0xkting.crypto

[Benson Sun @BensonTWN]

CoinKarma 有 Bitfinex 溢價指標，把+-0.25%標注出來，給大家做參考

歷史上沒有一個 BTC 的頂部，Bitfinex 巨鯨沒有在偷出貨
歷史上沒有一個 BTC 的底部，Bitfinex 巨鯨沒有在偷吸籌

Bitfinex 巨鯨（aka. Tether 大哥）值得你的信賴

免費14天試用
»https://t.co/xDEgY2NXgx

[知识分享官 @knowledgefxg]

生命短暂，请使用这些开发工具⬇️

[Shiuan.L @freeshiuan]

今年接連讀完Tim Ferris’s 《一週工作 4 小時後》與Morgan Housel《致富心態》，以下分享這兩本書對我的影響，以及為何促使我體驗郵輪旅行：

▌1. 計畫迷你退休 （Mini Retirement)：

Time Ferriss 認為我們應該把 60 歲以後的退休計劃，平均分散在 30 歲到 60 歲之間，這跟 《別把你的錢留到死》書中提到的「各年齡人生清單」不謀而合

理想上，最好每年都可以有一個月的 Mini retirement ，讓我們打破生活慣性，體驗新的機會

這讓我想到我爸，他是一位教授，而他工作最迷人之處就是每 6 年可以 1 年Sabbatical Year，是我所知最能執行 Mini Retirement 的工作。

▌2. 理解人性貪得無厭 (Never enough)

Morgan Housel 書中這一章提到兩個富翁，他們都已經無比富有，卻仍然冒更大的風險、想賺更多錢，最終落入萬丈深淵

這讓我意識到：我們要注意自己的目標，是否因為得到了更多的金錢、權力或名聲就不斷地往上移動？

.

回到 2個月前，當時的女友（現在的太太）問了一個很天真的問題：「要不要去郵輪環遊世界？」

我當下開啟 Autopilot 回復，好啊，要是這輪牛市賺了 N 倍，我就辭職帶妳環遊世界。
原本只是應付了事，哄哄女友，但想起《致富心態》這一章的案例：人性只會驅使你賺更多的錢，尤其當你賺得愈來愈多、愈來愈快的時候

在人生30 - 50歲這段期間，薪資是以一個可以預見的速度線性增長，20 年穩定投資複利也很可觀

我很可能會一路賺錢直到不能賺錢的那天，賺超過我餘生需要的錢

這何嘗不是一種貪得無厭？

.

綜合上述兩本書的Key takeaways ，我給自己這 3 年設了一個 Mini Retirement Goal 目標數字$x,xxx,xxx。

7位數，不是一個很誇張的數字，但 “enough” 支持我迷你退休一段時間。

設好這個Mini Retirement Goal，讓自己心中有一個警鐘：

▌當我達成目標的那天，回來看這篇文章「我已經賺到當初設的目標了，賺這些錢的目的是什麼？我去達成了嗎？」

.

最後-「為什麼 Mini Retirement 考慮郵輪旅行呢？」

1. 今年2月臺大同學會，我們事前問卷調查大家「財富自由後要做的事」

80%的人都答「環遊世界」，於是我也就默默在心裡複製貼上了。

但我希望在年輕還能工作的時候，就小規模實驗一次這樣的旅行，看看「環遊世界」這個夢想值不值得我工作到退休？

2. 郵輪應該是目前最 affordable 的環遊世界機會

我查了下和平號，100 天只要 66 萬台幣，蠻適合作為Mini retirement 的長度與預算

3. 郵輪給我 Work from anywhere 的可能

感謝馬斯克，現在郵輪大多配備 Starlink ，讓我不至於長時間與社會脫節，也能同時做我最喜歡的工作-寫作分享。

.

而這次三天兩夜的奮進號郵輪旅行的初衷，便是驗證下述假說：

1. 我是否能長時間活在郵輪上？

2. 郵輪上是否能工作？

3. 郵輪旅遊是否比飛機旅遊更讓我喜歡？

這次體驗下來，上述三點都蠻樂觀的

明年初預計會再來一段中程郵輪旅行，二度確認自己的感受。

接著，就是在市場耐心等待了。

[Poseidon @CryptoPoseidonn]

$ETHBTC Monthly/Weekly/Daily Analysis

Monthly
Over the last 600 days, ETHBTC has been bleeding with zero reaction at all on the monthly chart. Everyone thinks ETH, ETH coins, and altcoins are done.

I was also very bearish on the ETHBTC chart when it was around 0.08, targeting 0.04-0.03. However, when we came to 0.045-0.05, I leaned towards the bullish side. Why? Why didn't I wait for a perfect retest to 0.03 or something similar? Because it was meaningless. I can accept staying in a 20-30% loss, but I can't accept missing all the upside potential here.

If you look at altcoins, most of them have dropped significantly below their levels when BTC was at 30k. Most gainers like INJ, FET, or SOL are at the same price as when BTC was at 40-45k. So, altcoins have already melted down so much. The reason I am saying this is because, in my opinion, we haven't seen anything yet in altcoins. They are not strong at all, but soon they will be. They won't move weak like this in the coming months, in my opinion. Why?

When you look at the monthly chart, we swept the low, made a retest of Monthly demand and made really good monthly closes with ETH ETF news coming. In my opinion, the monthly close is the first bullish monthly close, so I am bullish and think the bottom is in.

Why? I will explain.

Weekly
I really think ETHBTC has bottomed already and is looking good for upside moves. When I look at the chart, we did a three-dive bottom formation below 0.05 and made a significant weekly reaction to the upside, breaking the weekly EMA21. This was very important.

Throughout the downtrend, the price often rejected from the weekly EMA21 or deviated above it, but for the first time in the last three weeks, the price has been holding above the weekly EMA21. This probably indicates a change in trend. You can clearly see the last three weeks' prices closing above the EMA21, which hasn't happened during the entire downtrend—something is changing.

I also remember posting about the aggressive weekly sell orders (red bubbles), and you can see we bottomed similarly after seeing red bubbles in September 2020. So, I assume we have many reasons to think ETHBTC has bottomed, especially with the ETH ETF news coming.

However, in terms of price action, we still haven't made a higher high. Breaking 0.06 will be the last confirmation, and then we will just run up, in my opinion.

What is the Target?

You know I always have realistic targets; I don't believe in x100. I prefer to sell early in the upcoming bull run because if you get stuck and never sell, hoping to sell on the next bounce, you might lose all your money.

In my opinion, when you see weekly weakness, you should just sell and not look back.

For ETHBTC, my target is 0.1-0.12. I really don't know what the top will be—maybe we'll run to 0.15? I don't know, but when I see a breakdown below the weekly EMA21 or some important S/R level, I will sell and never look back. Let's say I sell at 0.12 and it pumps to 0.14; I won't care or buy back after selling. I just focus on leverage trading.

As you know, I trade with less leverage in a bull market and just buy spot, but in a bear market, the old followers know, I really like to trade leverage 24/7.

So what I am saying is, for now, I don't have a stop loss for my spot bags. We ride them zero or hero but when we are above the 0.10-0.12 level, I will sell everything if they lose their weekly trends or daily trends.

Daily
I think we have another bullish catalyst here. As you can see, the daily EMA50 and EMA200 made a bearish cross at jan 23, and since January 2023, we never had a bullish cross. Instead, we kept deviating above the daily EMA200 and then making new lows.

I believe this has changed. We saw a manipulation green box below 0.05. Everyone was bearish in green box, was depressed. However, with just the ETH ETF news, everything changed with one candle.

Now we are above an important Daily S/R level and holding above the daily EMA50 and EMA200. I believe we will see the next leg up from here. The first target is 0.065, and maybe from there, we could see a retrace. I don't think we will go below 0.05 anymore. If we do, I think we are all done, and there won't be a bull market at all.

Major Targets
0.065
0.08
0.1-0.12
These are my major targets where we might see a retrace. Other than that, I am very bullish on ETHBTC for the upcoming 6-8 months.

Thanks for reading, i do these writings mostly in my telegram group about btc, eth and hyped altcoins because people won't read in twitter too much long text.

if you wanna join here is link, it is free
https://t.co/0b3xtvI6OZ

[Maxi Hristov @Maxi_Heights]

13 Quotes That Changed My Life

1.

[Jackson @sheng_invest]

整理筆記時，看到一本「幸福的婚姻」，沒什麼印象，感覺是好幾年前我結婚前寫的，點進去看發現我只寫了這幾句話：

——-

每天出門前用兩分鐘分享今天的行程。

每天回家用20分鐘傾聽，不說教。

每天花5分鐘讚美對方。

每週花兩小時一起參加活動。

與沒法解決的問題和睦相處。

[Jackson @sheng_invest]

早上有位某金控主管敲我，因為看起來蠻有誠意，中午我剛好有空，就約吃個飯。

小我三歲，由於公司很敢給，年薪到500萬。不過聊到有關職涯的問題，我分享了兩個身邊朋友的例子。

A是高中好友，學生時代就是學霸，台大電機書卷，一畢業就在某台股電子股做研發，直到現在約11年。專注本業，但投資保守。

B是一位同屆的投資朋友，交大理工科，進入科技業後不想跟一堆強者競爭，下班專注研究投資，本業一路跳的很好，從發哥、中國某IC設計、再到Nvidia ，跳的邏輯都是找到有潛力的趨勢，然後在公司達到顛峰後把公司配股賣一賣，跳到下一間更有潛力的公司。

A在本業的能力比B好，薪水也高一些，但大家都出社會十年了，B目前累積的資產比A高不少，我相信差距還會再拉大。

——
我不會直接說A就是錯了，這是價值觀問題，或許A做他的本業研究很開心，但有幾個必須注意的點：

1.資本主義的稅制對員工很不利，一直求本業提升，多的都是繳到40%稅。

巴菲特早就說過資本家的稅率太低，他說他秘書的稅率比他還高。很不公平沒錯，但目前這是事實。

2.不要為了高薪去做工時長壓力大的工作，而是下班有餘裕多累積對自己有價值的事。

沒特別想賺錢也不一定要搞副業，去運動、看書、放鬆都行，但人生不能只專注某個很窄的領域。

出社會10多年，觀察一些同儕，平常有沒有在看書、充實自己、多補充不同領域的知識，聊幾句話就知道。

至於懂很多可以幹嘛，答案是可以在人生面臨許多大大小小的決定時，比較有機會做出有邏輯的判斷。而你的人生道路就是由每個決定陸續鋪成的，每叉出不同條，就是一個媽的多重宇宙，後面都有蝴蝶效應。

跟哪個女生交往、選哪一個offer、看哪一本書、認識哪個新朋友，對於若干年後都可能影響巨大。

所以我建議拒絕那些給高薪就要你把生命全賣給公司的企業文化，多留時間給自己，要對自己人生做全方位的整體規劃。

[Lucas Nuzzi @LucasNuzzi]

1/ I found evidence that FTX might have provided a massive bailout for Alameda in Q2 which now came back to haunt them.

40 days ago, 173 million FTT tokens worth over 4B USD became active on-chain.

A rabbit hole appeared 🧵👇

[0xkting.crypto @kting_leeeee]

@sijiamaoche 下降趨勢 對三 沒有不空的道理

[0xkting.crypto @kting_leeeee]

@tiabitcoin 微言大義

[提阿非羅 @tiabitcoin]

下跌中，傾向於把不是反轉的信號當反轉。
上漲時，傾向於把反轉信號不當反轉。

[Benson Sun @BensonTWN]

1/X
$USDT 會爆雷嗎？最近傳出有避險基金在大量做空USDT，規模達到數億美金。這篇來分析下 USDT 爆雷的可能性。

[XO @Trader_XO]

$SOL

[Dahuzi.eth @Dahuzi_eth]

简单说下行情😋

① ETH底部到高点已经40%再去无脑追多实属不智💥
② BTC价格波动极度滞涨模式,山寨有回调诉求..
③ 波段要止盈，想拿趋势需要抗回撤
④ 经验上看周中有行情，周末通常冲高出货❗
⑤ 美股大幅度反弹，周一有短期回调诉求 👈
⑥ 禁多....

求1️⃣赞..👇

#BTC #ETH #BNB

可能走势推演

[il Capo @CryptoCapo_]

BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance) update

Wave 4 completed. Wave 5 missing, where alts/btc pairs should drop.

[il Capo @CryptoCapo_]

BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance)

Currently at support. Alts/btc still look bearish to me, and they should dump more than BTC. When they reach support (and BTC.D reaches resistance at around 50%), we could see the local bottom on the entire market.

[il Capo @CryptoCapo_]

$BTC ltf

Local bottom formation between $16k-17k

[il Capo @CryptoCapo_]

Example here.

https://t.co/DGOaMXrdxY

[0xkting.crypto @kting_leeeee]

@sijiamaoche 能說說為何頭肩頂可以看做中繼轉多嗎

[PROFIT BLUE @profit8lue]

Technical analysis is a representation of one's perspective, awareness, emotions, psychology and mindset.
It's not just a few lines and areas.