Cliff

Automated NBA picks. Not financial advice. #LilCliffNotes

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

Been an unreal start to the season for the First Basket model! +52u in 2 weeks, and only going a few days skunked. All for free, posted every day at 1pm est!

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

CHA @ PHX · 9:10 PM ET
👀 Lean: Devin Booker (PHX), 12.6% to score first. Best price +450, no play.

#CHAvsPHX

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

🎯 FIRST BASKET PICKS · Thu Nov 12 · @LilCliffNotes

3 plays (1u each) · 4 leans
Why each one is in the replies 👇

21+ · odds as of 1:00 PM ET, may move

#NBA #FirstBasket

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

DAL @ MIN · 8:10 PM ET
👀 Lean: LaMelo Ball (MIN), 13.8% to score first. Best price +525, no play.

#DALvsMIN

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

DET @ WAS · 7:10 PM ET
🎯 Duncan Robinson +1080 (DraftKings) · 1u
We make it 9.5% if he starts; the price says 8.5%. He took DET's first shot in 30% of his games this season.
👀 Lean: Anthony Davis (WAS), 14.1% to score first. Best price +550, no play.

#DETvsWAS

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

TOR @ PHI · 7:10 PM ET
🎯 Jakob Poeltl +1000 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 12.7% if he starts; the price says 9.1%. He's likely to jump TOR's opening tip, and wins 71% of them.
🎯 Collin Murray-Boyles +1400 (BetRivers) · 1u
We make it 11.0% if he starts; the price says 6.7%. He took his team's first shot in 27% of his games last season.
👀 Lean: R.J. Barrett (TOR), 12.2% to score first. Best price +610, no play.

#TORvsPHI

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

CHA @ PHX · 9:00 PM ET
PHX allow guards the 4th-most threes: Allen 3.5 a game on 7.4 attempts; 6.0 in 1 game without Miller
CHA allow guards the 5th-most threes: Goodwin 2.5 a game on 5.2 attempts

#CHAvsPHX

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

📝 CLIFFNOTES · Thu Nov 12 · @LilCliffNotes
Matchup context, not picks · injury report as of 10:48 AM ET

Where tonight's defenses have given up the most to a position, and who fits it. Each game's full sheet is in the replies 👇

#NBA #CliffNotes #CheatSheet

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

DAL @ MIN · 8:00 PM ET
MIN allow centers the 10th-most points: Aldama 10.0 a game
DAL allow forwards the 10th-most threes: Kuminga 1.8 a game on 4.5 attempts; 1.9 in 7 games without Edwards

#DALvsMIN

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

DET @ WAS · 7:00 PM ET
WAS allow forwards the most rebounds: Thompson 8.4 a game, 12.6 chances
DET allow centers the 3rd-most rebounds: Sarr 7.3 a game, 14.7 chances

Met Nov 9: DET won 122–111
DET: Robinson 22 pts, 4/8 threes · Cunningham 17 pts, 7 ast
WAS: Davis 44 pts, 13 reb · Young 20 pts, 7 ast, 3/10 threes

#DETvsWAS

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

TOR @ PHI · 7:00 PM ET
PHI allow guards the 7th-most rebounds: Barrett 6.0 a game, 10.2 chances; 6.0 in 3 games without Barnes
PHI allow centers the 9th-most rebounds: Poeltl 6.8 a game, 12.4 chances; 9.0 in 3 games without Barnes

#TORvsPHI

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

📋 First Basket recap · Wed Nov 11

Plays: 1–11–1 · −2.50u
Leans: 0 of 10 scored first

This season: 22–181–10 · +55.40u

#NBA #FirstBasket

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

Fox gets us on the board, need another to go + today!

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

OKC @ POR · 10:10 PM ET
🎯 Donovan Clingan +850 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 12.2% if he starts; the price says 10.5%. He's likely to jump POR's opening tip, and wins 70% of them.
He's also our most likely first scorer in this game.

#OKCvsPOR

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

🎯 FIRST BASKET PICKS · Wed Nov 11 · @LilCliffNotes

13 plays (1u each) · 10 leans
Why each one is in the replies 👇

21+ · odds as of 1:00 PM ET, may move

#NBA #FirstBasket

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

GSW @ HOU · 9:40 PM ET
🎯 Draymond Green +1300 (BetMGM) · 1u
We make it 9.9% if he starts; the price says 7.1%. He's likely to jump GSW's opening tip, and wins 29% of them.
👀 Lean: Alperen Sengun (HOU), 15.7% to score first. Best price +525, no play.

#GSWvsHOU

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

ORL @ UTA · 9:10 PM ET
🎯 Wendell Carter Jr +725 (BetMGM) · 1u
We make it 14.2% if he starts; the price says 12.1%. He's likely to jump ORL's opening tip, and wins 70% of them.
He's also our most likely first scorer in this game.

#ORLvsUTA

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

BKN @ NOP · 8:10 PM ET
🎯 Karlo Matkovic +1400 (BetRivers) · 1u
We make it 11.0% if he starts; the price says 6.7%. He's likely to jump NOP's opening tip, and wins 33% of them.
🎯 Day'Ron Sharpe +1040 (DraftKings) · 1u
We make it 9.8% if he starts; the price says 8.8%. He's likely to jump BKN's opening tip, and wins 50% of them.
👀 Lean: Michael Porter Jr (BKN), 12.0% to score first. Best price +575, no play.

#BKNvsNOP

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

LAL @ MIL · 8:10 PM ET
🎯 Ziaire Williams +1000 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 11.2% if he starts; the price says 9.1%. He took his team's first shot in 8% of his games last season.
👀 Lean: Luka Doncic (LAL), 19.3% to score first. Best price +400, no play.

#LALvsMIL

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

DEN @ MEM · 8:10 PM ET
🎯 Cameron Johnson +1300 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 8.2% if he starts; the price says 7.1%. He took his team's first shot in 20% of his games last season.
👀 Lean: Nikola Jokic (DEN), 14.2% to score first. Best price +625, no play.

#DENvsMEM

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

SAS @ CHI · 8:10 PM ET
🎯 De'Aaron Fox +850 (BetMGM) · 1u
We make it 12.6% if he starts; the price says 10.5%. He took SAS's first shot in 27% of his games this season.
🎯 Stephon Castle +830 (DraftKings) · 1u
We make it 12.0% if he starts; the price says 10.8%. He took SAS's first shot in 18% of his games this season.
👀 Lean: Victor Wembanyama (SAS), 21.9% to score first. Best price +270, no play.

#SASvsCHI

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

BOS @ TOR · 7:10 PM ET
🎯 Jakob Poeltl +850 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 13.7% if he starts; the price says 10.5%. He's likely to jump TOR's opening tip, and wins 71% of them.
🎯 Neemias Queta +1000 (BetRivers) · 1u
We make it 10.4% if he starts; the price says 9.1%. He's likely to jump BOS's opening tip, and wins 40% of them.
👀 Lean: R.J. Barrett (TOR), 13.4% to score first. Best price +525, no play.

#BOSvsTOR