrading #Liquidity #OrderBlock #MarketStructure #BOS #MSS #ICT #NiftyAnalysis #IndianStockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trader #YouTube

[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

📊 3 Things That Will Decide the Market Today
🔴 GIFT NIFTY (Gift City Cues)
GIFT Nifty is down ~0.2%, indicating a slightly weak start — but global cues are far more volatile than the number suggests.
🌍 Macro / Global Cues
Wall Street had its worst day since April 2025 overnight. Dow -2.19% | S&P 500 -1.52% | Nasdaq Composite -1.74% | Nasdaq 100 -2.1%. CNBCCNBC
The reason: Fed held rates at 3.5%–3.75% for the fifth straight meeting — but three FOMC members dissented in favour of an immediate hike, and Warsh declared there is "no soft inflation target." The 30-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2007. Markets are now pricing in a September rate hike as the base case. Crypto Briefing + 2
Oil adding fuel to the fire: Brent crude surged 4%+ to near $88/bbl after the US intercepted a surprise Iranian attack on American troops across the Middle East. Brent is trading at $89.53 this morning. TRADING ECONOMICS + 2
One overnight positive: Microsoft earnings lifted sentiment after hours — Dow futures +0.3% | S&P futures +0.4% | Nasdaq 100 futures +0.7%. But Meta fell 4% after hours on a 2026 capex upgrade — the AI spending anxiety continues. CNBCNBC News
📈 Options Data & Key Levels
👉 Nifty: 24,000 – 24,500 range
👉 Sensex: 77,000 – 78,500 range
👉 Bank Nifty: 56,500 – 58,000 range
Hawkish Fed + oil near $90 + AI capex fears = three structural headwinds. Watch IT, Banking, and Aviation sectors closely at the open. Let the first 15 minutes reveal direction before committing capital.
What level are you watching today? Drop it below 👇
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

🚨 FED HOLDS RATES STEADY

Fed funds rate: 3.50%–3.75% (unchanged)
✅ Matches previous & street estimates

📊 Vote: 9-3
🔴 Dissents: Hammack, Kashkari, Logan — all pushed for a hike, citing inflation staying above target

Fed reiterated: “The Committee will deliver price stability”

Next move — hike, hold, or cut? Drop your take 👇

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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

⚠️ Two Big Events to Watch Today
Markets just got two wildcards on the same day 👇
1️⃣ FOMC Decision — Tonight (11:30 PM IST)
The Fed announces its rate decision tonight at 2 PM ET, followed by a press conference at 2:30 PM ET with Chair Kevin Warsh. CBS News
Consensus: rates held steady at 3.50–3.75% — marking five consecutive holds. CBS News
BUT here's what makes this one spicy 🌶️
The June dot plot turned hawkish — US inflation is running at 4.2%, and 9 of 18 Fed officials pencilled in at least one rate hike before year end. No new dot plot today, but Warsh has vowed to share less "forward guidance" — meaning every word of his press conference will be dissected. Cambridge CurrenciesCambridge Currencies
Hold + hawkish tone = Dollar up, equities under pressure
Hold + neutral/dovish tone = Relief rally signal
Surprise hike = Market shock
2️⃣ Oil Spiking Again — Attacks Resuming
Fresh attacks on both sides are pushing crude higher again this afternoon. Not at peak intensity yet — but the US-Iran situation remains binary. One significant escalation = oil back above $90+ instantly.
Bottom line for traders:
📌 Don't carry large overnight positions into the FOMC decision
📌 Watch for whipsaw moves post 11:30 PM IST
📌 Crude move in the next few hours will set the mood going into the Fed
Things can go either way — and that's exactly why you don't guess. You wait.
Trade the price action, not the headlines 📊
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

🌅 Good Morning, Traders!
The biggest news this morning isn't on a chart — it's in a ceasefire.
The US and Iran paused military strikes over the weekend. That's all markets needed to hear.
Brent crude has dropped 7% this morning in response — and GIFT Nifty is up ~124 points, pointing to a strong gap-up open after five straight sessions of selling. Business StandardBusiness Standard
Today's key context:
🛢️ Brent crude -7% on US-Iran military pause — biggest single-day crude relief in weeks
📈 GIFT Nifty ~23,931 | ~140–180 pt gap-up indicated for Nifty 50
⚡ Weekly + Monthly F&O expiry week — expect elevated volatility and sharp reversals
🏦 Q1 results season in full swing — stock-specific swings likely alongside index moves
Sectors to watch on the gap-up:
🟢 Aviation, OMCs, Paints, Logistics, Chemicals — direct crude beneficiaries
🔴 Upstream Oil & Gas (ONGC, Oil India) — headwinds from falling crude realisations
One important caution:
A sharp opening after sustained losses can include both genuine buying and short covering — retail investors chasing stocks immediately after a gap-up risk entering before the market confirms whether the gains are sustainable. NewsDrum
Wait for the first 15 minutes. Let the market reveal itself before committing capital.
Trade wisely — capital preservation always comes first 📊
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

🚨 NEW VIDEO IS LIVE!
https://t.co/JEgLmCXDg7
📊 How to Analyze the Market Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC)?

In this video, I’ve shared my complete SMC analysis framework for Indian Indices — covering:

✅ Market Structure
✅ Liquidity & Liquidity Sweeps
✅ BOS & MSS
✅ Order Blocks & FVGs
✅ Multi-Timeframe Analysis
✅ Entry & Execution Framework
✅ NIFTY, BANK NIFTY & SENSEX Analysis
If you’re learning Smart Money Concepts and want to understand how to build a complete market view, this video is for you. 📈
🎥 Watch now on YouTube!
#SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #NIFTY #BankNifty #Sensex #StockMarket #Trading #PriceAction #IndianStockMarket
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is shared for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered investment or trading advice. I am not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser/Research Analyst. Please consult a SEBI-registered professional and conduct your own research before making any investment or trading decisions. Trading and investing involve market risk.

[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

📊 3 Things That Will Decide the Market Today
🔴 GIFT NIFTY (Gift City Cues)
GIFT Nifty is down ~150 points (-0.6%), signalling a weak gap-down open. Today's session will be driven by one word: oil.
🌍 Macro / Global Cues
US markets had their worst session in weeks — Nasdaq -2.15% | S&P 500 -1.21% | Dow -0.97% — as two forces collided: a tech earnings shock and an oil price explosion. CNBC
Earnings: Alphabet fell 7% after announcing $195–205 billion in 2026 capex, while Tesla crashed 15% on an EPS miss and negative free cash flow. The AI spending story is under serious scrutiny. CNBC
Oil: Brent crude surged 7%+ to settle at $101/bbl — its first close above $100 since late May. Three supply disruptions hit simultaneously:
🔴 US-Iran strikes continue (night 12+)
🔴 Houthis attacked two Saudi tankers in the Red Sea — announcing a blockade of Saudi ports
🔴 Kazakhstan suspended Caspian Pipeline exports after drone attacks TRADING ECONOMICS + 2
The US 10-year Treasury yield hit a 52-week high of 4.67% — the 30-year is above 5% for the longest stretch since 2007. Asian markets are under pressure this morning. Yahoo Finance
📈 Options Data & Key Levels
👉 Nifty: 23,400 – 24,200 range
👉 Sensex: 75,500 – 77,000 range
👉 Bank Nifty: 56,000 – 58,000 range
$100 oil, AI capex fears, three supply chokepoints, and bond yields at cycle highs — this is the most complex macro setup of the month. Aviation, OMCs, and Paints face the most immediate pain. No rushed positions at the open.
What's your game plan today? Drop it below 👇
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

🚨 Market Analysis is Live!
https://t.co/nJlrIZT1sZ

Today's NIFTY played out exactly as planned. In this video, I break down:
✅ How we planned today's move
✅ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) analysis for tomorrow
✅ Key NIFTY levels to watch
✅ Bitcoin (BTC) outlook
✅ Gold (XAUUSD) institutional bias
If you're serious about trading with institutional logic instead of emotions, don't miss this one.
📺 Watch now and be prepared before tomorrow's market opens.
#NIFTY #BankNifty #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #Trading #StockMarket #IndianStockMarket #NSE #BTC #Bitcoin #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #Intraday #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #Investing #Trader

[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

📊 3 Things That Will Decide the Market Today
🔴 GIFT NIFTY (Gift City Cues)
GIFT Nifty is down ~0.4% (over 100 points), signalling a weak start. Global cues are the reason — read carefully.
🌍 Macro / Global Cues
US markets ended Wednesday mixed — Nasdaq -0.6% | S&P 500 -0.1% | Dow flat — as rising oil prices pressured growth stocks ahead of Big Tech earnings. After the close, Alphabet (Google) fell ~4% despite record cloud revenue (+81%), as investors were rattled by $45 billion in quarterly capex — free cash flow turned negative. Tesla also dipped ~5% on an EPS miss. Nasdaq futures are down ~1% this morning as a result. The Motley FoolYahoo Finance
Asian markets are providing some offset — KOSPI rising 3.4% and Nikkei up ~0.5% as the chip rebound extends into a third session. Tradingkey
Brent crude climbed near $96/bbl this morning — a six-week high — as the 11th consecutive night of US airstrikes on Iran and fresh Houthi attacks on Red Sea tankers kept energy markets on edge. Bloomberg + 2
📈 Options Data & Key Levels
👉 Nifty: 23,700 – 24,200 range
👉 Sensex: 76,000 – 77,500 range
👉 Bank Nifty: 56,000 – 58,500 range
Alphabet's capex shock + Brent near $96 = a cautious open. IT stocks and Aviation/OMCs in sharp focus today. No aggressive longs until the dust settles.
What's your view for today's session? Drop it below 👇
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

🚨 NIFTY Looks Bearish!

Fresh Smart Money Concepts (SMC) analysis is live on YouTube. 📉

✅ Liquidity Analysis
✅ Market Structure Breakdown
✅ Key Demand & Supply Zones
✅ High-Probability Trading Levels for Tomorrow
Watch now and trade with a plan, not emotions.
📺 Watch here: [https://t.co/aevt4EgYcc}
#Nifty #Nifty50 #StockMarket #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #Trading #Intraday #BankNifty #IndianStockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #OptionsTrading #SwingTrading #MarketAnalysis #Trader

[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

Good Morning, Traders!
Wall Street staged a strong comeback overnight — and the chips led the charge 🔥
Tuesday's US Close:
📈 Dow +0.74% | S&P 500 +0.86% | Nasdaq +1.26%
🚀 Micron +12% | Sandisk +14% | AMD +8%
💻 Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +5.5%
Asian markets are echoing the move this morning — KOSPI bouncing 5%+ after last week's brutal selloff, Nikkei mildly positive.
The wildcards to watch today:
🛢️ Brent crude above $90/bbl | WTI near $85/bbl — fresh US airstrikes on Iran's south and west keeping oil elevated
☮️ Iran ceasefire proposal (10-day truce via mediators) is on the table — watch for any update, it could swing crude fast
📊 Big Tech earnings begin this week — results will set the tone for AI-linked stocks globally and in India
What this means for our markets:
Positive global cues support a stable-to-strong open. But elevated crude limits how far Oil & Gas import-heavy sectors can run. IT stocks may see the most direct tailwind from the chip rebound narrative.
Wait for the first 15 minutes to confirm direction. No aggressive positions before the market speaks.
Trade with patience. Capital first, profits follow 📊
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

🚨 NIFTY Tomorrow Analysis is Live!

Will Nifty continue its bullish momentum or face rejection from key supply?

📊 In this video, I cover:
✅ Nifty, Bank Nifty & Sensex Analysis
✅ Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
✅ Liquidity & POIs
✅ Key Support & Resistance Levels
✅ High-probability trading plan for Wednesday

🎥 Watch now: [https://t.co/FpLZs67eWM ]

💬 What’s your view for tomorrow—Bullish 🟢 or Bearish 🔴?

#Nifty #BankNifty #Sensex #StockMarket #Trading #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #IntradayTrading #SwingTrading #IndianStockMarket #NSE #BSE #OptionTrading #FuturesAndOptions #MarketAnalysis #TradingCommunity #Finance #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis

[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

🚨 BREAKING: Trump slaps 50% tariffs on Canadian goods
📌 What happened:
• 3 separate proclamations signed under Section 338 (Tariff Act 1930) — a rarely-used authority
• Targets autos, alcohol & dairy sectors over alleged Canadian "discrimination"
• Covers wine, hockey sticks, cement, electrical equipment & machinery
• Applies even to USMCA-compliant goods
• Excludes: energy, potash, fish, critical minerals
⏳ Effective in 30 days | ~$20B in Canadian imports impacted
🇨🇦 Ontario's Doug Ford warns Canada may respond "tariff for tariff, dollar for dollar"
Full product list from White House still pending — will update as details emerge.
💭 Escalation or negotiation tactic before the 30-day window closes?
Follow @krishvohra04 for daily market insights 📊 | Community link in bio
#Tariffs #Trump #Canada #USMCA #TradeWar #GlobalMarkets #Forex #DecodingFinancials

[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

📊 MSCI August Rejig — What You Need to Know
🔴 Eternal could see the biggest passive inflow in this cycle
Here's the full breakdown 👇
🏆 Biggest Beneficiary — Weightage Change:
📈 Eternal — ~$648 mn expected passive inflow (highest among all weightage changes)
(Weight restoration likely after FPI headroom crossed the 25% threshold)
✅ High-Conviction Inclusion Picks (Nuvama estimates):
Laurus Labs → ~$518 mn
Adani Energy Solutions → ~$324 mn

Lenskart → ~$272 mn
Groww → ~$260 mn
⚠️ High-Conviction Exclusions (Nuvama estimates):
Balkrishna Industries → -$162 mn

SBI Cards → -$141 mn

Astral → -$133 mn
📅 Key Dates:
🗓️ MSCI Announcement: August 13, 2026 (expected)
⚡ Effective Date: August 31, 2026 (expected)
Passive funds tracking MSCI don't have a choice — they HAVE to buy inclusions and sell exclusions. That's guaranteed institutional flow.

Are you tracking any of these stocks? Drop your view below 👇
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https://t.co/EdiDiPdFq5
#MSCI #Nifty50 #Eternal #StockMarket #IndianStockMarket #PassiveInflows #Investing #DecodingFinancials

[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

3 Things That Will Decide the Market Today
🟢 GIFT NIFTY (Gift City Cues)
GIFT Nifty is up ~0.2%, indicating a mildly positive start. Global cues are a mixed bag — read carefully before the open.
🌍 Macro / Global Cues
US markets ended Wednesday's session in the green as both headline and core producer prices came in below expectations — aligning with Tuesday's soft CPI and further reducing the case for a near-term Fed rate hike. S&P 500 +0.4%. Forbes
Asian markets rebounded strongly overnight — South Korea's KOSPI surged 7%, Japan's Nikkei rose 1% and MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan gained 2.4%, as the CPI-driven relief trade extended across the region and semiconductor stocks snapped back. Long Forecast
Brent crude climbed to $86/bbl, its highest level in nearly a month, as fresh US airstrikes on Iran's coastline and the reimposition of the Iranian naval blockade near the Strait of Hormuz kept supply concerns firmly elevated.
📈 Options Data & Key Levels
👉 Nifty: 23,800 – 24,500 range
👉 Sensex: 76,500 – 78,000 range
👉 Bank Nifty: 57,000 – 58,000 range
Inflation cooling + Asian rebound = bullish setup. But oil at $86 is the wildcard — Aviation, OMCs, and Paints face margin pressure. Stock-specific action likely today.
What's your focus sector today? Drop it below 👇
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[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

Major reversal on the Hormuz situation. Here’s what matters for markets right now 👇

✅ Strait of Hormuz is OPEN — to all ships except Iranian vessels & Iranian cargo
🚫 Full blockade only on ships to/from Iranian ports
❌ 20% Reimbursement Fee SCRAPPED — replaced with Gulf State trade & investment deals
💰 Massive Gulf investment into the US promised in return

Immediate market read:
🛢️ Crude oil should ease — Hormuz supply disruption fears significantly reduced
📈 Global risk sentiment could flip positive fast
🇮🇳 Nifty may recover from morning lows — watch for reversal at key levels

This changes the crude oil narrative that was dragging markets down all morning.

⚠️ Source: Trump’s Truth Social post — tracking market reaction in real time. Unverified by secondary sources yet.

Trade the price action, not the headlines 📊

Follow @krishvohra04 for daily market insights 📊 | Community link in bio

#CrudeOil #Nifty50 #StockMarket #Trump #Hormuz #IndianStockMarket #Trading #DecodingFinancials

[Decoding Financials @krishvohra04]

📊 NIFTY SMC Analysis is LIVE!
https://t.co/M5m3sAbRFt

Today's analysis covers:
✅ Market Structure
✅ Liquidity Zones
✅ Order Blocks
✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
✅ High-Probability Trade Setup for the Next Session
If you're serious about trading using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), don't miss this breakdown.
🎥 Watch now and prepare your trading plan before the market opens!
For learning, reach out here: [phone]
#NIFTY #Nifty50 #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #StockMarket #IntradayTrading #OptionBuying #BankNifty #FuturesAndOptions #IndianStockMarket #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #OrderBlock #Liquidity #FVG #TradingCommunity #MarketAnalysis #Trader #Investing