@ordinarytings The guy is a moron lmao. On a probability basis, not getting pregnant with a 20% probability after 6 attempts is 0.8^6, which is 26%. I.e 1 in 4 people wouldn’t have gotten pregnant after 6 attempts assuming a standard 20% probability
@ordinarytings It’s gamblers fallacy in the sense of misconstruing dependent and independent events. Each event is memoryless, like a roulette spin etc in the gamblers fallacy.
I really think this is still bear mkt rally into deep bear before proper bulla. Am still positioned aggressively but this is my high risk bucket. Want to be proven wrong but fundamentals aren’t great on a macro scale atm. Enjoy the gains but stay vigilant chiefs 🫡
I really think this is still bear mkt rally into deep bear before proper bulla. Am still positioned aggressively but this is my high risk bucket. Want to be proven wrong but fundamentals aren’t great on a macro scale atm. Enjoy the gains but stay vigilant chiefs 🫡
Inflation has soft comps here, but energy prices could spike and delay the rate dampening and lead to more hikes (which empirically we now know = no bueno for crypto). We are currently a leveraged bet on rates until fundamentals/usage dominates again, I tread with caution