Sus Lines

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@optimal_bet Optimal!

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

@Tomcat_Trends Nice stat. Good to know. Do you know the equivalent historical stat or last seasons corresponding stat? Regression to the mean is a real thing…

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

@TOFCASHES What do you see that I’m missing? Bucks feels like a total trap to me. Team with a worse overall record, on the road, as a favorite. Gotta go against you on this one. The line is SUS. Capitalize on it

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

Help me out- I’m surprised I’m seeing so many prop picks. Are y’all making money on props? How? Where are all the ppl picking games? We’re in the playoff push season in NHL and NBA. This is when the games matter the most.. momentum is huge, why aren’t ppl riding hot teams now??

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

So to summarize- all tight games, nothing super outrageous here but I’m gonna lean ORL (more rested team plus seems too easy to take PHO), lean NYK seems too easy to take HOU at home plus points, lean LAL bc of momentum and LAC bc line is too high. Lemme know if you agree..

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

SUS LINES NBA: Some weird lines tonight. Be careful out there! PHO (42-33) at ORL (39-35) ORL -1.5. NYK (48-27) at HOU (45-29) NYK -1.5. CAVS (47-28) at LAL (49-26) LAL -2.5. POR (38-38) at LAC (39-36) LAC -5.5. All teams are +/- 3 games of each other but lines are all over

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LAC have 1 more win on the season than POR but they’re laying home court -4 plus and additional 1.5. I can see LAC -4 or -4.5. -5.5 feels like a trap. 2 evenly matched teams and I can get 5.5 with one of them? Gotta lay the 5.5 here right?

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LAL line makes sense. 4 points for home court, drop a couple of points bc Cavs are legit. Ok, this one makes sense to me

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Why are the Knicks favored. Granted they have a better record but HOU is not a bad team and they’re still at home. Isn’t home court worth 4 pts? Are the NYK really 5.5 points better than HOU on a neutral court?

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Why is ORL favored here? Maybe bc PHO played last night and traveled from Memphis. Still slightly fishy

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@shaunstake Totally agree! Read the lines and act accordingly. If it looks too good to be true then it probably is…

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@denstarr4 I wonder this all the time. Simple answer is it’s prob easier to sell picks than to profitably gamble. I bet selling the picks offsets their gambling losses… don’t sell me picks, teach the ppl how to make their own picks. That’s what I’m trying to do. Pass on my knowledge

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

SUSPICIOUS LINE ALERT: NBA - Nuggets (44-28) at Suns (40-32). Nuggets favored -6.5 on the road. Based on records I’d expect DEN to be favored by 6.5 if they were at home! Line looks wonky, gotta go with the Nugs right?!

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

SUSPICIOUS LINE ALERT: NBA Pelicans (25-47) at Knicks (47-25). Knicks favored -8.5. In this day & age of 15+ point lines why aren’t the NYK favored by a lot more? Almost looks too good to be true. Gotta hold my nose and go with the Pels here 🤞🏼 What do y’all think?

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

Clearly the Sharp knew something I didn’t know. When you see stuff like this you gotta adjust. Exit positions, hedge, whatever it takes to limit your exposure. Gotta stay vigilant, traps are everywhere if you pay attention

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

YESTERDAYS SUS LINE RECAP: TEN upsets VA ✅- Learning moment TTU vs Bama. Sudden line change. Line went TTU -2 to Bama -1 right before tip off. That’s a 3 pt swing. That means either lots of new bets on Bama (highly unlikely) or BIG MONEY BETS. That’s clearly Sharp money

[Sus Lines @line_suspicious]

YESTERDAYS SUS LINE RECAP: TEN upsets VA ✅- Learning moment TTU vs Bama. Sudden line change. Line went TTU -2 to Bama -1 right before tip off. That’s a sudden 3 pt swing. That means either lots of new bets on Bama (highly unlikely) or BIG MONEY BETS. That’s clearly Sharp money

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@mannysterling96 @gavinmchughh On either side really? Just trying to see what y’all see. I’m prob staying away from this one..

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@mannysterling96 @gavinmchughh Why are you so confident?

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@mrktmdnss @gavinmchughh I’m all about adjusting lines so they make sense, but you gotta get that +money on a 5-teamer. Cmon now