elliott shevitz

digital goalie

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

1/ NHL save percentage has fallen ten seasons in a row. From .915 in 2015-16 to .896 last year. The goalies didn't get worse. Teams got smarter about where they shoot from.

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

GSAA = goals saved above average
league saved .896 last year, so 27 shots = 2.81 expected goals. hofer gave up 3. 2.81 - 3 = -0.19
3 games in hes +2.38

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

blues lost 3-2 to the sharks in OT. hofer in net again. 24 saves on 27, .889.
GSAA: -0.19

columbus saturday

[St. Louis Blues @StLouisBlues]

That's a wrap on the first road trip. #stlblues

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

blues lost 4-2 in chicago tuesday. hofer in net. 17 saves on 19 shots, .895. two of chicago's four were empty netters.
GSAA: -0.02
blues outshot them 27-21. spencer knight stopped 25.
sharks tonight.

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

GSAA is goals saved above average.
Shots a goalie faced and figure how many a league average goalie gives up on them. Last season the league saved .896, 19 shots = 1.98 goals.
Hofer allowed 2.
1.98 minus 2 is -0.02. Plus means fewer goals than average, minus means more.

[St. Louis Blues @StLouisBlues]

It's not just a game, it's a grudge. #stlblues

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

blues (1-1) with both binnington (.833) and hofer (1.000) playing full games vs blackhawks (0-3) with spencer knight 2 gp at .875 and arvid söderblom 1 gp at .813. blackhawks goalies split first two games with knight getting most recent game vs sabers

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

two games in. hofer: 25 for 25, shutout in dallas. binnington: 30 on 36 in colorado, second night of a back to back.

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

split so far is 1 start each. game 3 tonight at blackhawks 7pm ct

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

more of what gets to the net now comes from in tight, off rebounds and off tips. how much is shots and how much is goalies?

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

save % has dropped ten seasons in a row. .915 in 2015-16, .896 last year.

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

one week into this season it's .892. tiny sample, but not a great start for the goalies.
easy to say goalies got worse. but teams also stopped taking bad shots.

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

nhlsave % has dropped ten seasons in a row. .915 in 2015-16, .896 last year.
easy to say goalies got worse. but teams also stopped taking bad shots. more of what gets to the net now comes from in tight, off rebounds and off tips.
how much is the shots and how much is the goalies?

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

8/ it's all here, graded in april: https://t.co/hlOHPLfwz7

blues season starts tonight in dallas. if you think i'm off, or that being a blues guy is showing, tell me.

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

1/ why the blues. i grew up in st louis and got coached by guys who came through this organization. it's the team i know best. that's also a bias, so i'm putting it out there first.

[elliott shevitz @laduekeeper3]

7/ league wide, save % stays under .900. it was .896 last year, lowest since at least 2008. if it finishes .900 or higher, i'm wrong.