@IMAO_@dmm12345 He may have written it with his hand but I am very doubtful he actually came up with these words. He asked someone to come up with something nice and he then transcribed or copied it.
@morqon I think at the time they did in fact know Anthropic was a massive juggernaut. Just easier to mix up those names since you can't chunk "Anthropic" in a good way for a memename
I assume @slatestarcodex's doing https://t.co/uy5zME8L3a
@DeepDishEnjoyer I wonder what will actually be some of the last ones
Surgeon/robot-surgeon supervisor?
Therapists? I know a ton of people will go for AI therapy but many will always want a human
I remember playing chess on Chess dot com recently and being surprised at which moves the review called a "blunder". From the point of view of a top chess engine, basically every move I make is a blunder.
I suspect that from the point of view of superintelligence, literally everything we do is a blunder relative to our very own goals and values. Even the things we judge in retrospect to have been great moves.
"Yeah, sure, publishing that paper seemed like a great move to you, but see? You could have landed a job at Cisco, been CEO in 3 months, and within a year saved 10,000,000 lives from malaria. Except that too would have been a blunder because... world peace in 8 months, and that's with enough slack for..."
I remember playing chess on Chess dot com recently and being surprised at which moves the review called a "blunder". From the point of view of a top chess engine, basically every move I make is a blunder.
I suspect that from the point of view of superintelligence, literally everything we do is a blunder relative to our very own goals and values. Even the things we judge in retrospect to have been great moves.
"Yeah, sure, publishing that paper seemed like a great move to you, but see? You could have landed a job at Cisco, been CEO in 3 months, and within a year saved 10,000,000 lives from malaria. Except that too would have been a blunder because... world peace in 8 months, and that's with enough slack for..."
I don't think so either. I think 2027 will be very weird but 2028 and beyond is the year things start getting frightening.
My vibe-guess is truly truly bad scenarios will be no earlier than 2029 (...but possibly not much later). Like March 2029. Things are going to not feel right in March 2029. Whether the new presidential administration is D or R.
(I guess I could quotetweet this at the time...)
A Vance/Gabbard presidency (or Gabbard/Vance, lol) is almost definitely never happening but if it did it might in some ways be worse than a Trump presidency
I will never get over the fact that
"we can't allow AI companies to slow down because we're in an existential breakneck race with China"
and
"we need to loosen burdensome export controls on GPUs"
are mostly coming from the same people
Of course I support both data centers and solar energy.
This bill is mainly for the clean energy part. I very much support that!!
Regarding the allegations it helps protect the fossil fuel industry: IDK, that should ideally be addressed if it's real, but this bill is literally so, so much better than doing nothing. It needs to be much easier to build clean energy capacity.