I had this idea to start analyzing the AFL ladder and have been working on models this year, fair to say my v1 prediction from Feb will need some work in the off-season!
https://t.co/a9Wi3SeS86
@SquiggleAFL#aflladder
Tips for round 21
- GWS by 16
- Collingwood by27
- Port Adelaide by 9
- Brisbane by 45
- Essendon by3
- Geelong by 22
- Fremantle by 10
- Richmond by 19
- West Coast by 6
Results for round 20:
- Hawthorn by 3 ❌
- Essendon by 2 ❌
- GWS by 20 ✅
- Geelong by 28 ❌
- Richmond by 24 ✅
- Adelaide by 18 ✅
- Collingwood by 37 ✅
- West Coast by 21 ✅
- Brisbane by 15 ✅
6/9
Tips for round 20:
- Hawthorn by 3
- Essendon by 2
- GWS by 20
- Geelong by 28
- Richmond by 24
- Adelaide by 18
- Collingwood by 37
- West Coast by 21
- Brisbane by 15
I heard somewhere the average length of an AFL rebuild is 7 years. In the last 20 years, seems like Carlton have had 2 of those, Freo are in the midst of another one, and have Brisbane finally broken free of their 15-year rebuild?
Lower on the graph = higher on the ladder 🤔
Results for round 19:
- Collingwood by 13 ❌
- Brisbane by 22 ✅
- Adelaide by 43 ❌
- West Coast by 24 ✅
- St Kilda by 5 ✅
- GWS by 34 ✅
- Fremantle by 6 ❌
- Geelong by 59 ✅
- Essendon by 77 ✅
6/9
Since 2000, the last 5 rounds have seen an average of 1.6 changes to the top 8. My model is predicting the top 8 is set for 2019.
#afl#aflladder#aflfinals