KumarCBT

[The Tail That Wags The Dog @TailThatWagsDog]

Work with Claude long enough and you'll likely develop a love-hate relationship with "him".
I'm at that point now.
Surprisingly frequent mistakes ... changes his mind often ... while pouring on the apologies. Uses jargon that is not financial requiring clarification. Lots of requests for clarification.
Valuable? Yes.
Time saving? Yes.
Easy, clean process? Nope.

At this point, I want to extract the accurate and salient content he provides into a mySQL decision support system engine (Has been "home sweet home" for many years.)

[The Tail That Wags The Dog @TailThatWagsDog]

But is it really necessary for what we do?

[The Tail That Wags The Dog @TailThatWagsDog]

Tue Aug 8 | 7AM CT
Auction Market Value Process and Advanced Options Sentiment Analysis: An Integration
— nextSignals' daily report

(page four, "Data Synthesis," shown below)

[The Tail That Wags The Dog @TailThatWagsDog]

THIS IS A TEST.
THIS IS NOT ADVICE.
I am not taking this trade. You shouldn't either.

AI Prompt:
• Today's FOMC announcement is a binary event. (dovish or hawkish result)
• This is an event best undertaken by a convexity trade.
• I want to remove the vol-crush risk associated with the event.
• I want liquidity in the wings.
• I want to be on the same side as market makers.
• I want a debit spread to firmly define my risk.
• Take this 1DTE options chain data that I uploaded and identify the trade that best fits my criteria and is consistent with what you see in the chain.

Claude's response is seen below.

Please understand:
• I just want to use this one trade as an example of AI-based option picking ... in order to follow its natural history as the trade plays out. Market moving events such as FOMC announcements are volatile and wholly unpredictable in their outcome.
• Again - this is not advice ... this is for educational purposes only ... this is n=1 sample size ... has not been validated for predictive value ... and this is not a trade I am taking, nor should you.
• Educational/entertainment value only.
• The market just opened.

[The Tail That Wags The Dog @TailThatWagsDog]

Day Seven Live: 0DTE Contextual Flow Mapping

I've watched this suite of studies contributing to the buy and sell signals you see in the upper chart ... now for 7 days.

Heavy stuff.
Doing this *without* the Greeks as we showed earlier that the edge is in the order book ... not living in the options chain.
Chicken vs the egg. Institutional transactions come first; market makers' inventory adjustments come second.

All those orange bubbles mid-day are call liquidations.

Honestly, I thought I understood how 0DTE and HFTs worked ... until this past week, when this Thinkscript provided the Master Class.

Live testing continues.

[The Tail That Wags The Dog @TailThatWagsDog]

Continuing on two themes:

1. Your Thinkorswim platform informs and when combined with AI-driven decision support ... the two are your secret weapon (spelled edge).
2. The options data sitting right in front of your face provides for your independence.

Below ... image left.
• a screenshot of the SPX 0DTE options chain ~10AM CT
Below ... image right
• Claude's interpretation ... having no other input.

(At some point ... you should be able to look at this and read it without decision support.)

[P R Sundar @PRSundar64]

I have this position:
BUY 24800PE, SELL 3X23300PE.

1. MTM showing is not real MTM as there is no liquidity in 24800PE.

2. How to exit these positions when there is no liquidity in 24800PE?

There is a way, let me see who can answer correctly.

[WINNERSTOCK | Options Structure @Steven_2376]

SPX spot 在 7,533
整体仍是 negative gamma 结构，说明价格离开关键位后，波动可能被放大。
今天盘前主线看 7,555 附近的 spot area，若价格重新接受 7,560 上方，短线上方依次关注 7,565、7,570、7,575；
如果跌破并持续压在 7,550 下方，则下方 7,545、7,540、7,535 会依次打开。
更大的 pin / call wall 在 7,620，put wall 在 7,500
。核心规则：不要急着 fade 第一波突破，先看价格是否真正接受或被拒绝。教育用途，不是投资建议。
$SPX $SPY $QQQ

[KumarCBT @kumarcuk]

@RCthe007 In UK too all the Apple phones are sold on 24 months contract basis no upfront cost to get the new phone only monthly payment that includes calls and data. Just before expiry of 24month contract we get new Apple phone again for another 24 months.

[KumarCBT @kumarcuk]

@jestertrading33 What is the timeframe used

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

A trading tool that works every day ☘️ https://t.co/yDZMFt7nXx

[Valueablegem @valueablegem]

Good morning.....

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

One of the best things you can do to advance your trading... is to write out your rules.

Once you have written out the rules, test them. There is no point in trading rules if they don't produce long-term gains.

Plus, the biggest takeaway you will gain from this is CONFIDENCE.

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

If you test your trading rules and find out the testing produces a positive expectancy.

All you have to do is follow the rules and not get involved in the psychology.

How do you think traders gain Trust or Confidence when trading... they have tested the trading rules.

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

The NASDAQ sold off after the opening this morning and as the Bids were getting hit. You can see the DELTA decreasing in the yellow circles below. Notice there is No Demand in the market.
https://t.co/eGPOYElJtY

#OrderFlow $Emini $NASDAQ $NQ #nq_f #daytrading $es_f #VWAP

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

The NASDAQ had some great moves UP and DOWN today. In the last trade, you can see the DELTA increasing in the yellow circles, and there was no supply in the market.
https://t.co/ltwD1h3Ztn

#OrderFlow $Emini $NASDAQ $NQ #nq_f #daytrading $es_f #VWAP

[KISS Order Flow @KISSOrderFlow]

Retweeting this because its importance and usefulness cannot be overestimated 📝

[KISS Order Flow @KISSOrderFlow]

#Protip for those who got battered #MNQ_F

When you see opposing absorption
WAIT for run to next major level*
Look for absorption 🧽

*Can be level itself OR the Value Area (red box) near it
Sometimes market will tease 💋
Using Value Area means less likely to miss move 🎯

[TTrades🦍 @TTrades_edu]

Probably the best video for daily bias.
I personally combine it with the Next Day Model & Weekly Profile.
Daily Bias : https://t.co/CxC1OGit2l

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

Today I want to talk about something way more important than chart reading skills.

I want to talk about TRUST and CONFIDENCE... something 95% of traders do not have.

You are never going to have TRUST or have CONFIDENCE in your trading until you back-test your rules or setup.

TRUST and CONFIDENCE are like LOVE; you have to earn them, you can't buy them.

You will never learn to become a succesful trader by being a "LURKER" in some vendor's room and sit there while being "Spoon-Fed". Why not just put your money in a Hedge-Fund if you're not gonna put any effort in to it?

You don't have trust or confidence in your trading because you never back-tested your system rules. You don't know what to expect.

They say the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over, yet expecting different results.

Let me ask you a question:

"Did you back-test your trading system rules BEFORE you committed money to the trades?"

If not, you assumed these system rules were going to work and be profitable.

Let me tell you a very expensive lesson... Almost every trader that loses in this business or walks away from the trading business went into it with an assumption.

Bottom line: No Testing = NO TRUST or CONFIDENCE.

☘️ St. Patrick’s Day ☘️ sale

20% off EVERYTHING
Click on the link below

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Sincere wishes for a good life
and (always!)... higher profit$,

Matt Bowen

E-Mail:  [email protected]

Website:  https://t.co/WWvwChPQws
Twitter:  https://t.co/bDguSPKTS8