The US is pouring more capital into AI data centers in 6 years (~$930B) than the inflation-adjusted cost of the Marshall Plan, Apollo, Manhattan Project, and the Interstate Highway System — combined.
Meanwhile: AI ≈ 45% of the S&P. Energy ≈ 4%.
Everyone is overweight the thing that needs power. Underweight the power.
H/T @ekwufinance
When the bond market becomes a no go, you get this from the excess liquidity, a badly overvalued equity market. When that busts you get GOLD, Silver & Platinum...again, again and again
The final solution in fiat/debt devaluation times.
Most of the time, bonds don’t hedge equities.
Over the past 100 years, on a 24-month rolling average:
- Bonds moved with equities for ~80 years
- Hedged equities for just ~20 years
The belief that bonds hedge equities stems from the fact that the last 20 years
saw a negative correlation.
If you’re looking to hedge both equity and geopolitical risk,
gold is becoming increasingly attractive.
China SHFE gold vault tonnage began rising sharply higher right around the same time that non-monetary gold became the USA's single biggest export for 1st time in 20+ years
US exported much of that gold to Switzerland; biggest Swiss gold export destination in that time? China🤔
@LawrenceLepard Agree 💯, I've got my largest cash position ever and suspect we'll get some bargains before too long.
The $DXY is fundamentally trash, but looks poised for a technical bounce.
Quick deflationary impulse incoming?
📊 $IEF: 7-10 Yr Treasury Bond ETF
I am normally not one to trade bonds, as they move slower than a sloth and lending hard-earned money to a bankrupt entity like the U.S. Government is not my cup of tea.
That said, there can be times when having exposure makes sense.