Kyle Zhu

Gen Z| Have/Had a good time in SH, SZ, 🇭🇰, 🇸🇬, Chicago, Denver, NYC, London and Seoul | ex @OKX | A Football Fan (@Arsenal)

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

经济学人本周封面，标题叫The Mythos moment，Mythos本意是古希腊语里的“神话/创世故事”，也是Anthropic一周多前公布的模型。

神像从左到右分别是马斯克（xAI）、奥特曼（OpenAI）、扎克伯格（Meta）、德米斯·哈萨比斯（Google DeepMind）、达里奥·阿莫迪（Anthropic）

神像下还有一个小小的机器人仰望着它的造物主们。

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

帮大家定位一波@Polymarket 华盛顿DC预测酒吧周五开业的地址～
🪧Proper 21-K Street
今天周四酒吧直接歇业专心装修，只能拍到外饰，不接待任何人入内拍摄

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

@shengxj1 准备五月份来伦敦见证夺冠！不知道有没有机会面基老师！

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

评论区看到了好多推特厂迷！COYG！

[花果山大圣 @shengxj1]

我去英国之前，只是因为感觉英国的好学校挺多，对娃的教育应该是个好事，而且永居的难度适中，五年能拿（还有我心爱的阿森纳）
但是缺点确实也一大堆，税，美食荒漠，科技创新不足

但是 AI 时代后，从最近各种 AI 聚会和讨论的热度，感觉伦敦的 AI 氛围都超过了北京，科技行业氛围焕然一新的感觉
期待休假结束回去加入 AI 的生活了

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

@GRRMspeaking Plz The Winds of Winter🥹

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

ETHDenver小结
1. side event边会数量至少腰斩，行业周期和大会时间点（农历新年）都不太好，海湖庄园WLFI Forum也吸走了很多行业OG

2. 去年二月底三月初的办会时间Denver气温要舒适很多，这次大会结束返程东海岸的朋友还会面临暴雪🥲

3. AI概念项目井喷，甚至有主打具身智能的项目方，看到机器人机械臂还以为来到CES🤣

4. 边会中也不乏以AI为主题的活动，如Sentient规模很大，人流密度反而高于主会场@Anitahityou

5. 支付项目同样大行其道，和交易行情有关的讨论很冷清，meme更是销声匿迹

6. ETHDenver依旧重视builder，最后一天会期全给了黑客松，Base等公链都办了builder workshop

7. 管餐饮是熊市最直观的实力象征，lbank @LBank_Exchange 仙品选了Denver顶级奶茶店Milk Tea People，hypernative选了snooze @HypernativeLabs （很好吃的brunch😍）以及a huge thanks to you guys @jeffthedunker @CoinGuideWW for introducing me to arcade games🤩

8.欢迎参会的友友们来找我聊聊，也可以互相推一波network☺️

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

感谢polymarket @PolymarketSport ，小玩了一把🇳🇴金牌榜第一yes☺️ 涨幅喜人

开始研究奖牌榜第一的盘面了🤔

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

🥹就在今年？

[Premier League @premierleague]

“He’s in a really good moment” 👏

What Mikel Arteta had to say about Viktor Gyokeres after his brace against Sunderland ⬇️

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

@JYtopfloorboss 微信上可以关注吴说公众号～

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

@JYtopfloorboss 老哥看看tg dm😭

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

在Miami @Redacted_events蹲到 @GracyBitget！Gracy姐姐非常有亲和力！开场西语问候（非常Miami🤣），还开放了很长时间的Q&A环节。我第一个问了Bitget在🇺🇸未来的合规计划，期待未来更多好用的华人交易所可以冲进欧美市场🙏

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

@Vito777_ 老哥是空大饼了嘛

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

“你是英伟达吗”
“我觉得我是”

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

非常赞同猫猫姐的说法！The same logic applies to Polymarket. 真正盈利率比较高挣钱稳定的是找一些熟悉的政治盘（长线预测），但自己总是手贱忍不住买一些足球比赛🥹

[Pickle Cat @0xPickleCati]

If you wanna stop losing money in crypto, the first thing you should do is STOP day trading.

Because RETAIL day trading is structurally a SCAM.

This is a long post but if you just give me 120 seconds of your time, I swear you'll thank me in a few years.

I’ve been trading since I was a teenager.

I’ve had wins that made me feel I’m Batman and losses that genuinely broke pieces of me I’m still putting back together.

I tried EVERY STRATEGY myself as retail could ever find.

I even day traded for a year thinking it would finally save me, and I failed so painfully it still stings every time I remember it.

> My PNL was so shit to the point that my grandma, who I HELPED set up an AUTO BUY on BTC for, made more money than me.

> Then I became a low-frequency swing trader who barely touches positions, who GETS THE F OUT and STOPS TRADING for a while after a winning move.

> ONLY THEN did my life get better and everything finally start to click.

I’m not a saint. I’m writing this to save the younger, dumb, naive, and painfully impulsive version of me.

First, as a RETAIL DAY TRADER, you’re trading high-frequency with zero real information advantage (no real order flow, no true liquidity map, no market maker positioning, no execution advantage, nothing).

> Do it a few times each quarter, you survive.
> Do it 10+ times a week?
> Even if you have the strongest “discipline” and “risk management” skills in the world, the math will still burry you alive.

Retails don’t fail because they (we) never win.
We fail because we NEVER STOP, and high frequency only has one final outcome.

RUIN.

> This is literally why I built a punishment system for myself if I exceed my quarterly trade limit.

> Every major loss I’ve ever taken happened after a big win where I kept going instead of stopping.

> And every major win I’ve ever taken (and actually kept the money for a long time) was because I caught a big move and then CHILLED.

> Pattern is so obvious it hurts.

Winning is NOT you suddenly made big money.
Winning is keeping that money and not fking losing it next year.

> I’m seeing 14 year olds on TikTok calling themselves day traders, drawing lines on TradingView, thinking they unlocked some daily executable system after buying a guru’s course or Discord.

> It sickens me because if they knew it was gambling I wouldn’t care. At least they’re aware of the game.

> But this day trading meta is bigger than the dropshipping wave in 2016 and 2017. And we all know how that ended.

> People underestimate the difficulty of trading and massively overestimate their ability.

> The issue isn’t just the math. Yes the more you trade and the less you stop the harder consistent profitability becomes.

> But the real problem is younger retail traders GENUINELY believe that with “discipline” and “risk management” they are not gambling at all. They think day trading is a "skill" you can execute like a daily routine.

This isn’t just crypto day trading. The same logic applies to US equities and basically every market.

High frequency only works inside institutions.

> Take US equities for example.
> Do you know what institution traders don’t even look at? Candlestick charts and TradingView.
> They’re on Bloomberg terminals with data retail will never see.

Well, you of course knows this. BUT the 14 to 18 year olds don’t know that. They think their indicators are what all traders use.

And that’s the real danger.
> If you know you’re gambling, at least a part of you knows when to walk away.
> But once you believe it’s a “system”, you never stop.
> You keep clicking until the market empties you completely.

It really is just like a casino in disguise.

> When you walk into Vegas or Macau, you know EXACTLY what you’re stepping into.

> You see the lights, the tables, the dealers, the noise. Your brain knows this is gambling.

> But day trading today is a casino disguised as a COFFEE SHOP.

> New traders walk in thinking they’re here to “learn a skill”, not realizing they just sat down at a table designed to drain them slowly.

So they don’t stop.
That’s the whole tragedy.
Not the losing.

The fact that they genuinely believe they’re not gambling, which makes them keep going until there’s nothing left to lose.

> And those retail traders (like me) you see who look like they’re “winning”… honestly most of them just caught a big move.

> They had luck at the right moment, plus enough discipline beaten into them by previous losses that they finally learned how to stop after a win.

And even then, this tiny group is less than one percent of all retail.

It’s not hard to make money in trading.
It’s just unbelievably hard to keep it.

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

地狱笑话，刷领英看到ICE（美国移民执法局）的招聘贴，评论区被喷了一万多条🤣
“我们目前在《安妮日记》第几章？”

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

上周六带着@artinmemes 参观咱们的海景办公室，当时天气特别棒，行情有所复苏，amzn aapl的财报也特别振奋～
没想到万圣节的👻晚一周来到了市场🥹

anyway，准备好现金弹药，🎄前应该会有惊喜💪keep calm and carry on～

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

一个关于🇬🇧政府职位的小科普～
Lucy Rigby在财政部的职位是Economic Secretary to the Treasury，一般被称为City Minister
这里的City指的并不是伦敦市，而是伦敦金融城（the City of London），全世界仅次于纽约的金融中心🏢
英国政府官网也明确列出了Lucy的具体职责，其中包括：
金融科技与加密资产，如央行数字货币（CBDC）
今年9月份特朗普访问英国��，两国财政部长也碰了个面，当时《金融时报》等信源透露，🇬🇧希望能加速数字资产行业的相关立法监管进程，创造对加密资产投资更为友好的环境😃
在合规基础上不断推进与全球顶级经济体的加密数字资产合作，我们OKX始终一马当先 @Haiteng_okx @mia_okx

[Lucy Rigby MP @LucyRigby]

A pleasure to meet with Star Xu @star_okx, CEO of leading global cryptoassets exchange, @okx, during his visit to London.

Looking forward to continuing to work with OKX & other innovative firms to make 🇬🇧 a leading destination for digital assets.

[Kyle Zhu @Kyle_ARS]

@mia_okx @0xRay518 @0xpeas @boysimp3 @0xyu2001 今天采访睿哥，还见���了豆子姐和睿哥的朋友们😍睿哥发型超可爱，顺便剧透一下：感觉是咱们最有趣的一次采访😝布景也很诗意，只是苦了米粒姐在急骤降温的室外撑了一个多小时😭
他两采访时，我和豆子姐等在旁边，畅想规划去台湾的行程，希望2026可以圆梦🥺