Lets Value Invest

Simplifying value investing with data-driven, quality focused key insights.

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

$1,000 invested at $AMZN ’s IPO is worth over $2.5M today. Yet hardly anyone held on through the brutal 50%–90% drawdowns along the way.

With Amazon reporting earnings tomorrow after the bell, the same question returns:
Is the stock still an asymmetric bet over the next 5 years?

In our latest deep dive, we break down:
1️⃣ Realistic AWS revenue growth rates
2️⃣ Operating margin trajectory
3️⃣ Bull vs. Bear fair-value price targets

Get ahead of Thursday’s numbers here👇
https://t.co/Vi04rBXQpC

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Microsoft ($MSFT ) reports Q1 FY26 earnings tomorrow, Wednesday Oct 28 after the bell.

With the stock trading near all-time highs, expectations are sky-high. Here are the core questions investors need answered:

• Azure cloud growth & AI capacity constraints
• Copilot adoption & monetization trajectory
• Operating margin stability under heavy infrastructure capex

Is $MSFT still a buy at these elevated levels, or is the multiple stretched?

Watch our full fundamental analysis and 5-year return model before tomorrow's numbers drop👇 :
https://t.co/TbYrwtNMFC

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Alphabet ($GOOG / $GOOGL ) reports earnings tomorrow, Wednesday Oct 28 after the bell.

Before the market reacts to the headline numbers, here are the key factors long-term investors should watch:

• Search resilience & AI search overview adoption
• Google Cloud growth & operating margin expansion
• Capex spending discipline vs. AI infrastructure return

Is Google still trading at a significant discount relative to its Big Tech peers?

Before tomorrow’s print, watch our full fundamental breakdown and 5-year valuation model:
https://t.co/xE8IgNLe0e

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Wall Street loves to panic over long-term reinvestment.

$META dropped 8% post-earnings down to $642 despite ad impressions rising 10% and ad prices jumping 14%.

Here’s what’s really going on under the hood:
1️⃣ Free cash flow looks artificially depressed by surging AI data center capex.
2️⃣ Pre-tax earnings power (excluding the $10B legal settlement) is still nearly $89B.
3️⃣ At 12.3x Operating Cash Flow, there’s a compelling margin of safety compared to historic averages (~15x).

Are you buying the dip or waiting for cheaper prices?

Full analysis & valuation models in our new video: 👇
https://t.co/ZOYjm0DIQG

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

🧪 Test your own Bull, Base & Bear scenarios on my live model:
https://t.co/v1wxjKnlH8

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

📊 Is Alphabet ($GOOG) a BUY right now, or is the reported 17x P/E an illusion?

In my latest video, I put Alphabet through my 10-Step BMV Framework:

• 4.2 WIDE Moat & 26% ROICE
• Cloud compounding at 37% 5-Yr CAGR
• Founders hold 52.7% voting control
• Berkshire’s #3 holding + Li Lu 23% allocation
• True Core P/E is ~35x (Anthropic paper gain distortion)
• Base Case ~8% return ($503 target)

Sweet-Spot Buy Zone: $260–$313

📺 Full 10-Step Breakdown:
https://t.co/5SS4NdBDHU

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Is Netflix ($NFLX ) quietly setting up an exceptional long-term buying opportunity? 📉

After a ~50% drawdown, the market has repriced Netflix from a hyper-growth tech darling to a cash-printing media powerhouse:

• P/E compressed from historical 67x down to ~21–22x
• Free cash flow margins surging past 22%
• Content spend scaling across 270M+ subscribers

We put $NFLX through our 10-step BMV framework to break down the business moat, management, and 5-year projected returns.

Here is what the 10-Step BMV Framework reveals 🧵👇
https://t.co/6A2FZF4z7W

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Is Meta Platforms ($META ) actually expensive, or is Wall Street misreading its $70B+ R&D spend? 🧵👇

In my latest deep-dive, I put Meta through my 10-Step BMV Framework. Here is what the numbers actually reveal:

📊 Business Quality:
4.18 WIDE Moat | 81% Gross Margins | 24% 10-Yr ROCE

💸 True Valuation:
Standard P/E looks distorted, but capitalizing 50% R&D as Growth Capex drops true Adjusted P/E to ~21.08x (and Price/OCF to 15.15x)!

🎯 5-Year Return Potential: 8.9% to 22.5% CAGR (14.1% Base Case)

Watch the full 10-step breakdown here: 🔗 https://t.co/ayHk6umzK8

#META #StockAnalysis #ValueInvesting #LetsValueInvest

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Out of 12,000+ global stocks, only a handful qualify as true 100-Bagger compounders. 🧵👇

In our latest video, we run a live 6-point quantitative screener to isolate elite businesses with:
✅ ROCE > 20%
✅ Reinvestment Rate > 50% (Compounding Turbocharger)
✅ Clean Balance Sheet
✅ FCF Growth 10Y > 10% CAGR
✅ WIDE MOAT that is stable or expanding
✅ 10%+ Gold-Standard Insider Alignment

We break down candidates like $INMD , $HLNE, $XPEL , $POOL , $CROX , and $WING.

📺 Watch the full breakdown on YouTube:
https://t.co/UuQSo0D2yy

@letsvalueinvest #ValueInvesting #Stocks #Compounding

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

S&P 500 Screener: Deepest Discounts Off 52-Week Highs 🚨

While the headline index looks calm, several high-profile names are down 50% to 75%:

📉 $TTD (The Trade Desk): -74.30% (Rating: Very Good) 📉 $CSGP (CoStar Group): -66.19%
📉 $FISV (Fiserv): -63.46%
📉 $PODD (Insulet): -60.38%
📉 $LULU (Lululemon): -57.53% (Wide Moat | Very Good Value)
📉 $ORCL (Oracle): -56.55%
📉 $APP (AppLovin): -56.20% (Wide Moat)
📉 $INTU (Intuit): -54.88% (Wide Moat | Very Good Value)

When market sentiment sells off Wide Moat compounders alongside cyclical names, bargains emerge.

Which one is the best value trap vs. screaming buy? 🧠
🔗 Filter fundamentals, moats & intrinsic valuations on Lets Value Invest: https://t.co/KTUSX8WnHG

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

How to find stocks that go up 100x ($10k ➔ $1M):

1️⃣ High ROE + High Reinvestment Rate
2️⃣ Small market cap headroom
3️⃣ Deep Economic Moats
4️⃣ Owner-Operators with skin in the game
5️⃣ The Coffee-Can discipline (Hold 15-25 yrs)

We broke down all 10 rules from Chris Mayer’s classic 100 Baggers in our latest video 🍿

Watch the full breakdown here 👇
🔗 https://t.co/iH1mzmokwR

Stocks used as examples: $BRK.B $AMZN $MNST

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Buying "cheap" low-P/E stocks is one of the easiest ways to fall into a value trap today.

In Where the Money Is, Adam Seessel shows why traditional value metrics fail in the digital age—and how true value investors evaluate modern tech compounders like Alphabet ( $GOOG ) and Amazon ($AMZN ).

Full breakdown video 👇 🎥 https://t.co/V4ruyAdZUR

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Why do so few investors ever capture a 100-bagger?

It’s not a lack of math skills—it’s a psychological trap Thomas Phelps called "firing at monkeys." 🐒🚫

If you want to bag an elephant, you have to stop shooting at the birds.

Watch the full breakdown here:
https://t.co/fLSvsM7HeD

$AAPL $AMZN $NVDA $PFE

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Why focusing purely on dividend yield is quietly slowing down your wealth compounding:

Most investors view dividends as "free passive income"—like collecting monthly rent on real estate.

Here is why that logic fails over a 20-year timeline:

1️⃣ The Tax Friction Trap: Corporate income tax + personal dividend tax (up to 37%) drains your compounding base every single year.

2️⃣ Buybacks Win: Share buybacks reduce share count and let your capital compound 100% tax-free inside the business.

3️⃣ The Yield Trap: A 10% yield often just means a struggling company whose stock price collapsed by 50%.

I broke down 20 years of empirical market data across $AAPL , $MSFT, $GOOGL , and $NVDA to prove why reinvestment engines beat dividend milk cows every time.

Watch the full breakdown 👇
https://t.co/voquh2qN1B

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Why do some tech stocks compound at 25%+ per year while others stagnate despite record revenue?

We ran a 20-year empirical proof (2007–2026) on $AAPL , $GOOGL , $MSFT , and $NVDA to deconstruct the Total Shareholder Return (TSR) framework.

Here is what ACTUALLY drives stock returns over 20 years:

1️⃣ Business Engine: Net Income growth is the ultimate anchor of long-term wealth.
2⃣Capital Allocation: Share buybacks vs. dividend drag.
3⃣Multiple Shifts: How P/E expansion/contraction supercharges (or kills) your CAGR.

Watch the full breakdown + 20-year visualizer proof here 👇
https://t.co/Eb1IylUFDh

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Think of a software engineer making $200k/yr who only saves 5% of their income. Now think of someone making $100k/yr who saves 50%. Who builds more wealth?

Businesses work the exact same way. Earning power ($ROCE) is useless if management cannot reinvest capital back into the business.

In my latest video, I deconstruct this framework using real-world data from $CL , $GOOGL , and $AAPL :

🎬 https://t.co/cg0mdzDaQV

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Think of a software engineer making $200k/yr who only saves 5% of their income. Now think of someone making $100k/yr who saves 50%. Who builds more wealth?

Businesses work the exact same way. Earning power ($ROCE) is useless if management cannot reinvest capital back into the business.

In my latest video, I deconstruct this framework using real-world data from $CL , $GOOGL , and $AAPL :

🎬 https://t.co/cg0mdzCD1n

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Remember when the headlines claimed $META faced "up to $1.4 Trillion" in damages—more than its entire market cap—and doom-mongers predicted the end of the company?

That’s how media sensationalism works. Here is the actual math vs. reality 🧵👇

📰 1. The Media Hype:
Outlets pushed worst-case theoretical liability estimates ($1.4T+) to drive clicks and panic retail investors into selling.

🧮 2. The Real Math (Time Value of Money):•
Meta agreed to a proposed settlement of $18B spread over 10 annual installments (~$1.8B/year). • Discounted at 10%, the Present Value (PV) of that liability today is just ~$11.06B (reflected as a ~$10B accounting charge in Q3).

💰 3. The Cash Flow Perspective:
Meta prints >$120B+ a year in operating cash flow.
That ~$1.8B annual installment is roughly 1.5% of its annual cash generation—literally ~5 weeks of free cash flow spread across an entire decade.

💡 The Value Investor's Lesson:
The media sells catastrophic narratives; value investors do the discounted cash flow math. The biggest legal overhang on $META is officially de-risked.

📊 Real-time fundamentals & catalyst tracking on Lets Value Invest: https://t.co/Cb6JjLrfrC

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

Why are top activist investors dumping $MSFT for $GOOG ?

In Part 2 of my Q2 13F breakdown, we look at the absolute giants managing over $18 Billion:
Duan Yongping, Sir Chris Hohn, and Berkshire Hathaway.

🔹 Hohn's complete exit from $MSFT due to AI "moat" threats
🔹 Duan Yongping taking profits in chipmakers ($NVDA and $TSMC ) to buy Chinese tech ($BABA, $PDD)
🔹 Greg Abel reshuffling Berkshire’s $300B cash pile ($GOOG vs. $DAL, $M )

Watch the full video here: https://t.co/vzH0zLMYSY

[Lets Value Invest @letsvalueinvest]

The Q2 13F filings are out and three elite concentrated managers just reshuffled their portfolios.

In this video, I break down the exact strategies of Dev Kantesaria, Li Lu, and Mark Massey:

🔹 Why Dev systematically trimmed his winners
🔹 Li Lu’s massive 85%+ concentration in just 3 stocks
🔹 Mark Massey's textbook capital rotation out of tech

Watch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/1DuJFXM18P

$AMZN $GOOG $V $MA $SPGI