le_stick

[le_stick @lestick74]

Usual links suspects to the fore this week, could make a good case for several.

Dealing with the long shots at the moment, already backed five at 100+ who I can see outplaying their odds:

Spaun 120
Scott 190
Perez 260
Woodland 370
Weisberger 630

[le_stick @lestick74]

Never look forward to the Open with as much enthusiasm as the Masters/US Open but when the week arrives it’s hard not to get caught up in the build up. Sky do a fine job with their wall-to-wall coverage.

Played Birkdale a few times, typical links - can’t remember a single hole!

[le_stick @lestick74]

The Burns/Theegala tee time looks a solid candidate to make progress tonight.

Theegala leading tee-2-green stats and his short game will become more beneficial if they toughen the course up. Just needs to hole a few putts.

Looks overpriced at 90 compared to those around him.

[le_stick @lestick74]

@DatGoneIt77 @golfbola Gotterup disappointing.

Was on the right lines with Niemann, you don’t win US Opens clocking up an 11 though..

[le_stick @lestick74]

Prices north of 40 seem v fair for Spieth this week. Past champion, elite scrambler, talking his game up after Augusta.

Xander also primed for a big showing. The smaller/flatter greens should help him capitalise on his elite level ball striking.

Could be going in heavy..

[le_stick @lestick74]

@DatGoneIt77 @golfbola Quite like Niemann at a nice number (140/150). Seems his recent LIV win is being overlooked and was decent in the PGA. Good ball flight for the wind.

[le_stick @lestick74]

@DatGoneIt77 Yeah, quite like him actually, looked good in the PGA until his putter went cold in R4, which was bizarre as I thought his stroke had looked really solid before that. Could be some carnage if the wind forecast is right..

[le_stick @lestick74]

@DatGoneIt77 No mate, nothing this week on PGA - been a bit busy so not had chance to have a proper look. He looks a bit short though..

Backed Veerman in Turkey at a big price and that’s about it.

[le_stick @lestick74]

@DatGoneIt77 Hmm, mine would be too if I’d blown a 6 shot lead! A lead which flattered him tbh.

New day, expect him to play/swing with more freedom. Just needs to find a feel early doors and free wheel.

Obv he could bomb out but my guts telling me he’ll play well.

[le_stick @lestick74]

Masters not quite gone to plan from a betting perspective..

Not pulling up any trees but suspect the winner comes from the final duo - more so by eliminating the chasing pack one-by-one.

Rory/Cam gets me out of jail. Sweating some top 20/30/40 bet builders which have been fun.

[le_stick @lestick74]

Masters outright:
Xander 20
Rahm 21
Straka 130

A few lesser lights in some of the finishing position markets:
Adam Scott
Michael Kim
Kurt Kitayama

That'll do, plenty of bets on for now..

[le_stick @lestick74]

@DatGoneIt77 Harris could be a side market play (T20/T40 etc) but have several in mind ahead of him.

BK of more interest, would sit in my ‘not without a chance’ category - although am struggling to see him in the green jacket, happy to pass at prices around the 50 mark..

[le_stick @lestick74]

Masters just round the corner, as always, looks an intriguing event. Current shortlist:

Rahm (already backed)
Xander
Bryson
Morikawa
Spieth
Straka (already backed)

Subject to change before flag fall..

[le_stick @lestick74]

@LongRon I missed the price on Young, one of my Augusta ‘regulars’ as well.
CM back is prob enough to put me off, despite drifting to a decent number.
Leaning X over Bryson at similar prices. Looks ready to me, reckon he’ll go v close.
Spieth usual conundrum, price a bit skinny atm

[le_stick @lestick74]

@DatGoneIt77 Nah, was thinking about him again last week but he was tipped up before I had a chance to back him.

Circa 23.0 around Sawgrass isn’t my bag. Plenty I quite fancy that are at least treble that price.

Not saying Aberg won’t play well, just no value in the price in my eyes.

[le_stick @lestick74]

Before I do my bollox at Cheltenham, thought I’d share a few Players thoughts.

Love the event - great course, great drama, a real leveller, just got to play well on the week.

Backing these three:

Fowler 70
Spieth 110
Theegala 110

[le_stick @lestick74]

Early thoughts on the Masters..

Scottie (not quite firing) and Rory (pressure of defending) currently look opposable.

Big Jon Rahm top of my list atm.

Quietly rattling up a succession of good scores over in Liv-land.

67,68,67,63 2nd Riyadh
68,63,66,71 2nd Adelaide
66,62 HK

[le_stick @lestick74]

Backed Ludvig last week and the bet was dead in the water after 3 holes. Played better as the week went on though.

Thought he was a big price at Pebble (60), out to 65/70 this week so have gone back in.

Riviera should be right up his street.

[le_stick @lestick74]

Tiger-esque comeback from Anthony Kim.

You’d struggle to make it up.