Ronny Soto

Any stocks or trading ideas posted are just my opinion: They are not financial advice nor are they any buy/sell recommendations.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- Week ending 6/12/26

Three full reversals in 5 days, all driven by Iran, but 1 trend never broke. The Russell 2000 rose 3.9% and value beat growth for a 2nd straight week. Out of mega cap tech, into small and mid value and cyclicals.

The durable weekly leaders were semis $SMH at plus 8.21 weekly RS, airlines $JETS, homebuilders $ITB, steel $SLX, broker dealers $IAI and defense $ITA.

Small caps led the cap structure on every timeframe while mega cap blend $MGC and $OEF stayed negative.

The big tell was energy. Oil $USO led on 2 separate days but finished the week with the worst weekly RS at minus 6.24. Nat gas $UNG and commodities $DBC the same. The war premium is rented beta, not leadership. It round tripped to nothing as the deal hopes pulled crude toward 84 dollars.

Every day 1 bounce failed on day 2 this week. Monday's $WGMI and $MEME pop, Thursday's $UFO and $MEME pop, none confirmed. Persistence still rules.

Setup: if the Iran deal gets signed, broadening continues and oil stays capped. The swing factor is $SMH. If semis hold their weekly leadership, breadth and AI both work. If they roll over, it is a cleaner value rotation. Watch the Fed June 16 and 17 against a 4.2% CPI.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

@BeeDuck2k @PradeepBonde Pradeep doesn't use ATR or ADR. He means the % change of the day (+/- 0.4% change). For example, OSPN had a tight day on Friday +0.14%.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 6/11/26

Third regime change in three days. Trump signaled a deal is close, and with enough oil supply buffers to keep crude under 100 dollars, the war premium bled out. Risk on snapped back hard. The Russell 2000 rose 2.34% and the VIX fell about 12%.

The war premium complex unwound. Oil $USO minus 5.68. Nat gas $UNG minus 4.91. E&P $IEO minus 4.33. Commodities $DBC minus 2.75. The dollar $UUP lost its haven bid at minus 2.02. The exact inverse of Wednesday.

The quality leadership was semis and AI. $SMH plus 4.97 and $IGPT plus 4.96 re-engaged with their weekly trends still positive, so this is trend confirmation, not just a bounce. Add aerospace $XAR plus 4.84, momentum $FFTY plus 4.63, and quantum $QTUM plus 3.78.

The speculative cohort ripped but is unproven. Space $UFO plus 7.08. Meme $MEME plus 6.93. Crypto miners $WGMI plus 5.85. Uranium $URA plus 4.09. All four carry negative weekly trends, so they are day 1 bounces. Every day 1 bounce this week failed on day 2.

The structural question is now live. $QQQ led the cap group on the day for the first time this week at plus 1.65, but the weekly and monthly trends still favor small and mid value. Friday tests whether mega cap growth reclaims the trend or value reasserts.

Bottom line: a clean risk on snapback, but the daily tape is still hostage to Iran. Watch whether semis hold and whether the speculative bounce survives day 2.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 6/10/26

The tape flipped back. The US launched strikes on Iran after an American helicopter was downed. That re-armed the war premium and reversed everything Tuesday did. Oil spiked, the dollar caught a bid, and the broad market fell about 1.6%.

Energy is back on top. Oil and gas E&P $IEO plus 3.92. Oil $USO plus 3.92. Oil services $OIH plus 2.13. Commodities $DBC plus 1.95. Nat gas $UNG plus 2.94. The Strait of Hormuz stays closed, so the premium re-armed fast.

The standout tell: gold did not act as a haven. $GLD minus 2.61 and gold miners $GDX minus 3.35 were both in the bottom 10, with $GLD at its lowest since March. The dollar $UUP was the haven instead. Higher oil lifted inflation and rate hike odds, the 10 year rose to about 4.54%, and that crushed non yielding gold while lifting the dollar. This is an inflation risk off, not a recession one.

Airlines flipped hard. $JETS went from the top 10 Tuesday to minus 3.18 today as fuel costs jumped with oil. The exact inverse of yesterday.

AI and tech stayed under distribution. Semis $SMH minus 1.85 and AI software $IGPT minus 1.89 are digesting, weekly still positive but selling a second day. Crypto miners $WGMI minus 4.43 led the losers.

The durable core held through both regimes. Staples $XLP, regional banks $KRE and real estate $IYR were strong strong on the rate relief day and the risk off day. And under the daily whipsaw, small and mid value kept beating mega cap tech. $QQQ was the worst cap group again.

Bottom line: the daily tape is hostage to Iran headlines. The structural trade underneath, mega cap tech out and small mid value in, is the durable one.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 6/9/26

Yesterday's bounce failed hard. Falling oil and falling yields flipped the tape.

WTI fell 3% to a 7 week low. Context that matters: the Strait of Hormuz has been closed since March, so oil already holds a big war premium of roughly 30%. The marginal driver now is reopening progress, not new conflict. Today Trump signaled a reopening deal is close and exports are rising, which outweighed his own retaliation threat. The 10 year dropped to about 4.52%. That lit up everything rate sensitive and everything that burns fuel.

Top 10 by daily RS is all strong strong. Homebuilders $ITB plus 4.33. Airlines $JETS plus 3.41. Real estate $IYR plus 2.69. Biotech $XBI plus 2.60. Med devices $IHI plus 2.47. Defense $ITA. Transports $IYT. Regional banks $KRE. Staples $XLP. Weekly RS is already positive on all of them, so this is confirmed leadership, not a bounce.

Bottom 10 is the unwind. Oil $USO minus 2.56. Uranium $URA. Nuclear $NLR. Silver $SLV minus 3.89. The war premium and inflation trade came off.

The Monday high beta bounce reversed. Crypto miners $WGMI minus 3.70. Meme $MEME minus 4.97. Software $IGV minus 2.47. Space $UFO. All of Monday's emerging rotation candidates failed to confirm on day 2. One day of weak strong was noise, exactly as the rule says.

Caps tell the same story. Mid value $IJJ plus 1.48 leads. $QQQ is the worst of the cap group at minus 0.86 after leading yesterday. Mega cap tech out, small and mid value in, on every timeframe.

Bottom line: this is a rate relief broadening rotation. Small caps are resilient and there is no gold panic. Out of the inflation and momentum trade, into rate sensitives, healthcare, financials and staples.

Bottom line: this is a rate relief broadening rotation, not risk off. Small caps are resilient and there is no gold panic. Out of the inflation and momentum trade, into rate sensitives, healthcare, financials and staples.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- June 8, 2026

Only group leading on both trend and momentum is energy war premium. $OIH daily plus 3.41, monthly plus 5.16. $USO daily plus 1.37, monthly plus 7.14. Iran and Israel crude premium, not a broad energy bid. Nat gas $UNG is in the bottom 10 at minus 2.79.

The high beta bounce is real but unconfirmed. $WGMI, $IBIT, $IGPT and $MEME all popped on the day but every one carries a negative monthly trend. One up day off a washout is noise. Bitcoin fell below 60,000 dollars this weekend then bounced 4 percent.

$SMH plus 4.76 held a positive monthly trend through Friday's chip wipeout. Quality growth and momentum, $QTUM and $FFTY and $FV, are the cleanest both axes names.

Sold: generic cloud $CLOU, GLP-1 $OZEM, biotech $IBB, solar $TAN, jets $JETS. AI software $IGPT bid while generic cloud sold is the tape paying for earnings only.

Backdrop: 10 year at 4.57%, a two week high, after 172,000 jobs versus 85,000 expected. December hike odds near 70 percent. No haven bid in gold or $TLT, so this is risk on relief, not defense.

Bottom line: energy is the only trend. Everything else is a bounce until Tuesday confirms.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

@BornInvestor Can't wait for you and the rest to litter the timeline with quotes. LOL

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

@KobeissiLetter Is this the Trump Futures from Planet "Stolen Election"??

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

The "For You" section is littered with a bunch of retards. One guy said that Friday's sell off was capitulation because he compared it to the volume of April 2025 lows. Another retard said that stop loss is a scam and went on to share some AI slop image. That's not even getting to the political rage bait and idiocy. 🤦🏽

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

@Barchart Hey @grok is JP Morgan one of the banks underwriting Space X IPO? Can you connect the dots?

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

The last time $QQQ close at -4.8% and min. 97M volume was:

April 1, 2025: -6.21% 117M Vol. The day before the 2025 low in QQQ.

May 22, 2025: -5.04% 105M Vol. In the middle of the 22' Bear.

Currently the dip keeps dipping after-hours. Interesting week to come, which will include SpaceX $SPCX IPO.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

The last time the $QQQ had a -3% day (Oct 2025) the market proceeded to mostly trade sideways for about 5-6 months.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 6/4/26

Broadcom's $AVGO AI guidance finally cracked the chip leadership and lit the broadest rotation of the week. Technology was the only sector meaningfully red while health care and financials led a Dow up nearly 1000 points. Genomics fund $ARKG exploded 7.25 % to the top with a positive 3 month trend, biotech $XBI logged a second straight up day, and medical devices $IHI confirmed strong strong. Regional banks $KRE, broker dealers $IAI and homebuilders $ITB all joined as a jump in jobless claims to a 4 month high revived rate cut hopes.

The crowded AI trade got sold across the board. Semis fund $SMH fell 3.04% and slid to digesting, AI software $IGPT and quantum $QTUM rolled over, and bitcoin fund $IBIT kept collapsing with a weekly RS of negative 13.89. Oil reversed lower as crude fund $USO gave back 3.13% after Israel and Lebanon agreed to a ceasefire, though energy held a positive weekly trend. Small caps led and the Nasdaq lagged. The handoff from AI to the real economy is on, but Friday payrolls will decide if it sticks.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 6/3/26

War re-escalation flipped the tape to risk off. Overnight the US and Iran traded fire and oil ran back toward 100, sending money into energy and commodities. Crude fund $USO led with a weekly RS of 9.44, now the strongest trend on the board, while explorers $IEO and broad commodities $DBC confirmed strong strong and nat gas $UNG emerged. Staples $XLP caught a defensive bid and Treasuries rallied while small caps got sold, with the Russell 2000 $IWM down about 1.25%.

The speculative complex kept failing. Tuesday's nuclear pop reversed hard as uranium $URA fell 5.67% and $NLR dropped 4.59%, meme basket $MEME lost 5.29%, and software $IGV slid to weak weak as the 3 day cloud bounce died. Semis $SMH was the last risk on pillar standing, holding up on a relative basis, but Broadcom's $AVGO revenue miss after the close puts even that leg at risk. The pattern of the week is clear. Every speculative pop has died within a session while energy quietly built the only confirmed rotation.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 6/2/26

Yesterday's software pop exhausted right on cue. The 3 day cloud run topped, and $CLOU, $IGV and $FDN all reversed to digesting with negative daily RS while the weekly trend stayed green. Leadership flipped hard. Small cap value led, mega cap lagged, and the Great Rotation re-engaged after a 1 day mega cap detour. Nuclear was the standout as uranium fund $URA jumped 5.70% and nuclear play $NLR added 4.79% on a multi-billion dollar US enrichment expansion from Urenco.

Chips kept the broad tape firm with semis fund $SMH at plus 3.87 RS, and the cleanest durable names sat in metals fund $XME and quantum play $QTUM, both on day two streaks with positive trend on every timeframe. Speculation stayed alive as meme basket $MEME led at plus 4.31, but bitcoin fund $IBIT got crushed down 6% , a crypto specific crack in an otherwise risk on session. Biotech in $XBI and $IBB and genomics $ARKG kept bleeding. Watch whether the young nuclear and China moves clear their negative 3 month trends or fade like the energy pop did.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 6/1/26

The software turn is no longer a bounce, it is confirmed. Cloud and cyber names $CLOU, $IGV and $HACK printed a third straight session of positive daily RS, with $CLOU accelerating to 8.69% and the weekly trend already flipped green. Internet fund $FDN tagged along on day 2. But this was concentration, not breadth. Friday led with solar, genomics, gold miners and payments, and by Monday that board narrowed to a software and AI core as solar fund $TAN rolled to digesting and gold miners $GDX fell all the way from strong/ strong to weak/ weak.

AI infrastructure re-engaged after a Friday rest, lifting compute pivot name $WGMI and metals play $XME, though both are only day one. Oil near 90 popped crude fund $USO and explorers $IEO, but each sat in the bottom quadrant Friday, so this is a fresh headline bounce and not rotation. The sold side stayed the de-escalation trade. Iran peace hopes drained defense and aerospace $SHLD, $XAR and $ITA, space fund $UFO kept bleeding, and bitcoin proxy $IBIT fell as yields rose and gold was dumped. Three days into the software run, exhaustion is now the test, not confirmation.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

@BornInvestor @grok please explain this to me as if I were a twelve year old.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 5/29/26

May closed with software officially back from the dead. The SaaSpocalypse talk has subsided after the $IGV posted its best month since 2001, and on Friday the whole complex confirmed leadership as $IGV, $HACK, and $CLOU all went Strong/Strong. Blowout AI server earnings from Dell $DELL and a record day for Snowflake $SNOW lit the fuse. Genomics through $ARKG and solar via $TAN led the week outright, and gold miners in $GDX outran the metal, a risk-on tell. Records again, ninth straight weekly gain.

The flip side was energy and speculation. Oil dropped about 10% on the week as the Iran war premium drained out, leaving crude funds like $USO with the worst weekly RS on the board. The frontier tech leaders that ran Tuesday, names like $UFO, $MEME, and $WGMI, held strong weekly trends but sold off into the close and slid to digesting. Cap structure tilted back to mega cap growth as small caps got sold, so breadth narrowed rather than broadened. Watch whether the software turn holds into June or proves to be an earnings-week peak.

[Ronny Soto @lern1079]

Market Rotation Report- 5/28/26

US stocks hit fresh record highs today and the rotation tells the story: speculation is waking back up. Cannabis via $MSOS led the tape on rescheduling headlines, genomics through $ARKG ripped, and meme basket $MEME held firm, while software names $IGV, $CLOU, and $HACK all re-engaged on the daily. Natural gas kept climbing too, with $UNG riding a smaller-than-expected storage build to its highest level since March. Defense stayed durable through $XAR and $SHLD, the most persistent leadership of the week.

Oil services in $OIH and crude via $USO carry deeply negative weekly RS and refused to bounce even as US strikes in Iran revived Strait of Hormuz fears, a sign the war trade has lost leadership rather than paused.

Bitcoin through $IBIT sat in the weak quadrant while equity speculation rallied, a crypto-beta divergence worth watching. Small cap growth led the week on relative strength, so breadth is broadening. Watch whether $CLOU and $HACK can string together a second and third day to confirm the software turn.