Warren Buffett said he could end the Federal deficit in five minutes.
His idea? Ban all sitting members of Congress from reelection whenever the deficit tops 3% of GDP.
The federal deficit currently sits at 5.8% of GDP.
With CLARITY stalled, I expect the SEC, CFTC, and Treasury to advance rules under existing law, banks to expand Bitcoin custody and loans against it, and more capital to favor Bitcoin and digital credit. GENIUS supports stablecoin adoption. Progress need not wait for Congress.
"The breadth of companies beating expectations hit record peaks in Q2 in the US and Japan...and we haven't beaten low expectations. In Q2, we saw the strongest non-pandemic YoY global earnings expansion on record:" Deutsche Bank research
The US workforce participation rate has fallen to the lowest level in five years, sparking a debate about whether this is a sign of structural weakness or evidence of demographic shifts. Without this falling participation rate, the jobless rate wouldn't be so low.
While German 10-year yields have climbed to the highest since 2011, French 10-year borrowing costs are now at the highest since 2008, causing the spread between the two yields to widen to the most in almost two years. Traders are increasingly intolerant of high fiscal deficits.
โโLiz Trussโ bond market sell-offs are becoming more common across the G10 as debt levels rise and institutional integrity declines. The distinction between the G10 and EM is becoming blurred:
US stocks rose (SPX +0.5%, NDX +0.6%) as oil eased (brent crude -2.6% to $105) ahead of todayโs August CPI, seen as the key signal for a possible Fed hike next week (odds now 70%). Core CPI is expected +0.2% vs headline +0.4% on higher gasoline prices.
Strong 2026 S&P earnings growth of +32% y/y is fueling the current bull market but an inverted equity risk premium and a more restrictive Fed could lead to short-term equity weakness.
Michael Burry just said he is covering some of his shorts and reducing the size of his bearish bets on $NVDA and $CRWV.
That comes as CoreWeave signs A100 contracts through 2029 which directly challenges idea that older GPUs lose their value as quickly as the bear case assumed
๐จ๐ฏ๐ต HOLY SH*T: Nagoya, Japan right now...
104.5 mm of rain was unleashed in ONE HOUR, the highest total since records began being kept in 1890.
Subways have been shut down, commuters have been stranded, and streets are absolutely flooded.
Nagoya authorities have issued the highest Level 5 emergency safety warnings and Level 4 evacuation orders for parts of the city...
Writer: Michael