$LIT update
bullish momentum held
perp dex bid remains real
daily close for $HYPE will say a lot imo
recording @levolytics video this evening to talk some turkey
Something that occasional gets mentioned but we forget until panic sets in is that the valuations in crypto are soooo inflated if you compare it to liquidity
Even more so once you take into account how much the tide goes out when shit hits the fan
I know we have market cap and FDV, but a liquidity adjusted value would be another interesting and probably truest measure
Started @levolytics 10/1/25 perfectly in time for everything to biblically nuke
@levolytics returns ITD = -25% (long only strategy)
bitcoin:native = -47%
Alts = -67%
Note that this is trading crypto only, no stonks
Nothing to brag about, but learned a lottt in the process
Orange line = bitcoin:native 30D returns
Blue line = @levolytics cash allocation as a % of total portfolio
This is the easiest way for me to check if im executing as intended with my momentum strategy
Prices down = i better be moving more into cash
not publishing anything for @levolytics tomorrow
prob spending the weekend doing a big rebuild and likely cutting some more data feeds unfortunately
if im going to continue doing the newsletter + videos, it'll be at very little to no cost
which i still think will be quality, but not what it was
If this is it (big if) then I’d say this was a relatively orderly high volatility event for bitcoin:native + crypto
Only caveat: strong alts haven’t truly broken down yet though. That’s either more meat on the bone or it’ll be a good time to buy next time they print LTF highs
Prior to this drop we had ~40 days in a row of mostly sideways price action
We were due a bitcoin:native + crypto rinsing in some capacity
Biggest question is if that was it, or is there more to come
Really weird market atm
bitcoin:native I have zero reason to assume bounce so just completely sitting out (buy blue | sell red candles)
@levolytics book is 60/40 popular outperformers and cash
Newest @levolytics is live
Focus this week is on the mixed messages we’re getting from crypto markets, select assets pumping, and bitcoin:native weakness
Article link in tweet below
https://t.co/NyTrhhlNst
Newest @levolytics video is live
Talked about some fearful lower timeframe data I’m seeing + showed some of what I’ve been working on to make @dudeterminal a better intelligence hub using AI
https://t.co/SICitdjbKQ
This is my least favorite thing i see in the market atm
Coinbase discount across alts + bitcoin:native
Would've been a good video + article add so sharing here at least
Most full strength rallies are done on a premium - if we get move back up to $80k want to see this tick upwards
Red candles = discount
Blue candles = premium
Simple measure = Alts vs Tech equities 90D returns
You were better off owning large cap tech (Mag 7 is what this basically is) for the past 14 months
However, bitcoin:native + Alts now showing some relative strength
Newest @levolytics is live
Today's video / article is a focus on basic things you can do to gauge if we're in a bull or bear trend
And most importantly - what they tell us about Crypto markets atm
https://t.co/5VyTQqekdI
Moving forward goal for @dudeterminal is gonna be to turn it into your digital best friend who has wide ranging knowledge and wants to see you win across all aspects in life
Have a ton of ideas, a lot in progress but time to chop dat wood
Early innings but gonna try to send out a morning brief based on @levolytics and @dudeterminal data
This was literally first try, and its surprisingly good
Each brief will focus on 2 topics, today's is funding rates and open interest for bitcoin:native / Alts
Newest @levolytics video is live
Talked through charts from Tuesday's newsletter, and my updated thoughts on the market
As always welcome any and all feedback 🫡
https://t.co/0Y2xmkB9CO
LNMS episode 113 with @PermabullNino
https://t.co/OVcQME7BnU
We talk about:
-Why altcoins are losing their edge
-Why Bitcoin and altcoins are not the same game
-Why the best altcoin traders sell
-Why crypto faces a “come to Jesus” moment
-Why Bitcoin may have quietly broken the bear trend
-Why this rally may be healthier than it looks
Fountain: https://t.co/tPMtZM1zpR
Spotify: https://t.co/Fo1y0cuZJB
Apple: https://t.co/SV0FhxNCS0
Rumble: https://t.co/xlc73TWohz