PICK YOUR GUMBALL!
It’s our birthday, and we’re taking over the timeline.
Choose your color: Pink, Blue, Gold
- See images in thread below
- Set it as your PFP
- Comment here with “YEET it!”
For the next 3 days, we’re dropping $20 to 10 people in the comments we see rocking the pfp.
Pick your gumball and run it.
What if @AbstractChain TGE is tomorrow?
Polymarket currently gives a 54% chance that $ABS launches above $200M FDV one day after launch
The simplest read: 54% x $200M gives you an implied valuation of around $108M
But that market has a catch - it resolves "No" if there's no token by December 31, 2027. That deadline discount artificially drags the price down, so adjusting for it, a fair base estimate is closer to $150M FDV
Polymarket measures one day after launch. The actual launch price is likely higher than that, before the airdrop dump kicks in. At peak, $300M is not unrealistic
And obviously, nobody wants to do a TGE in a bad market
In a strong market with Bitcoin well above current levels, a 3x on that optimistic launch price isn't impossible - that's roughly $900M
Taking an optimistic 15% of total supply allocated to the community, with 12% specifically tied to XP
here's the airdrop pool at each scenario: $18M at base ($150M FDV), $36M at optimistic ($300M), $108M at bull ($900M)
We exclude Bronze and Silver from the calculation to give active users a bigger slice. That leaves roughly 21,991 qualifying wallets across
>Gold (19,072 users, ranging from 110K to 1.1M XP)
>Platinum (1,718 users, up to 4.1M XP) >Diamond (181 users, up to 9.1M XP) >Obsidian (20 users, up to 17.1M XP)
Using midpoint averages per tier, the total XP pool across all of them comes to approximately 17.57 billion XP
Ignoring badges and other multipliers for simplicity - 1 XP gets you the airdrop pool divided by 17.57 billion
>At base, that's $0.00102 per XP
>At optimistic, $0.00205
>At bull, $0.00614
An average Gold user sitting at around 610K XP would get roughly $625 at base, $1,250 at optimistic, or $3,750 in the bull scenario
An average Platinum user at 2.6M XP lands around $2,670 / $5,340 / $16,000
Diamond at 6.6M XP: $6,750 / $13,500 / $40,600
Obsidian at 13.1M XP: $13,400 / $26,800 / $80,500
Are you happy with your potential drop?
.@almanak is the most egalitarian thing I've ever seen.
It's insanely ambitious and wonderful, and if it works (which already is),
It can reshape the fabric of society.
Almanak functions as a decision-intelligence layer for DeFi. It helps protocols optimize liquidity, manage emissions, and calibrate risk by leveraging continuous, data-driven feedback loops.
Here's how:
Liquidity Optimization
A protocol can use @almanak intelligence to see which pools generate sustainable liquidity versus mercenary capital.
Instead of blindly boosting APRs, they reallocate rewards toward sticky liquidity, reducing waste and improving capital efficiency.
Emission Strategy
Rather than spending months testing token emission schedules, protocols can use @almanak simulations to forecast outcomes, adjusting emissions dynamically based on real performance signals.
Risk Calibration
By analyzing on-chain behavior, Almanak helps protocols spot risk imbalances early, like concentrated liquidity, whale dominance, or unbalanced pool exposure, before they snowball into crises.
Result
Data stops being passive. It becomes the decision engine. Protocols stop reacting to volatility and start anticipating it.
As Almanak edges closer to $100M TVL milestone, it’s worth stepping back for a moment to remember what this platform truly is, not just a yield hub, but a no-code environment for building financial strategies.
That context matters, because it shows the scale of what’s unfolding here.
So far, there’ve only been two vaults, both launched by the @almanak team (one even designed with AI support). Yet, the surge of user demand, partly fueled by the points campaign, already speaks volumes.
Now imagine what happens when:
~ Vault creation opens up to everyone. We’ll start seeing community-built strategies, unique APYs, and new forms of on-chain automation.
~ Traditional finance players, think hedge funds, begin building their market strategies directly on Almanak’s infrastructure, tapping into AI-driven tooling and real yield.
This is how you start to understand the vision, a platform designed to manage billions in liquidity, not just retail deposits.
Almanak is just getting started. The foundations are set. What comes next could reshape how DeFi and institutional capital meet.
Believe in Almanak /\
Happy Sunday, everyone! People keep asking why I’m so confident about @almanak, and honestly, the answer’s simple.
The next wave of DeFi won’t be defined by more tokens or chasing the highest yields, it’ll be about ease of use, simplicity, and strategies anyone can run without needing to code.
That’s where Almanak steps in:
🔹 Strategies live in minutes, no coding, no friction.
🔹 Designed for everyone, not just crypto insiders.
🔹 Supported by leading VCs and an oversubscribed community round.
🔹 Infrastructure built to grow, from DeFi to the wider world of finance.
Almanak isn’t just another project, it’s shaping the rails for the future of on-chain finance.
Believe in Almanak /\ ✨
Back in d day, @solflare_wallet and Sollet were the only wallets holding it down for the Solana blockchain. While others hv come and gone, Solflare has stood the test of time, proving its resilience. It still sits on the throne, reigning over the Solana ecosystem like a true king